FC Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Jun | Albirex Niigata | A | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Jul | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #5 |
| 37 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 42 | Scored | 61 |
| 33 | Conceded | 53 |
| +9 | GD | +8 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 2 G | 1 A |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G | |
| Asahi Uenaka | 1 G | |
| Welton | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Machida Zelvia have kicked off against Gamba Osaka. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' FC Machida Zelvia have won 132 goals from 101 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' The travelling Gamba Osaka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' It looks surprising FC Machida Zelvia does not make any changes. Makoto Mitsuta has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 17' A goal from the Japan international Gen Shoji! He fires home on 17 to make it 1-0!
- 22' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Machida Zelvia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Welton made 410 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 37' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 42' FC Machida Zelvia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 46' The referee calls foul for Shota Fujio. He receives a card.
- 51' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 56' The Gamba Osaka bench stirs into life. Kanji Okunuki is withdrawn and Welton gets his opportunity.
- 59' The FC Machida Zelvia bench stirs into life. Shota Fujio is withdrawn and Se-hun Oh gets his opportunity.
- 61' Brilliant from the ! Deniz Hummet makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 61.
- 66' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Machida Zelvia and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 71' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Riku Handa suffering a number of foals already.
- 75' A tactical swap from Gamba Osaka — Ryotaro Meshino on, Juan Alano off on 75 minutes.
- 78' Kotaro Hayashi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
- 79' FC Machida Zelvia make a change. Hiroyuki Mae trudges off to be replaced by Neta Lavi on 79 minutes.
- 84' Daihachi Okamura has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 89' Kosei Tani has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 90' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Tokuma Suzuki is replaced by Rin Mito on 90 minute.
- 90' GOAL! Takuma Nishimura fires home to make it 3-1!
- FC Machida Zelvia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 3
-
19
Yuta Nakayama ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 90'
- 4
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Se-hun Oh 59'
-
16
Hiroyuki Mae ↓ Neta Lavi 79'
- 50
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Keiya Sento 59'
- 26
- 6
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 90'
- 11
- 5
- 13
-
31
Neta Lavi ↑ 79'
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 59'
- 15
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 59'
-
22
Takaya Numata ↑ 90'
Coach
Go Kuroda
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 5
-
47
Juan Alano ↓ Ryotaro Meshino 75'
- 20
- 22
- 2
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Rin Mito 90'
- 51
- 3
-
44
Kanji Okunuki ↓ Welton 56'
- 23
Bench
- 1
- 10
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 75'
-
4
Keisuke Kurokawa ↑ 90'
- 15
-
27
Rin Mito ↑ 90'
-
97
Welton ↑ 56'
- 42
- 38
Coach
Dani Poyatos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kotaro Hayashi | 1 |
| Takashi Usami | 1 |
| Junya Suzuki | 1 |
| Welton | 1 |
| Keiya Sento | 1 |
| Shota Fujio | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.95
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
82%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
36%
FC Machida Zelvia or Gamba Osaka
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.1%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 1
5.6%
4 – 1
5%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 0
4.2%
4 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 3
3.3%
3 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -2 | 26% | 17% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 19% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 11% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.