FC Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Jun | Albirex Niigata | A | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Jul | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #5 |
| 37 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 42 | Scored | 61 |
| 33 | Conceded | 53 |
| +9 | GD | +8 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
54%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Takuma Nishimura | 5 G | |
| Koki Ogawa | 4 G | |
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 4 A |
| Tete Yengi | 3 G | 1 A |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 3 G | 1 A |
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 5 G | 3 A |
| Ryotaro Meshino | 2 G | |
| Welton | 2 G | |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Machida Zelvia have kicked off against Gamba Osaka. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Riku Handa made 414 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Daihachi Okamura, a Japan , has 19 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 17' Magnificent from Gen Shoji! That is 5 goals in 458 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 22' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Juan Alano, as he is very good at scoring at Machida GION Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 37' Keisuke Kurokawa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 42' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' A moment of madness from Shota Fujio on 46 minutes earns him a card. FC Machida Zelvia will be frustrated.
- 51' Kosei Tani has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 56' The whistle greets Kanji Okunuki as he departs to be replaced by Welton.
- 59' The FC Machida Zelvia bench stirs into life. Shota Fujio is withdrawn and Se-hun Oh gets his opportunity.
- 61' What composure from Deniz Hummet! The Turkey international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 66' Over 66 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 71' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 414 games and scored 387 goals.
- 75' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Juan Alano departs to be replaced by Ryotaro Meshino.
- 78' Kotaro Hayashi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the defender.
- 79' Neta Lavi gets the nod from FC Machida Zelvia. He replaces Hiroyuki Mae and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 89' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dani Poyatos might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 90' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Tokuma Suzuki by Rin Mito on 90 minute.
- 90' Takuma Nishimura makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and FC Machida Zelvia are in front.
- Full Time. FC Machida Zelvia beats Gamba Osaka
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 3
-
19
Yuta Nakayama ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 90'
- 4
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Se-hun Oh 59'
-
16
Hiroyuki Mae ↓ Neta Lavi 79'
- 50
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Keiya Sento 59'
- 26
- 6
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 90'
- 11
- 5
- 13
-
31
Neta Lavi ↑ 79'
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 59'
- 15
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↑ 59'
-
22
Takaya Numata ↑ 90'
Coach
Go Kuroda
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 5
-
47
Juan Alano ↓ Ryotaro Meshino 75'
- 20
- 22
- 2
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Rin Mito 90'
- 51
- 3
-
44
Kanji Okunuki ↓ Welton 56'
- 23
Bench
- 1
- 10
-
8
Ryotaro Meshino ↑ 75'
-
4
Keisuke Kurokawa ↑ 90'
- 15
-
27
Rin Mito ↑ 90'
-
97
Welton ↑ 56'
- 42
- 38
Coach
Dani Poyatos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kotaro Hayashi | 1 |
| Takashi Usami | 1 |
| Junya Suzuki | 1 |
| Welton | 1 |
| Keiya Sento | 1 |
| Shota Fujio | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.95
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
82%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
36%
FC Machida Zelvia or Gamba Osaka
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.1%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 1
5.6%
4 – 1
5%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 0
4.2%
4 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 3
3.3%
3 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -2 | 26% | 17% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 19% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 11% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.