Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 10:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'
Koki Tachi 39' Y
Koki Tachi 45' R
Y 90' Juan Alano

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Gamba Osaka H 4–5 L
23 Aug Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–1 L
16 Aug FC Tōkyō H 2–2 D
10 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 0–2 L
23 Jul Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–4 L
19 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Shonan Bellmare A 5–4 W
23 Aug Yokohama FC H 3–2 W
20 Aug FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L
16 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–1 L
10 Aug Fagiano Okayama FC H 0–3 L
20 Jul Kawasaki Frontale H 2–1 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
Issam Jebali 2 G 1 A
Deniz Hummet 2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani 1 G
Asahi Uenaka 1 G
Welton 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Shonan Bellmare launch into their encounter with Gamba Osaka.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Satoshi Yamaguchi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' The 34-year-old Takashi Usami has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 13' Assisted by Konsuke Onose with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rio Nitta makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 18' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 23' Kazunari Ono is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Shonan Bellmare so far.
  • 28' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Satoshi Yamaguchi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 37' What a moment for Taiyo Hiraoka! That strike on 37 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 39' Koki Tachi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 40' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Shota Fukuoka makes it 2-1.
  • 45' That is a card for Shonan Bellmare. Koki Tachi will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Takashi Usami comes on to replace Keisuke Kurokawa.
  • 49' Goal! Yutaro Oda scores his 10 goal in 451 matches.
  • 53' Shinnosuke Nakatani does the damage! The net is bulging and Gamba Osaka surge ahead!
  • 58' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 63' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 63 minute. Rio Nitta leaves to be changed by Kazuki Oiwa.
  • 68' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 72' A tactical swap from Shonan Bellmare — Hiroaki Okuno on, Sena Ishibashi off on 72 minutes.
  • 73' Issam Jebali is replacing Rin Mito for the Gamba Osaka side.
  • 78' Japan international Yuto Suzuki has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 81' The whistle greets Yutaro Oda as he departs to be replaced by Luiz Phellype.
  • 82' The Shonan Bellmare bench stirs into life. Taiyo Hiraoka is withdrawn and Hisatsugu Ishii gets his opportunity.
  • 87' Shuto Abe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 88' Juan Alano is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Juan Alano on 90.
  • 90' Genta Miura gets the nod from Gamba Osaka. He replaces Ryo Hatsuse and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The points are shared — Shonan Bellmare 4-5 Gamba Osaka. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.89 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.01 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Shonan Bellmare or Gamba Osaka 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare35% Draw24% Gamba Osaka41%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
59%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
65%
Shonan Bellmare or Gamba Osaka
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shonan Bellmare29% Draw38% Gamba Osaka33%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–5 not predicted
4 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.7%
0 – 1
3.6%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 17% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 18% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 12% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.