Shonan Bellmare vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shonan Bellmare vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 May | Yokohama FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 May | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 May | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 May | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 May | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Fagiano Okayama FC gets underway.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Shonan Bellmare side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' Fagiano Okayama FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' Ibuki Fujita has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 34 appearances.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Shonan Bellmare must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 33' Luiz Phellype is having his name booked by the referee on 33.
- 37' What a moment for Ryunosuke Sato! That strike on 37 puts his side firmly in control.
- 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 45' That is a card for Shonan Bellmare. Kohei Okuno will be fuming at that decision.
- 46' A change in the Shonan Bellmare ranks — Kohei Okuno exits the field as Akimi Barada enters on 46.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 56' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 61' It is a substitution in Shonan Bellmare team. Taiyo Hiraoka is replaced by Hiroaki Okuno on 61 minute.
- 63' Fagiano Okayama FC make a change. Kazunari Ichimi trudges off to be replaced by Lucao on 63 minutes.
- 65' Magnificent from Luiz Phellype! That is 22 goals in 517 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 70' Akito Suzuki, a Japan , has 8 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 74' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Masaya Matsumoto comes on to replace Hijiri Kato.
- 79' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 80' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Koki Tachi on 80 minutes.
- 81' A tactical swap from Shonan Bellmare — Yutaro Oda on, Luiz Phellype off on 81 minutes.
- 86' Yuta Kamiya has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryo Tabei on 86 minute.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
-
27
Luiz Phellype ↓ Yutaro Oda 81'
- 22
- 37
- 99
-
15
Kohei Okuno ↓ Akimi Barada 46'
- 4
- 3
-
13
Taiyo Hiraoka ↓ Hiroaki Okuno 61'
- 18
- 10
- 5
Bench
-
25
Hiroaki Okuno ↑ 61'
- 31
- 8
-
9
Yutaro Oda ↑ 81'
-
14
Akimi Barada ↑ 46'
- 50
- 16
- 33
- 20
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 63'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Noah Browne 86'
- 24
- 39
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Masaya Matsumoto 74'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Takahiro Yanagi 74'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Yuta Kamiya 86'
Bench
-
88
Takahiro Yanagi ↑ 74'
- 7
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 74'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 86'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 63'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 86'
- 4
- 19
- 21
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ryunosuke Sato | 2 |
| Luiz Phellype | 1 |
Head to Head
Shonan Bellmare Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-06-01
Shonan Bellmare
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–2
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-05-18
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–1
Albirex Niigata
W
2025-05-10
Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-05-06
Nagoya Grampus
0–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-03
Vissel Kobe
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.11
Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Shonan Bellmare or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Shonan Bellmare or Draw
70%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
61%
Shonan Bellmare or Fagiano Okayama FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.1%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.9%
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
2.8%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare
| Handicap | Shonan Bellmare covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 22% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

