Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 May | Albirex Niigata | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 May | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 May | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 May | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #13 |
| 26 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 42 |
| 46 | Conceded | 33 |
| -5 | GD | +9 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 44% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
54%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
FC Machida Zelvia
| Takuma Nishimura | 5 G | |
| Koki Ogawa | 4 G | |
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 4 A |
| Tete Yengi | 3 G | 1 A |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Fagiano Okayama FC to score. At the same time, FC Machida Zelvia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' The 27-year-old Takaya Numata has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' Fagiano Okayama FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fagiano Okayama FC and FC Machida Zelvia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 26' GOAL! Kazunari Ichimi scores on 26. Assisted by Ryunosuke Sato
- 31' The travelling FC Machida Zelvia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 36' FC Machida Zelvia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 41' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' A tactical swap from FC Machida Zelvia — Takaya Numata on, Shota Fujio off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Ibuki Fujita needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 55' Goal! Takaya Kimura scores his 7 goal in 68 matches.
- 60' With 1 assists to his name this season, Shota Fujio is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 62' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Kazunari Ichimi is replaced by Lucao.
- 63' FC Machida Zelvia ring the changes. Keiya Sento has done his job and it is now time for Hokuto Shimoda to step up.
- 68' Fagiano Okayama FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 72' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Ataru Esaka is replaced by Masaya Matsumoto.
- 76' GOAL! Yuki Soma fires home to make it 2-1!
- 81' Mitchell Duke makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and FC Machida Zelvia are in front.
- 84' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 84 minute. Ryunosuke Sato leaves to be changed by Noah Browne.
- 89' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryo Tabei, as he is very good at scoring at City Light Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 90' The FC Machida Zelvia bench stirs into life. Takuma Nishimura is withdrawn and Kanji Kuwayama gets his opportunity.
- 2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 62'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Masaya Matsumoto 72'
- 24
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↓ Noah Browne 84'
- 50
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 72'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 84'
Bench
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 84'
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 72'
- 33
-
99
Lucao ↑ 62'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 84'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 72'
- 5
- 21
- 16
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 3
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 63'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Takaya Numata 46'
- 16
- 50
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Yuki Soma 63'
- 26
- 6
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Mitchell Duke 62'
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 63'
- 23
-
7
Yuki Soma ↑ 63'
- 13
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 62'
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 90'
-
22
Takaya Numata ↑ 46'
- 30
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Kazunari Ichimi | 1 |
| Takaya Kimura | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-05-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–2
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-05-18
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–1
Albirex Niigata
W
2025-05-10
Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-05-06
Nagoya Grampus
0–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-03
Vissel Kobe
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Tōkyō Verdy
L
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2025-05-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–2
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-05-17
FC Machida Zelvia
3–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2025-05-11
Shimizu S-Pulse
2–2
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2025-05-07
FC Machida Zelvia
1–2
Kyōto Sanga FC
L
2025-05-03
Kashima Antlers
1–0
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2025-04-29
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–2
FC Machida Zelvia
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Fagiano Okayama FC or FC Machida Zelvia 77%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
62%
Fagiano Okayama FC or FC Machida Zelvia
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 16% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 17% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

