Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

J. League · 2025

Fagiano Okayama FC

2 – 2

Full Time

FC Machida Zelvia

Sun 25 May 2025 · 04:00 UTC City Light Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at City Light Stadium.

Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Fagiano Okayama FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals FC Machida Zelvia

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-25 Fagiano Okayama FC 2–2 FC Machida Zelvia

Recent Form

Fagiano Okayama FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–2	D
18 May	Albirex Niigata	H	2–1	W
10 May	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–2	L
06 May	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–0	D
03 May	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L
29 Apr	Tokyo Verdy	H	0–1	L

FC Machida Zelvia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	Fagiano Okayama FC	A	2–2	D
17 May	Kashiwa Reysol	H	3–0	W
11 May	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	2–2	D
07 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–2	L
03 May	Kashima Antlers	A	0–1	L
29 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Fagiano Okayama FC		FC Machida Zelvia
#6	Position	#13
26	Points	37
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	13 / 0 / 5
41	Scored	42
46	Conceded	33
-5	GD	+9
1.44	PPG	2.06
44%	Win %	72%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

44% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fagiano Okayama FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

2/2

31-45

2/4

46-60

1/2

61-75

4/3

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Machida Zelvia

0-15

2/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

3/1

61-75

2/1

76+

–/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Fagiano Okayama FC launch into their encounter with FC Machida Zelvia.
5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fagiano Okayama FC and FC Machida Zelvia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
25' Hiroyuki Mae has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
26' Kazunari Ichimi puts Fagiano Okayama FC on the lead.
31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
36' Ryo Tabei has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gen Shoji made 447 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
46' Shota Fujio makes way for Takaya Numata at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Machida Zelvia.
51' It looks surprising FC Machida Zelvia does not make any changes. Hijiri Kato has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
55' GOAL! Takaya Kimura fires home to make it 2-0!
60' Fagiano Okayama FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Machida Zelvia's shape.
62' Lucao is replacing Kazunari Ichimi for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
63' The FC Machida Zelvia bench stirs into life. Keiya Sento is withdrawn and Hokuto Shimoda gets his opportunity.
68' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fagiano Okayama FC and FC Machida Zelvia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
72' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Ataru Esaka departs to be replaced by Masaya Matsumoto.
76' What a moment for Yuki Soma! That strike on 76 puts his side firmly in control.
81' A goal from the Australia international Mitchell Duke! He fires home on 81 to make it 2-2!
84' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Ryunosuke Sato is replaced by Noah Browne.
89' Hiroki Mochizuki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 94 appearances.
90' The crowd applauds Takuma Nishimura as he leaves the pitch. Kanji Kuwayama steps in for FC Machida Zelvia.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Fagiano Okayama FC 2-2 FC Machida Zelvia.

Lineups

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 84'
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 72'
33
Yuta Kamiya
99
Lucao ↑ 62'
45
Noah Browne ↑ 84'
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 72'
5
Yasutaka Yanagi
21
Kohei Kawakami
16
Yoko Iesaka

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

20
Takuma Nishimura ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 90'
1
Kosei Tani
3
Gen Shoji
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 63'
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Takaya Numata 46'
16
Hiroyuki Mae
50
Daihachi Okamura
10
Sang-ho Na ↓ Yuki Soma 63'
26
Kotaro Hayashi
6
Hiroki Mochizuki
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Mitchell Duke 62'

Bench

18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 63'
23
Ryohei Shirasaki
7
Yuki Soma ↑ 63'
13
Tatsuya Morita
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 62'
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 90'
22
Takaya Numata ↑ 46'
30
Yuki Nakashima

Coach Go Kuroda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuki Soma	1
Mitchell Duke	1
Kazunari Ichimi	1
Takaya Kimura	1
Gen Shoji	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.02 Fagiano Okayama FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.2 FC Machida Zelvia xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Fagiano Okayama FC or FC Machida Zelvia 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Fagiano Okayama FC38% Draw23% FC Machida Zelvia39%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.22

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	60%	40%
± 4.5	41%	59%

Double Chance

Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw

61%

Draw or FC Machida Zelvia

62%

Fagiano Okayama FC or FC Machida Zelvia

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Fagiano Okayama FC29% Draw37% FC Machida Zelvia34%

Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.3%

1 – 2

2 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

6.5%

1 – 3

5.1%

2 – 3

5.1%

3 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.3%

0 – 2

3.7%

3 – 3

3.4%

2 – 0

3.1%

0 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC

Handicap	Fagiano Okayama FC covers	Push	FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	11%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	16%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	17%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	13%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Fagiano Okayama FC Form

FC Machida Zelvia Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC

Clean Sheet