Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fagiano Okayama FC vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 25 May 2025 · 04:00 UTC City Light Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Fagiano Okayama FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals FC Machida Zelvia

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May FC Machida Zelvia H 2–2 D
18 May Albirex Niigata H 2–1 W
10 May Kashiwa Reysol A 0–2 L
06 May Nagoya Grampus A 0–0 D
03 May Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
29 Apr Tokyo Verdy H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Fagiano Okayama FC A 2–2 D
17 May Kashiwa Reysol H 3–0 W
11 May Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–2 D
07 May Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–2 L
03 May Kashima Antlers A 0–1 L
29 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Fagiano Okayama FC FC Machida Zelvia
#6 Position #13
26 Points 37
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 13 / 0 / 5
41 Scored 42
46 Conceded 33
-5 GD +9
1.44 PPG 2.06
44% Win % 72%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
100% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
1/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at City Light Stadium!
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Go Kuroda might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Fagiano Okayama FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Machida Zelvia backline.
  • 20' FC Machida Zelvia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' Hijiri Kato has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 26' GOAL! Kazunari Ichimi scores on 26. Assisted by Ryunosuke Sato
  • 31' Fagiano Okayama FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hokuto Shimoda made 439 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' The whistle greets Shota Fujio as he departs to be replaced by Takaya Numata.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fagiano Okayama FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 55' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Takaya Kimura makes it 2-0.
  • 60' Fagiano Okayama FC have won 51 goals from 56 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 62' The whistle greets Kazunari Ichimi as he departs to be replaced by Lucao.
  • 63' FC Machida Zelvia make a change. Keiya Sento trudges off to be replaced by Hokuto Shimoda on 63 minutes.
  • 68' Ibuki Fujita has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 72' A change in the Fagiano Okayama FC ranks — Ataru Esaka exits the field as Masaya Matsumoto enters on 72.
  • 76' Brilliant from the ! Yuki Soma makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 76.
  • 81' A stunning finish from Mitchell Duke — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 84' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Ryunosuke Sato departs to be replaced by Noah Browne.
  • 89' A quiet spell here at City Light Stadium. Fagiano Okayama FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 90' Kanji Kuwayama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takuma Nishimura on 90 minute.
  • 2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Fagiano Okayama FC or FC Machida Zelvia 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fagiano Okayama FC38% Draw23% FC Machida Zelvia39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
62%
Fagiano Okayama FC or FC Machida Zelvia
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fagiano Okayama FC29% Draw37% FC Machida Zelvia34%
Actual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC

Handicap Fagiano Okayama FC covers Push FC Machida Zelvia covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 16% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 17% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 13% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
12%
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.