Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 10 May 2025 · 07:00 UTC Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Head-to-Head

1
1
Kashiwa Reysol 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Fagiano Okayama FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Fagiano Okayama FC H 2–0 W
06 May Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–0 W
29 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 2–1 W
26 Apr Albirex Niigata H 1–1 D
20 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
11 Apr FC Tōkyō A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Kashiwa Reysol A 0–2 L
06 May Nagoya Grampus A 0–0 D
03 May Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
29 Apr Tōkyō Verdy H 0–1 L
25 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 1–1 D
20 Apr Kashima Antlers H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Kashiwa Reysol Fagiano Okayama FC
#17 Position #6
20 Points 26
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
24 Scored 41
25 Conceded 46
-1 GD -5
1.11 PPG 1.44
39% Win % 44%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
29% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
2/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
6/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol
Yusuke Segawa 6 G 2 A
Yoshio Koizumi 3 G 2 A
Tojiro Kubo 2 G 1 A
Keita Endo 2 G
Yuki Kakita 1 G
Fagiano Okayama FC
Kota Kawano 3 G
Lucao 1 G 1 A
Noah Browne 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Kashiwa Reysol are looking to make home advantage count against Fagiano Okayama FC.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Koki Kumasaka suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Noah Browne is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fagiano Okayama FC tonight.
  • 25' Fagiano Okayama FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' Yuki Kakita needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 8 Yellow cards this season.
  • 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Fagiano Okayama FC — Hijiri Kato on, Ryunosuke Sato off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Fagiano Okayama FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 60' Fresh legs for Kashiwa Reysol! Mao Hosoya comes on to replace Hayato Nakama.
  • 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 67' It’s gonna be a card for Ibuki Fujita.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Takaya Kimura as he leaves the pitch. Kazunari Ichimi steps in for Fagiano Okayama FC.
  • 74' Poor challenge from Koki Kumasaka. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 76' What composure from Mao Hosoya! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Tomoya Koyamatsu as he leaves the pitch. Diego steps in for Kashiwa Reysol.
  • 83' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 87' Nobuteru Nakagawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuki Kakita at the 87 minute mark.
  • 90' GOAL! Diego scores on 90. Assisted by Masaki Watai
  • With this win, Kashiwa Reysol is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.73 Kashiwa Reysol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for: Kashiwa Reysol to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kashiwa Reysol60% Draw24% Fagiano Okayama FC16%
Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw
85%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
40%
Kashiwa Reysol or Fagiano Okayama FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kashiwa Reysol41% Draw47% Fagiano Okayama FC12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.4%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol

Handicap Kashiwa Reysol covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 18% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 25% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.