Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | FC Tokyo | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Kashiwa Reysol | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #6 |
| 20 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 24 | Scored | 41 |
| 25 | Conceded | 46 |
| -1 | GD | -5 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ibuki Fujita suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kashiwa Reysol must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' Kashiwa Reysol currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' Japan international Takaya Kimura has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 45' Hiroto Iwabuchi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 56 appearances.
- 46' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Ryunosuke Sato departs to be replaced by Hijiri Kato.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 56' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 60' Mao Hosoya has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hayato Nakama on 60 minute.
- 65' A quiet spell here at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Kashiwa Reysol seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 67' Ibuki Fujita is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
- 69' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Kazunari Ichimi comes on to replace Takaya Kimura.
- 74' Kashiwa Reysol player sees a card in front of him.
- 76' Goal! Mao Hosoya scores his 46 goal in 411 matches.
- 78' Kashiwa Reysol ring the changes. Tomoya Koyamatsu has done his job and it is now time for Diego to step up.
- 83' Kashiwa Reysol is showing some good football. However, Kashiwa Reysol are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 87' Nobuteru Nakagawa gets the nod from Kashiwa Reysol. He replaces Yuki Kakita and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Against the run of play, Diego has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- Full Time. Kashiwa Reysol beats Fagiano Okayama FC
Lineups
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 25
- 6
-
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Diego 78'
-
19
Hayato Nakama ↓ Mao Hosoya 60'
-
8
Yoshio Koizumi ↓ Masaki Watai 60'
-
18
Yuki Kakita ↓ Nobuteru Nakagawa 87'
-
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Tomoya Inukai 87'
- 5
- 24
- 27
Bench
-
13
Tomoya Inukai ↑ 87'
- 17
-
9
Mao Hosoya ↑ 60'
-
11
Masaki Watai ↑ 60'
- 46
-
3
Diego ↑ 78'
- 33
-
39
Nobuteru Nakagawa ↑ 87'
- 37
Coach
Ricardo Rodríguez
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 69'
- 28
- 24
- 15
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↓ Hijiri Kato 46'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 69'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Noah Browne 78'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Yuta Kamiya 60'
- 4
Bench
- 88
- 43
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 69'
- 7
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 60'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↑ 46'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 78'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 69'
- 13
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mao Hosoya | 1 |
| Diego | 1 |
| Hayato Nakama | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
| Hiroto Iwabuchi | 1 |
Head to Head
Kashiwa Reysol Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-05-10
Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-05-06
Nagoya Grampus
0–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-03
Vissel Kobe
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Tokyo Verdy
L
2025-04-25
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-04-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Kashima Antlers
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.73
Kashiwa Reysol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Kashiwa Reysol to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashiwa Reysol win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw
85%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
40%
Kashiwa Reysol or Fagiano Okayama FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.4%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol
| Handicap | Kashiwa Reysol covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 25% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.