Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Kashiwa Reysol | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #6 |
| 20 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 24 | Scored | 41 |
| 25 | Conceded | 46 |
| -1 | GD | -5 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Kashiwa Reysol and Fagiano Okayama FC is underway.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Fagiano Okayama FC is showing some good football. However, Fagiano Okayama FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kashiwa Reysol that had 411 games and scored 345 goals.
- 20' Kashiwa Reysol started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 40' It’s high time Ricardo Rodríguez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kazunari Ichimi made 403 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 46' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Ryunosuke Sato departs to be replaced by Hijiri Kato.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 60' Kashiwa Reysol manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mao Hosoya is hanging Hayato Nakama on the field on 60 minute.
- 65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuta Kamiya suffering a number of foals already.
- 67' That looks like a foul for a card for Ibuki Fujita.
- 69' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 69 minute. Takaya Kimura leaves to be changed by Kazunari Ichimi.
- 74' The referee shows Kashiwa Reysol player a card on 74.
- 76' What a strike from Mao Hosoya! The score is 1-0.
- 78' Diego has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tomoya Koyamatsu on 78 minute.
- 83' It looks like no one’s ball. Kashiwa Reysol is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 87' The Kashiwa Reysol manager makes a substitution. Yuki Kakita departs to be replaced by Nobuteru Nakagawa.
- 90' Goal! Diego scores his 10 goal in 37 matches.
- With this win, Kashiwa Reysol is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 25
- 6
-
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Diego 78'
-
19
Hayato Nakama ↓ Mao Hosoya 60'
-
8
Yoshio Koizumi ↓ Masaki Watai 60'
-
18
Yuki Kakita ↓ Nobuteru Nakagawa 87'
-
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Tomoya Inukai 87'
- 5
- 24
- 27
Bench
-
13
Tomoya Inukai ↑ 87'
- 17
-
9
Mao Hosoya ↑ 60'
-
11
Masaki Watai ↑ 60'
- 46
-
3
Diego ↑ 78'
- 33
-
39
Nobuteru Nakagawa ↑ 87'
- 37
Coach
Ricardo Rodríguez
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 69'
- 28
- 24
- 15
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↓ Hijiri Kato 46'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 69'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Noah Browne 78'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↓ Yuta Kamiya 60'
- 4
Bench
- 88
- 43
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 69'
- 7
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 60'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↑ 46'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 78'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 69'
- 13
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hiroto Iwabuchi | 1 |
| Mao Hosoya | 1 |
| Diego | 1 |
| Hayato Nakama | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
Head to Head
Kashiwa Reysol Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-05-10
Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-05-06
Nagoya Grampus
0–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-03
Vissel Kobe
2–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-04-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Tokyo Verdy
L
2025-04-25
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-04-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Kashima Antlers
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.73
Kashiwa Reysol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Kashiwa Reysol to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashiwa Reysol win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw
85%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
40%
Kashiwa Reysol or Fagiano Okayama FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.4%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol
| Handicap | Kashiwa Reysol covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 25% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

