Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

Shimizu S-Pulse

0 – 3

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 15 May 2021 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira HT 45' · FT 45'

Elsinho 30' Y

Valdo 40' Y

Ryo Okui 60' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Toru Sagara
Referee Masaki Tsuruoka
Referee Hayato Shimizu
Referee Tomokazu Tajiri
Referee Ryosuke Murai
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shimizu S-Pulse 24 games · Avg 2.3 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2021-05-15 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–3 Nagoya Grampus 2020-09-26 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 Shimizu S-Pulse 2020-07-04 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2019-09-13 Shimizu S-Pulse 3–2 Nagoya Grampus 2019-06-22 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Shimizu S-Pulse

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–3	L
09 May	Yokohama FC	H	1–1	D
02 May	Oita FC Trinita	A	0–1	L
25 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–1	D
18 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	0–0	D
11 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	1–1	D

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	3–0	W
12 May	Kashima Antlers	H	0–2	L
08 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	1–0	W
04 May	Kawasaki Frontale	A	2–3	L
29 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	H	0–4	L
22 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse		Nagoya Grampus
#7	Position	#3
24	Points	31
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
40	Scored	46
42	Conceded	44
-2	GD	+2
1.33	PPG	1.72
44%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse

0-15

2/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/2

46-60

1/1

61-75

4/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds IAI Stadium Nihondaira will turn into a battlefield for Shimizu S-Pulse and Nagoya Grampus.
5' Takuji Yonemoto is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
10' Mateus has been relatively quiet despite scoring 40 goals in his last 439 appearances.
15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Massimo Ficcadenti might look to freshen things up shortly.
20' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
24' Against the run of play, Yoichiro Kakitani has scored! This game has turned on its head.
25' Magnificent from Yoichiro Kakitani! That is 20 goals in 369 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
30' That is a Yellow card for Shimizu S-Pulse. Elsinho will be fuming at that decision.
35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
40' It’s a booking for Shimizu S-Pulse player. Valdo gets a Yellow card.
45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Shimizu S-Pulse must find a spark to ignite this game.
46' A change in the Shimizu S-Pulse ranks — Valdo exits the field as Yoshinori Suzuki enters on 46.
50' Mateus has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 50 minutes.
54' Yuta Taki is replacing Yuito Suzuki for the Shimizu S-Pulse side.
55' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Yasuki Kimoto on, Yuichi Maruyama off on 55 minutes.
60' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ryo Okui on 60 minutes.
65' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
67' A tactical swap from Shimizu S-Pulse — Hiroshi Ibusuki on, Katsuhiro Nakayama off on 67 minutes.
68' Time for substitution for Shimizu S-Pulse. Ryo Okui is replaced by Akira Disaro.
73' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
78' Shimizu S-Pulse are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
80' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Gabriel Xavier exits the field as Manabu Saito enters on 80.
85' Over 85 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
89' Goal! Mateus scores his 40 goal in 439 matches.
90' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Mateus departs to be replaced by Naoki Maeda.
That’s it! Another goalless match for Shimizu S-Pulse and Nagoya Grampus (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

Starting XI

5
Valdo ↓ Yoshinori Suzuki 46'
18
Elsinho
37
Shuichi Gonda
9
Thiago Santana
2
Yugo Tatsuta
17
Yosuke Kawai
10
Carlinhos ↓ Eiichi Katayama 54'
11
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↓ Hiroshi Ibusuki 67'
21
Ryo Okui ↓ Akira Disaro 67'
13
Kota Miyamoto
23
Yuito Suzuki ↓ Yuta Taki 54'

Bench

7
Eiichi Katayama ↑ 54'
26
Yuta Taki ↑ 54'
50
Yoshinori Suzuki ↑ 46'
27
Hiroshi Ibusuki ↑ 67'
3
William Matheus
19
Akira Disaro ↑ 67'
25
Kengo Nagai

Coach Miguel Angel Lotina

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Hiroyuki Abe ↑ 90'
19
Manabu Saito ↑ 80'
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 80'
14
Yasuki Kimoto ↑ 55'
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 90'
21
Yohei Takeda
17
Ryoya Morishita

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kenta Nishizawa	4
Thiago Santana	4
Naoki Maeda	3
Yoichiro Kakitani	2
Mateus	2
Shota Kaneko	2
Koya Kitagawa	2
Yuki Soma	2

Head to Head

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2021-05-15 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–3 Nagoya Grampus L 2021-05-09 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Yokohama FC D 2021-05-02 Oita FC Trinita 1–0 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2021-04-25 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2021-04-18 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Shimizu S-Pulse D 2021-04-11 Vissel Kobe 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2021-05-15 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2021-05-12 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Kashima Antlers L 2021-05-08 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2021-05-04 Kawasaki Frontale 3–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2021-04-29 Nagoya Grampus 0–4 Kawasaki Frontale L 2021-04-22 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Gamba Osaka W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.46 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Shimizu S-Pulse33% Draw23% Nagoya Grampus44%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes78% 0% No22%

Avg goals/match: 4.46

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	81%	19%
± 3.5	64%	36%
± 4.5	45%	55%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw

56%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

67%

Shimizu S-Pulse or Nagoya Grampus

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Shimizu S-Pulse27% Draw35% Nagoya Grampus38%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–3 not predicted

0 – 3

Actual

1 – 2

6.9%

2 – 2

6.7%

1 – 1

6.4%

2 – 1

5.6%

1 – 3

5.5%

2 – 3

5.5%

3 – 2

4.5%

3 – 1

3.7%

0 – 2

3.7%

3 – 3

3.7%

1 – 4

3.4%

2 – 4

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap	Shimizu S-Pulse covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	9%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	15%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	18%	30%
+1.5	70%	—	30%
+2	70%	14%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

14% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.