Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | FC Tokyo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Nov | Albirex Niigata | H | 5–2 | W |
| 26 Oct | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Oct | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Shonan Bellmare are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Shonan Bellmare seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' Kota Sanada has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' Hiroaki Okuno has been relatively quiet despite scoring 27 goals in his last 275 appearances.
- 33' Controversy at the stadium! Ryo Germain argues furiously but the card stands.
- 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 43' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 48' Shonan Bellmare is showing some good football. However, Shonan Bellmare are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
- 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sanfrecce Hiroshima that had 335 games and scored 427 goals.
- 66' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Mutsuki Kato on, Tolgay Arslan off on 66 minutes.
- 69' Shonan Bellmare make a change. Shusuke Ota trudges off to be replaced by Tomoya Fujii on 69 minutes.
- 74' Shonan Bellmare is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 78' A stunning finish from Hayao Kawabe — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 82' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Sota Nakamura is withdrawn and Daiki Suga gets his opportunity.
- 86' Magnificent from Valere Germain! That is 44 goals in 465 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 90' A change in the Shonan Bellmare ranks — Akimi Barada exits the field as Keigo Watanabe enters on 90.
- The final score is 2-1.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Valere Germain 82'
- 19
- 1
- 6
- 33
- 4
- 14
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Mutsuki Kato 66'
- 32
- 15
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↓ Daiki Suga 82'
Bench
-
98
Valere Germain ↑ 82'
-
18
Daiki Suga ↑ 82'
- 3
- 41
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 66'
- 25
- 13
- 21
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 66'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Shonan Bellmare Lineups
Starting XI
- 37
- 31
- 4
-
14
Akimi Barada ↓ Keigo Watanabe 90'
- 47
-
18
Masaki Ikeda ↓ Kohei Okuno 82'
- 10
-
28
Shusuke Ota ↓ Tomoya Fujii 69'
- 32
-
72
Rio Nitta ↓ Sena Ishibashi 82'
-
17
Soki Tamura ↓ Hiroaki Okuno 90'
Bench
-
25
Hiroaki Okuno ↑ 90'
- 22
- 8
-
15
Kohei Okuno ↑ 82'
-
50
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 69'
- 81
- 33
-
29
Keigo Watanabe ↑ 90'
-
20
Sena Ishibashi ↑ 82'
Coach
Satoshi Yamaguchi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patric | 3 |
| Patric | 3 |
| Douglas Vieira | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Satoshi Tanaka | 2 |
| Yuki Ohashi | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Shuto Nakano | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-12-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Shonan Bellmare
W
2025-11-30
Kawasaki Frontale
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-11-09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2025-10-25
Yokohama F.Marinos
3–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-10-17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
FC Tokyo
D
2025-10-04
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
FC Machida Zelvia
W
Shonan Bellmare Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.45
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
80%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
48%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Shonan Bellmare
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
13.2%
0 – 0
12%
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Shonan Bellmare covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

