FC Tōkyō vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tōkyō vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at National Stadium.
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–3 | L |
| 17 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May | FC Tōkyō | A | 3–0 | W |
| 17 May | Tokyo Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Tōkyō | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 37 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 41 |
| 42 | Conceded | 33 |
| +13 | GD | +8 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
8/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at National Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Keisuke Osako, as he is very good at scoring at National Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 15' FC Tōkyō started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hiroya Matsumoto made 335 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 23' It’s a booking for Sanfrecce Hiroshima player. Tsukasa Shiotani gets a card.
- 28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sanfrecce Hiroshima that had 335 games and scored 427 goals.
- 33' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
- 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 46' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Naoki Maeda by Sota Nakamura on 46 minute.
- 49' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is taking the lead after the goal scored by Hayato Araki on 49.
- 54' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Naoto Arai suffering a number of foals already.
- 59' GOAL! Ryo Germain scores on 59.
- 62' The FC Tokyo manager makes a substitution. Takahiro Ko departs to be replaced by Keigo Higashi.
- 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 72' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 73' Time for substitution for FC Tokyo. Kein Sato is replaced by Teruhito Nakagawa.
- 78' The whistle greets Marcelo Ryan as he departs to be replaced by Teppei Oka.
- 83' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is showing some good football. However, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 85' Kei Koizumi was booked on 85.
- 88' Goal! Hayao Kawabe scores his 21 goal in 335 matches.
- 90' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Valere Germain is hanging Mutsuki Kato on the field on 90 minute.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for FC Tōkyō and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 47
- 99
- 22
- 8
- 37
- 41
- 44
- 33
- 32
- 7
- 16
Bench
- 3
- 10
- 39
- 4
- 13
- 30
- 19
- 28
- 27
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Hiroya Matsumoto 90'
- 19
- 1
- 6
- 24
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Sota Nakamura 46'
- 33
-
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Taichi Yamasaki 90'
- 13
- 15
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Valere Germain 90'
Bench
-
98
Valere Germain ↑ 90'
- 18
-
3
Taichi Yamasaki ↑ 90'
-
5
Hiroya Matsumoto ↑ 90'
- 20
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 90'
- 40
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 46'
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 5 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 3 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 3 |
| Adailton | 3 |
| Shuto Abe | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Tōkyō Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-05-25
FC Tōkyō
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Tokyo Verdy
W
2025-05-11
Gamba Osaka
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-07
Shonan Bellmare
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-05-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2025-04-29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Albirex Niigata
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85
FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
FC Tōkyō or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.95
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
FC Tōkyō or Draw
57%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
67%
FC Tōkyō or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–3 not predicted0 – 3Actual
1 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
1 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō
| Handicap | FC Tōkyō covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 16% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 18% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
17%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.