FC Tōkyō vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

FC Tōkyō

0 – 3

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sun 25 May 2025 · 06:00 UTC National Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 23' Tsukasa Shiotani

Kei Koizumi 85' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tōkyō vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at National Stadium.

FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Tōkyō 18 games · Avg 2.7 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-25 FC Tōkyō 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tōkyō 2024-03-02 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-10-28 FC Tōkyō 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-04-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 FC Tōkyō

Recent Form

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–3	L
17 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	2–3	L
10 May	Vissel Kobe	H	1–0	W
03 May	Albirex Niigata	A	3–2	W
29 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	0–2	L
25 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 May	FC Tōkyō	A	3–0	W
17 May	Tōkyō Verdy	H	2–1	W
11 May	Gamba Osaka	A	1–0	W
07 May	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–0	W
03 May	Avispa Fukuoka	H	2–1	W
29 Apr	Albirex Niigata	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

FC Tōkyō		Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#12	Position	#4
37	Points	30
18	Played	18
13 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
55	Scored	41
42	Conceded	33
+13	GD	+8
2.06	PPG	1.67
72%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

0% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Tokyo and Sanfrecce Hiroshima is underway.
5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Seiji Kimura suffering a number of foals already.
10' Tsukasa Shiotani has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
15' FC Tokyo are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
20' Soma Anzai needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
23' Tsukasa Shiotani is having his name booked by the referee on 23.
28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Taichi Yamasaki made 336 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
33' FC Tokyo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
38' Sota Koshimichi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
43' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
46' Sota Nakamura gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Naoki Maeda and will look to change the dynamic.
49' Hayato Araki adds to his 1 season tally! Sanfrecce Hiroshima lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
54' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
59' The Japan Ryo Germain breaks the deadlock on 59 minutes. 0-2!
62' FC Tokyo ring the changes. Takahiro Ko has done his job and it is now time for Keigo Higashi to step up.
67' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
72' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
73' Fresh legs for FC Tokyo! Teruhito Nakagawa comes on to replace Kein Sato.
78' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Marcelo Ryan by Teppei Oka on 78 minute.
83' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Tokyo and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
85' Controversy at the stadium! Kei Koizumi argues furiously but the card stands.
88' Hayao Kawabe makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
90' Valere Germain is replacing Mutsuki Kato for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Sanfrecce Hiroshima to claim maximum points.

Lineups

FC Tōkyō Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

9
Ryo Germain ↓ Hiroya Matsumoto 90'
19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
6
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Sota Nakamura 46'
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↓ Sota Koshimichi 90'
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Taichi Yamasaki 90'
13
Naoto Arai
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Valere Germain 90'

Bench

98
Valere Germain ↑ 90'
18
Daiki Suga
3
Taichi Yamasaki ↑ 90'
5
Hiroya Matsumoto ↑ 90'
20
Shion Inoue
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 90'
40
Motoki Ohara
39
Sota Nakamura ↑ 46'
26
Min-ki Jeong

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Diego Oliveira	5
Adailton	3
Tsukasa Morishima	3
Tolgay Arslan	3
Shuto Abe	2
Hayao Kawabe	2
Diego Oliveira	2
Hayato Araki	2

Head to Head

FC Tōkyō Form

2025-05-25 FC Tōkyō 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2025-05-17 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–2 FC Tōkyō L 2025-05-10 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Vissel Kobe W 2025-05-03 Albirex Niigata 2–3 FC Tōkyō W 2025-04-29 FC Tōkyō 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2025-04-25 FC Tōkyō 3–0 Gamba Osaka W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2025-05-25 FC Tōkyō 0–3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-05-17 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Tōkyō Verdy W 2025-05-11 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-05-07 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2025-05-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka W 2025-04-29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Albirex Niigata L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.85 FC Tōkyō xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: FC Tōkyō or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Tōkyō33% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima43%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes73% 0% No27%

Avg goals/match: 3.95

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

FC Tōkyō or Draw

57%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

67%

FC Tōkyō or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Tōkyō28% Draw38% Sanfrecce Hiroshima34%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–3 not predicted

0 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

8.3%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

6.7%

1 – 3

5.3%

2 – 3

4.9%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 2

4.3%

3 – 1

4.1%

0 – 1

3.6%

2 – 0

3.4%

1 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō

Handicap	FC Tōkyō covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	10%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	16%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	56%	—	44%
+1	56%	18%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	13%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

17% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.