Monday , 27 July 2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba OsakaJ. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara
7 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 7.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Gamba Osaka H 2–0 W
27 Feb Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–2 L
22 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–1 W
14 Feb Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
06 Feb V-Varen Nagasaki A 3–1 W
06 Dec Shonan Bellmare H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L
08 Mar V-Varen Nagasaki H 3–2 W
28 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse H 2–0 W
22 Feb Fagiano Okayama FC A 2–1 W
15 Feb Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
07 Feb Cerezo Osaka FC A 5–4 W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Gamba Osaka
#4 Position #5
30 Points 28
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 61
33 Conceded 53
+8 GD +8
1.67 PPG 1.56
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 5 G 4 A
Shunki Higashi 3 G 7 A
Sota Nakamura 3 G 2 A
Ryo Germain 3 G 1 A
Shuto Nakano 3 G 1 A
Gamba Osaka
Deniz Hummet 8 G
Harumi Minamino 6 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima52% Draw21% Gamba Osaka27%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
73%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
48%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Gamba Osaka
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima40% Draw35% Gamba Osaka25%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
4.2%
4 – 1
3.8%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 3
3.7%
4 – 2
3.7%
1 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 15% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 18% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 14% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
15%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.