Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyōto Sanga FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyōto Sanga FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Kyōto Sanga FC 18 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | FC Tōkyō | A | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jul | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Kyōto Sanga FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 30 | Points | 23 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 41 | Scored | 32 |
| 33 | Conceded | 39 |
| +8 | GD | -7 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.28 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Kyōto Sanga FC this season
Kyōto Sanga FC this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Kyōto Sanga FC are 8th (23 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kyōto Sanga FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/8
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Kyōto Sanga FC
| Rafael Elias | 7 G | 4 A |
| Haruki Arai | 4 G | |
| Ryuma Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima that hosts another battle between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyōto Sanga FC.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Masaya Okugawa, as he is very good at scoring at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Kyōto Sanga FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' The travelling Kyōto Sanga FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' Shimpei Fukuoka is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Taichi Hara made 449 appearances and scored 30 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyōto Sanga FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 45' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 456 goals from 347 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 46' Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kosuke Kinoshita is hanging Naoki Maeda on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' Leo Gomes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Shohei Takeda at the 56 minute mark.
- 61' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Mutsuki Kato exits the field as Valere Germain enters on 61.
- 63' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is taking the lead after the goal scored by Sho Sasaki on 63.
- 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Papagaio on 67.
- 72' Taiki Hirato makes way for Marco Tulio at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kyoto Sanga FC.
- 76' The crowd applauds Shimpei Fukuoka as he leaves the pitch. Ryuma Nakano steps in for Kyoto Sanga FC.
- 81' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shuto Nakano suffering a number of foals already.
- 86' Poor challenge from Marco Tulio. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 86' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Ryo Germain is withdrawn and Hayao Kawabe gets his opportunity.
- 88' Against the run of play, Papagaio has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 90' That is a card for Kyoto Sanga FC. Gakuji Ota will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Hayato Araki. He replaces Yotaro Nakajima on 90 minute.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Hayao Kawabe 86'
- 19
- 1
- 3
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Naoto Arai 90'
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Kosuke Kinoshita 46'
- 33
- 14
- 15
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↓ Hayato Araki 90'
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Valere Germain 61'
Bench
- 10
-
98
Valere Germain ↑ 61'
-
6
Hayao Kawabe ↑ 86'
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 46'
-
4
Hayato Araki ↑ 90'
-
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 90'
- 26
- 37
- 45
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Kyōto Sanga FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 14
-
39
Taiki Hirato ↓ Marco Tulio 72'
- 50
- 24
-
16
Shohei Takeda ↓ Leo Gomes 56'
- 44
-
10
Shimpei Fukuoka ↓ Ryuma Nakano 76'
- 26
-
27
Fuki Yamada ↓ Masaya Okugawa 46'
- 22
Bench
-
29
Masaya Okugawa ↑ 46'
-
25
Leo Gomes ↑ 56'
-
11
Marco Tulio ↑ 72'
-
2
Shinnosuke Fukuda ↑ 56'
- 18
- 21
-
48
Ryuma Nakano ↑ 76'
- 5
- 93
Coach
Kwi-Jea Cho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Naoto Arai | 3 |
| Takumu Kawamura | 2 |
| Yusuke Chajima | 2 |
| Yuta Toyokawa | 2 |
| Taishi Matsumoto | 2 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Papagaio | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-09-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Kyōto Sanga FC
D
2025-08-31
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-08-23
Tōkyō Verdy
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-08-20
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Vissel Kobe
L
2025-08-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Gamba Osaka
W
2025-08-10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
Kyōto Sanga FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.78
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Kyōto Sanga FC xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Kyōto Sanga FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
70%
Draw or Kyōto Sanga FC
56%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Kyōto Sanga FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Kyōto Sanga FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Kyōto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

