FC Tōkyō vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tōkyō vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Oct | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Oct | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Sep | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Tōkyō | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 37 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 41 |
| 42 | Conceded | 33 |
| +13 | GD | +8 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
85%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
| Motoki Nagakura | 8 G | 3 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 5 G | 2 A |
| Dani Gomez | 5 G | |
| Soma Anzai | 5 G | |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 4 G | 2 A |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Tokyo launch into their encounter with Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 5' Tsukasa Shiotani, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' FC Tokyo are deployed in a 4-2-1-3 today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 15' Japan international Kei Koizumi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Teruhito Nakagawa, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 9 goals in the last 8 games.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Tokyo and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 37' Henrique Trevisan was booked on 37.
- 42' That looks like a foul for a card for Shunki Higashi.
- 47' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tokyo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 48' What composure from Mutsuki Kato! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shuto Nakano made 348 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 57' That is a card for FC Tokyo. Kei Koizumi will be fuming at that decision.
- 58' Douglas Vieira picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 62' GOAL! Hayato Araki scores on 62.
- 67' FC Tokyo currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 72' Kota Tawaratsumida has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adailton on 72 minute.
- 75' What composure from Makoto Mitsuta! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-3.
- 79' Keigo Higashi is replacing Riki Harakawa for the FC Tokyo side.
- 84' named a 4-2-1-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 87' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Douglas Vieira departs to be replaced by Nassim Ben Khalifa.
- 88' Shuhei Tokumoto is replacing Kashif Bangunagande for the FC Tokyo side.
- 90' Nassim Ben Khalifa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- With this win, Sanfrecce Hiroshima is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Tōkyō Lineups
4-2-1-3Starting XI
- 3
- 49
- 9
- 40
- 39
- 37
- 15
- 41
- 44
- 11
- 7
Bench
- 10
- 4
- 27
- 33
- 26
- 17
- 29
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
14
Ezequiel ↓ Takaaki Shichi 87'
- 19
- 38
- 8
- 24
- 33
- 9
- 4
- 11
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 22
- 7
- 3
- 17
-
13
Nassim Ben Khalifa ↑ 87'
-
16
Takaaki Shichi ↑ 87'
- 35
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 5 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 3 |
| Adailton | 3 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 3 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Tōkyō Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2023-10-28
FC Tōkyō
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2023-10-21
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
D
2023-09-30
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–1
Nagoya Grampus
W
2023-09-23
Kyōto Sanga FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2023-09-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Vissel Kobe
W
2023-09-02
Sagan Tosu FC
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.28
FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + FC Tōkyō or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 77%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
FC Tōkyō or Draw
68%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55%
FC Tōkyō or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.2%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō
| Handicap | FC Tōkyō covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 18% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

