Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F·Marinos, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

6 – 2

Full Time

Yokohama F·Marinos

Sun 22 Sep 2024 · 09:30 UTC Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F·Marinos — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Yokohama F·Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 games · Avg 3.5 goals Yokohama F·Marinos

Last 5 meetings

2024-09-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–2 Yokohama F·Marinos 2024-06-19 Yokohama F·Marinos 3–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-06-24 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Yokohama F·Marinos 2023-03-03 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2022-07-06 Yokohama F·Marinos 3–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	6–2	W
14 Sep	Kashima Antlers	A	2–2	D
31 Aug	FC Tokyo	H	3–2	W
25 Aug	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–0	W
17 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	A	2–1	W
11 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–0	W

Yokohama F·Marinos

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	2–6	L
13 Sep	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	1–2	L
24 Aug	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	4–0	W
17 Aug	Kawasaki Frontale	A	3–1	W
11 Aug	Vissel Kobe	H	1–2	L
07 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Yokohama F·Marinos
#4	Position	#18
30	Points	20
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	6 / 0 / 12
41	Scored	31
33	Conceded	35
+8	GD	-4
1.67	PPG	1.11
56%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

46% Clean Sheets
Yokohama F·Marinos this season

Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Yokohama F·Marinos are 18th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/2

46-60

7/2

61-75

7/1

76+

6/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Yokohama F·Marinos

0-15

5/–

16-30

3/–

31-45

3/3

46-60

4/–

61-75

1/5

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	10 G	4 A
Mutsuki Kato	3 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	3 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A

Yokohama F·Marinos

Kaina Tanimura	7 G	1 A
Shin Miidera	2 G
Taisei Inoue	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is hosting Yokohama F.Marinos for another epic battle.
3' Mutsuki Kato does the damage! The net is bulging and Sanfrecce Hiroshima surge ahead!
8' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Yokohama F.Marinos's shape.
13' The 31-year-old Hayao Kawabe has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
18' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
19' GOAL! Kenta Inoue fires home to make it 1-1!
22' Tolgay Arslan doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
27' Taiki Watanabe has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
28' Another change for Yokohama F.Marinos made on 28 minute. Jun Amano leaves to be changed by Asahi Uenaka.
33' Yokohama F.Marinos started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
38' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
40' A goal from the Germany international Tolgay Arslan! He fires home on 40 to make it 3-1!
45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
46' Anderson Lopes has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
46' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Naoto Arai comes on to replace Goncalo Paciencia.
48' Against the run of play, Naoto Arai has scored! This game has turned on its head.
53' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
58' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
59' Keigo Sakakibara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Riku Yamane on 59 minute.
64' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
69' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Yokohama F.Marinos backline.
72' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Tolgay Arslan is replaced by Makoto Mitsuta.
77' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
81' Time for substitution for Yokohama F.Marinos. Kenta Inoue is replaced by Kota Mizunuma.
82' The whistle greets Katsuya Nagato as he departs to be replaced by Taiki Watanabe.
83' Magnificent from Shunki Higashi! That is 14 goals in 348 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
87' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Mutsuki Kato trudges off to be replaced by Pieros Sotiriou on 87 minutes.
90' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Osamu Henry Iyoha on, Shunki Higashi off on 90 minutes.
6-2 the final result. Yokohama F.Marinos will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

99
Goncalo Paciencia ↓ Naoto Arai 46'
19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
14
Taishi Matsumoto ↓ Yoshifumi Kashiwa 90'
66
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Osamu Henry Iyoha 90'
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
4
Hayato Araki
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 72'
15
Shuto Nakano
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 87'

Bench

22
Goro Kawanami
18
Yoshifumi Kashiwa ↑ 90'
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 87'
9
Douglas Vieira
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 46'
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 72'
27
Osamu Henry Iyoha ↑ 90'

Coach Michael Skibbe

Yokohama F·Marinos Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

18
Kota Mizunuma ↑ 81'
26
Yuta Koike
14
Asahi Uenaka ↑ 28'
39
Taiki Watanabe ↑ 82'
35
Keigo Sakakibara ↑ 59'
41
Riku Terakado
16
Ren Kato ↑ 82'

Coach John Hutchinson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patric	4
Daizen Maeda	4
Patric	4
Anderson Lopes	3
Shunki Higashi	3
Leandro Pereira	2
Tolgay Arslan	2
Marcos Junior	2

Head to Head

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-09-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–2 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2024-09-14 Kashima Antlers 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tokyo W 2024-08-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol W 2024-08-17 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-08-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Yokohama F·Marinos Form

2024-09-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–2 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2024-09-13 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–2 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2024-08-24 Yokohama F·Marinos 4–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2024-08-17 Kawasaki Frontale 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2024-08-11 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–2 Vissel Kobe L 2024-08-07 Yokohama F·Marinos 3–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.77 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.67 Yokohama F·Marinos xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima58% Draw20% Yokohama F·Marinos22%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.44

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	80%	20%
± 3.5	63%	37%
± 4.5	45%	55%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw

78%

Draw or Yokohama F·Marinos

42%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Yokohama F·Marinos

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sanfrecce Hiroshima46% Draw34% Yokohama F·Marinos20%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–2 not predicted

6 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.5%

3 – 1

6.7%

1 – 1

6.2%

2 – 2

6.1%

3 – 2

5.6%

2 – 0

4.7%

4 – 1

4.6%

1 – 2

4.6%

3 – 0

4.2%

4 – 2

3.9%

2 – 3

3.4%

3 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers	Push	Yokohama F·Marinos covers
-2.5	24%	—	76%
-2	24%	17%	60%
-1.5	40%	—	60%
-1	40%	19%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	11%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Yokohama F·Marinos keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.