Sagan Tosu FC vs Urawa Red Diamonds, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sagan Tosu FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Urawa Red Diamonds

Sun 11 Aug 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 23' Rikito Inoue

R 79' Shusaku Nishikawa

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Urawa Red Diamonds — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Urawa Red Diamonds 18 games · 25 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.5 goals Urawa Red Diamonds

Last 5 meetings

2024-08-11 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds 2024-04-07 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-07-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Urawa Red Diamonds 2023-05-10 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-10-08 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Aug	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–1	D
07 Aug	Kashima Antlers	A	0–3	L
21 Jul	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–4	L
14 Jul	Gamba Osaka	H	0–2	L
06 Jul	Albirex Niigata	A	4–3	W
03 Jul	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	1–0	W

Urawa Red Diamonds

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Aug	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–1	D
20 Jul	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	3–4	L
14 Jul	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	0–0	D
06 Jul	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–3	L
30 Jun	Júbilo Iwata	H	3–0	W
26 Jun	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Urawa Red Diamonds this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Urawa Red Diamonds

0-15

1/1

16-30

4/3

31-45

4/3

46-60

–/2

61-75

2/4

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Urawa Red Diamonds

Matheus Savio	4 G
Minamino Harumi	4 G
Takuro Kaneko	1 G	5 A
Hiiro Komori	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Sagan Tosu FC and Urawa Red Diamonds.
5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
15' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
23' That looks like a foul for a card for Rikito Inoue.
28' Urawa Red Diamonds come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
33' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Kawai might look to freshen things up shortly.
38' Yoshiki Narahara has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yusuke Matsuo made 143 appearances and scored 25 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
48' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
53' Yoichi Naganuma needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
58' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kaito Yasui, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
61' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Keisuke Sakaiya has done his job and it is now time for Yusuke Maruhashi to step up.
63' Urawa Red Diamonds manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yusuke Matsuo is hanging Rio Nitta on the field on 63 minute.
68' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
73' Yusuke Matsuo puts Urawa Red Diamonds on the lead.
77' Shota Hino makes way for Hiroshi Kiyotake at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
79' That is a card for Urawa Red Diamonds. Shusaku Nishikawa will be fuming at that decision.
83' Ayumi Niekawa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takahiro Sekine on 83 minute.
84' Marcelo Ryan adds to his 2 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
89' Japan international Ayumu Ohata has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
90' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Wataru Harada is replaced by Kento Nishiya on 90 minute.
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Seiji Kimura
6
Akito Fukuta
99
Marcelo Ryan
71
Il-kyu Park
8
Hikaru Nakahara
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Kento Nishiya 90'
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↓ Jaja Silva 61'
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↓ Yusuke Maruhashi 61'
18
Shota Hino ↓ Hiroshi Kiyotake 77'

Bench

28
Yusuke Maruhashi ↑ 61'
55
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 77'
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 61'
31
Masahiro Okamoto
20
Tae-hyeon Kim
33
Kento Nishiya ↑ 90'

Coach Kenta Kawai

Urawa Red Diamonds Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Shoya Nakajima
24
Yusuke Matsuo ↑ 63'
47
Hidetoshi Takeda ↑ 77'
88
Yoichi Naganuma ↑ 83'
20
Yota Sato
16
Ayumi Niekawa ↑ 83'
19
Shion Homma ↑ 77'

Coach Per-Mathias Høgmo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Keita Yamashita	3
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Shinzo Koroki	2
Yusuke Matsuo	2
Ataru Esaka	2
Yuki Muto	2
Hideto Takahashi	1
Fuchi Honda	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-08-11 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2024-08-07 Kashima Antlers 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-07-21 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-07-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Gamba Osaka L 2024-07-06 Albirex Niigata 3–4 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-07-03 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC W

Urawa Red Diamonds Form

2024-08-11 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2024-07-20 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–4 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L 2024-07-14 Kyoto Sanga FC 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2024-07-06 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–3 Shonan Bellmare L 2024-06-30 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–0 Júbilo Iwata W 2024-06-26 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.04 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.31 Urawa Red Diamonds xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Urawa Red Diamonds 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw30% Urawa Red Diamonds38%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.35

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	41%	59%
± 3.5	21%	79%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

62%

Draw or Urawa Red Diamonds

68%

Sagan Tosu FC or Urawa Red Diamonds

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC21% Draw50% Urawa Red Diamonds29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

11.8%

0 – 1

11.4%

1 – 0

8.8%

1 – 2

8.2%

0 – 2

7.9%

2 – 1

6.5%

2 – 0

2 – 2

4.4%

1 – 3

3.6%

0 – 3

3.4%

3 – 1

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Urawa Red Diamonds covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	8%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	17%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	22%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	12%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Urawa Red Diamonds keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.