Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kyoto Sanga FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuji Ono 9' 1–0
1–1 33' Taichi Hara
1–2 60' Yuta Toyokawa
Ryonosuke Kabayama 90+9' 2–2
Hwang Seokho 90+12' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kyoto Sanga FCJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–2 W
23 Sep FC Tōkyō A 2–3 L
15 Sep Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
26 Aug Gamba Osaka H 1–1 D
19 Aug Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 2–3 L
23 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–0 W
15 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
03 Sep Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
26 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 2–0 W
19 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
/6
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sagan Tosu FC and Kyoto Sanga FC get this one started.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Kawai might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 9' Brilliant from the ! Yuji Ono makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 9.
  • 14' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Kyoto Sanga FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 19' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 24' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 29' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 33' The Japan Taichi Hara breaks the deadlock on 33 minutes. 1-1!
  • 36' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yoichi Naganuma.
  • 41' The travelling Kyoto Sanga FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' Kyoto Sanga FC is showing some good football. However, Kyoto Sanga FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuki Horigome suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' A goal from the Japan international Yuta Toyokawa! He fires home on 60 to make it 1-2!
  • 65' Ryogo Yamasaki is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kyoto Sanga FC so far.
  • 66' Cayman Togashi is replacing Yuto Iwasaki for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 70' The whistle greets Yuta Toyokawa as he departs to be replaced by Fuki Yamada.
  • 75' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 77' Naoto Misawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryogo Yamasaki at the 77 minute mark.
  • 82' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 85' That is a card for Sagan Tosu FC. Naoyuki Fujita will be fuming at that decision.
  • 85' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryonosuke Kabayama is hanging Yuki Horigome on the field on 85 minute.
  • 88' Temma Matsuda makes way for Daigo Araki at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kyoto Sanga FC.
  • 90' Hisashi Appiah Tawiah was booked on 90.
  • Sagan Tosu FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Kyoto Sanga FC xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Kyoto Sanga FC 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC42% Draw26% Kyoto Sanga FC32%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Kyoto Sanga FC
58%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kyoto Sanga FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC30% Draw45% Kyoto Sanga FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.6%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kyoto Sanga FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.