Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kyoto Sanga FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuji Ono 9' 1–0
1–1 33' Taichi Hara
1–2 60' Yuta Toyokawa
Ryonosuke Kabayama 90+9' 2–2
Hwang Seokho 90+12' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kyoto Sanga FCJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–2 W
23 Sep FC Tokyo A 2–3 L
15 Sep Yokohama F.Marinos A 1–1 D
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
26 Aug Gamba Osaka H 1–1 D
19 Aug Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 2–3 L
23 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–0 W
15 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
03 Sep Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
26 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 2–0 W
19 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
2/
61-75
/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Kyoto Sanga FC get us underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
  • 5' Shinnosuke Fukuda, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 9' Yuji Ono makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Sagan Tosu FC are in front.
  • 14' Kyoto Sanga FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 19' Hwang Seokho needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 16 Yellow cards this season.
  • 24' The travelling Kyoto Sanga FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 29' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gwi-jae Cho will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 33' Magnificent from Taichi Hara! That is 28 goals in 437 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 36' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 41' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 46' Kyoto Sanga FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 51' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 60' Sensational shot from Yuta Toyokawa. Kyoto Sanga FC is back in the lead.
  • 65' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 66' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yuto Iwasaki is withdrawn and Cayman Togashi gets his opportunity.
  • 70' Another change for Kyoto Sanga FC made on 70 minute. Yuta Toyokawa leaves to be changed by Fuki Yamada.
  • 75' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 77' Naoto Misawa gets the nod from Kyoto Sanga FC. He replaces Ryogo Yamasaki and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 85' That looks like a foul for a card for Naoyuki Fujita.
  • 85' Ryonosuke Kabayama gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yuki Horigome and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' Daigo Araki is replacing Temma Matsuda for the Kyoto Sanga FC side.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Kyoto Sanga FC player. Hisashi Appiah Tawiah gets a card.
  • It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Kyoto Sanga FC share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Kyoto Sanga FC xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Kyoto Sanga FC 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC42% Draw26% Kyoto Sanga FC32%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Kyoto Sanga FC
58%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kyoto Sanga FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC30% Draw45% Kyoto Sanga FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.6%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kyoto Sanga FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.