Thursday , 1 October 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kyoto Sanga FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuji Ono 9' 1–0
1–1 33' Taichi Hara
1–2 60' Yuta Toyokawa
Ryonosuke Kabayama 90+9' 2–2
Hwang Seokho 90+12' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kyoto Sanga FC — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–2 W
23 Sep FC Tokyo A 2–3 L
15 Sep Yokohama F.Marinos A 1–1 D
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
26 Aug Gamba Osaka H 1–1 D
19 Aug Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 2–3 L
23 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–0 W
15 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–0 D
03 Sep Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
26 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 2–0 W
19 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/7
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC
Rafael Elias 5 G 3 A
Ryuma Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Sagan Tosu FC vs Kyoto Sanga FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 9' Brilliant from the ! Yuji Ono makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 9.
  • 14' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 14 minutes.
  • 19' Over 19 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 24' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 29' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kyoto Sanga FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 33' Taichi Hara doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 36' Yoichi Naganuma picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 41' Kyoto Sanga FC have won 195 goals from 166 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 46' Kyoto Sanga FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 56' Hisashi Appiah Tawiah needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 60' GOAL! Yuta Toyokawa fires home to make it 1-2!
  • 65' Kyoto Sanga FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 66' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 66 minute. Yuto Iwasaki leaves to be changed by Cayman Togashi.
  • 70' Fuki Yamada gets the nod from Kyoto Sanga FC. He replaces Yuta Toyokawa and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shogo Asada suffering a number of foals already.
  • 77' Naoto Misawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryogo Yamasaki at the 77 minute mark.
  • 82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 85' The referee has no hesitation. Naoyuki Fujita is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — card on 85.
  • 85' The crowd applauds Yuki Horigome as he leaves the pitch. Ryonosuke Kabayama steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 88' The supporters are chanting for Daigo Araki. He replaces Temma Matsuda on 88 minute.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Hisashi Appiah Tawiah argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Full Time. Sagan Tosu FC beats Kyoto Sanga FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Kyoto Sanga FC xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Kyoto Sanga FC 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC42% Draw26% Kyoto Sanga FC32%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Kyoto Sanga FC
58%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kyoto Sanga FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC30% Draw45% Kyoto Sanga FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.6%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kyoto Sanga FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.