Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sagan Tosu FC

1 – 4

Full Time

Kashiwa Reysol

Sun 30 Jun 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Tae-hyeon Kim 78' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 14 games · Avg 3.0 goals Kashiwa Reysol

Last 5 meetings

2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-11-25 Kashiwa Reysol 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol 2022-07-10 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Jun	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–4	L
26 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
22 Jun	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	3–0	W
16 Jun	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–2	L
31 May	FC Tōkyō	H	0–1	L
18 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–2	L

Kashiwa Reysol

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Jun	Sagan Tosu FC	A	4–1	W
26 Jun	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	2–2	D
22 Jun	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–1	L
16 Jun	Gamba Osaka	A	1–2	L
02 Jun	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–2	L
29 May	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	0–4	L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

0-15

2/4

16-30

2/2

31-45

4/4

46-60

6/3

61-75

8/1

76+

7/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

Yusuke Segawa	7 G	2 A
Hinata Yamauchi	5 G
Yoshio Koizumi	4 G	5 A
Keita Endo	4 G	1 A
Tojiro Kubo	4 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium that hosts another battle between Sagan Tosu FC and Kashiwa Reysol.
5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
10' Akito Fukuta has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Masami Ihara might look to freshen things up shortly.
20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kashiwa Reysol are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
37' Goal! Marcelo Ryan scores his 32 goal in 340 matches.
42' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
46' The supporters are chanting for Kosuke Kinoshita. He replaces Tomoya Koyamatsu on 46 minute.
51' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
56' Yuto Yamada has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
57' A tactical swap from Kashiwa Reysol — Takuya Shimamura on, Yuto Yamada off on 57 minutes.
62' Goal! Matheus Savio scores his 37 goal in 397 matches.
64' A goal from the Brazil international Matheus Savio! He fires home on 64 to make it 1-2!
65' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! So Kawahara comes on to replace Kohei Tezuka.
66' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Yuki Horigome by Ayumu Yokoyama on 66 minute.
71' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Kashiwa Reysol are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
72' Kosuke Kinoshita doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
74' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Cayman Togashi is replaced by Hikaru Nakahara on 74 minute.
78' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 78.
80' Another change for Kashiwa Reysol made on 80 minute. Mao Hosoya leaves to be changed by Kazuki Kumasawa.
81' Vinicius Araujo gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Katsunori Ueebisu and will look to change the dynamic.
86' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
88' Matheus Savio makes way for Hiromu Mitsumaru at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kashiwa Reysol.
Full Time. Kashiwa Reysol beats Sagan Tosu FC

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Seiji Kimura
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 74'
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 81'
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ So Kawahara 65'
99
Marcelo Ryan
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↓ Vinicius Araujo 81'
88
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
21
Yuki Horigome ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 66'
42
Wataru Harada
20
Tae-hyeon Kim

Bench

11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 81'
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 81'
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 74'
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara ↑ 65'
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 66'
1
Arnau Riera

Coach Kenta Kawai

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

Starting XI

10
Matheus Savio ↓ Hiromu Mitsumaru 88'
22
Hiroki Noda
4
Taiyo Koga
6
Yuto Yamada ↓ Takuya Shimamura 57'
19
Mao Hosoya ↓ Kazuki Kumasawa 80'
5
Tomoki Takamine ↓ Eiji Shirai 57'
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Kosuke Kinoshita 46'
28
Sachiro Toshima
46
Kenta Matsumoto
3
Diego
32
Hiroki Sekine

Bench

2
Hiromu Mitsumaru ↑ 88'
15
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 46'
24
Naoki Kawaguchi
29
Takuya Shimamura ↑ 57'
21
Masato Sasaki
48
Kazuki Kumasawa ↑ 80'
33
Eiji Shirai ↑ 57'

Coach Masami Ihara

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daichi Hayashi	4
Matheus Savio	4
Tomoya Koyamatsu	3
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Michael Olunga	2
Fuchi Honda	2
Marcelo Ryan	2
Kosuke Kinoshita	2

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol L 2024-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-06-22 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Kyōto Sanga FC W 2024-06-16 Avispa Fukuoka 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 FC Tōkyō L 2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus L

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol W 2024-06-26 Kyōto Sanga FC 2–2 Kashiwa Reysol D 2024-06-22 Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-06-16 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol L 2024-06-02 Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Avispa Fukuoka L 2024-05-29 Yokohama F·Marinos 4–0 Kashiwa Reysol L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.35 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.55 Kashiwa Reysol xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Kashiwa Reysol 72% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw28% Kashiwa Reysol40%

Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 2.9

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

60%

Draw or Kashiwa Reysol

68%

Sagan Tosu FC or Kashiwa Reysol

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC25% Draw45% Kashiwa Reysol30%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

12.4%

1 – 2

8.6%

0 – 1

7.6%

2 – 1

7.5%

0 – 0

7.3%

1 – 0

6.5%

0 – 2

6.5%

2 – 2

5.8%

2 – 0

1 – 3

4.4%

3 – 1

3.4%

0 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Kashiwa Reysol covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	17%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	20%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.