Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–4 | L |
| 26 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Jun | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 26 Jun | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Jun | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jun | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 May | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 0–4 | L |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Kashiwa Reysol this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
0-15
2/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
6/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kashiwa Reysol
| Yusuke Segawa | 6 G | 2 A |
| Yoshio Koizumi | 3 G | 2 A |
| Tojiro Kubo | 2 G | 1 A |
| Keita Endo | 2 G | |
| Yuki Kakita | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sagan Tosu FC and Kashiwa Reysol has kicked off!
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' Hiroki Noda is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kashiwa Reysol tonight.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Takuya Shimamura suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' Kosuke Kinoshita has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
- 35' The travelling Kashiwa Reysol supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 37' What a moment for Marcelo Ryan! That strike on 37 puts his side firmly in control.
- 42' Kashiwa Reysol come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 46' Kashiwa Reysol ring the changes. Tomoya Koyamatsu has done his job and it is now time for Kosuke Kinoshita to step up.
- 51' It’s high time Masami Ihara made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 56' Katsunori Ueebisu, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 57' The crowd applauds Yuto Yamada as he leaves the pitch. Takuya Shimamura steps in for Kashiwa Reysol.
- 62' Matheus Savio adds to his 4 season tally! Kashiwa Reysol lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 64' The deadlock is broken! Matheus Savio gets on the scoresheet on 64 minutes.
- 65' So Kawahara is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kohei Tezuka at the 65 minute mark.
- 66' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yuki Horigome is withdrawn and Ayumu Yokoyama gets his opportunity.
- 71' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 72' Kosuke Kinoshita is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the forward.
- 74' Hikaru Nakahara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cayman Togashi on 74 minute.
- 78' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a card on 78.
- 80' Kazuki Kumasawa gets the nod from Kashiwa Reysol. He replaces Mao Hosoya and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Katsunori Ueebisu exits the field as Vinicius Araujo enters on 81.
- 86' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kohei Tezuka made 418 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 88' A change in the Kashiwa Reysol ranks — Matheus Savio exits the field as Hiromu Mitsumaru enters on 88.
- Kashiwa Reysol celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 81'
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ So Kawahara 65'
- 99
- 16
- 88
- 71
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 66'
- 42
- 20
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 81'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 81'
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 74'
- 2
-
5
So Kawahara ↑ 65'
-
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 66'
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Kashiwa Reysol Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 22
- 4
-
6
Yuto Yamada ↓ Takuya Shimamura 57'
-
19
Mao Hosoya ↓ Kazuki Kumasawa 80'
-
5
Tomoki Takamine ↓ Eiji Shirai 57'
- 14
- 28
- 46
- 3
- 32
Bench
-
2
Hiromu Mitsumaru ↑ 88'
-
15
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 46'
- 24
-
29
Takuya Shimamura ↑ 57'
- 21
-
48
Kazuki Kumasawa ↑ 80'
-
33
Eiji Shirai ↑ 57'
Coach
Masami Ihara
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Daichi Hayashi | 4 |
| Matheus Savio | 4 |
| Tomoya Koyamatsu | 3 |
| Mao Hosoya | 2 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 2 |
| Michael Olunga | 2 |
| Fuchi Honda | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Kashiwa Reysol Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
Kashiwa Reysol xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashiwa Reysol 72% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashiwa Reysol win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
68%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kashiwa Reysol
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–4 not predicted1 – 4Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Kashiwa Reysol covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 20% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

