Saturday , 14 November 2026

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 30 Nov 2024 · 12:00 UTC Ursapharm-Arena 8,922 HT 45' · FT 45'
Muhammed Damar 27' 1–0
1–1 45+3' Laurin Curda
1–2 64' Koen Kostons
1–3 80' Calvin Brackelmann

Overview

Match Preview

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Ursapharm-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Nicolas Winter
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Roman Potemkin

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov SC Paderborn 07 H 1–3 L
23 Nov TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 2–0 W
10 Nov Hannover 96 H 3–1 W
02 Nov SSV Jahn Regensburg A 0–1 L
29 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–3 L
26 Oct Hamburger SV H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov SV 07 Elversberg A 3–1 W
22 Nov 1. FC Nürnberg H 3–2 W
09 Nov TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 1–1 D
03 Nov Eintracht Braunschweig H 0–0 D
30 Oct SV Werder Bremen H 0–1 L
25 Oct 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. SC Paderborn 07 get us underway at Ursapharm-Arena.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Horst Steffen might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SV 07 Elversberg and SC Paderborn 07 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luis Engelns suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Santiago Castaneda made 146 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 27' GOAL! Muhammed Damar scores on 27. Assisted by Maurice Neubauer
  • 32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 37' The 28-year-old Markus Schubert has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 39' The referee shows SC Paderborn 07 player a card on 39.
  • 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Elias Baum, as he is very good at scoring at Ursapharm-Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 46' Tjark Scheller gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Laurin Curda and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 48' A goal from the Germany international Laurin Curda! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-1!
  • 53' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 58' It looks surprising SV 07 Elversberg does not make any changes. Raphael Obermair has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 63' SV 07 Elversberg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against SC Paderborn 07's 3-4-3 shape.
  • 64' Koen Kostons has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 64 minutes.
  • 64' A tactical swap from SV 07 Elversberg — Luca Schnellbacher on, Carlo Sickinger off on 64 minutes.
  • 66' SC Paderborn 07 make a change. Koen Kostons trudges off to be replaced by Luis Engelns on 66 minutes.
  • 71' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Paderborn 07 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 74' Fresh legs for SV 07 Elversberg! Luca Durholtz comes on to replace Frederik Schmahl.
  • 75' It’s gonna be a card for Muhammed Damar.
  • 76' A change in the SC Paderborn 07 ranks — Mika Baur exits the field as Sebastian Klaas enters on 76.
  • 79' SV 07 Elversberg receives a card for a hard tackle on 79.
  • 80' What a moment for Calvin Brackelmann! That strike on 80 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 81' Another change for SV 07 Elversberg made on 81 minute. Lukas Petkov leaves to be changed by Filimon Gerezgiher.
  • 86' SC Paderborn 07 is showing some good football. However, SC Paderborn 07 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 87' The whistle greets Ilyas Ansah as he departs to be replaced by Felix Platte.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Fisnik Asllani on 90.
  • SV 07 Elversberg will have plenty to reflect on. SC Paderborn 07 were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.58 SV 07 Elversberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: SV 07 Elversberg or SC Paderborn 07 73% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SV 07 Elversberg35% Draw27% SC Paderborn 0738%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

SV 07 Elversberg or Draw
62%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
65%
SV 07 Elversberg or SC Paderborn 07
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SV 07 Elversberg27% Draw42% SC Paderborn 0731%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.8%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg

Handicap SV 07 Elversberg covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 19% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

SV 07 Elversberg keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.