Thursday , 2 July 2026

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 30 Nov 2024 · 12:00 UTC Ursapharm-Arena 8,922 HT 45' · FT 45'
Muhammed Damar 27' 1–0
1–1 45+3' Laurin Curda
1–2 64' Koen Kostons
1–3 80' Calvin Brackelmann

Overview

Match Preview

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga at Ursapharm-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Nicolas Winter
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Roman Potemkin

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov SC Paderborn 07 H 1–3 L
23 Nov TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 2–0 W
10 Nov Hannover 96 H 3–1 W
02 Nov SSV Jahn Regensburg A 0–1 L
29 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–3 L
26 Oct Hamburger SV H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov SV 07 Elversberg A 3–1 W
22 Nov 1. FC Nurnberg H 3–2 W
09 Nov TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 1–1 D
03 Nov Eintracht Braunschweig H 0–0 D
30 Oct SV Werder Bremen H 0–1 L
25 Oct 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W

Season Stats

SV 07 Elversberg SC Paderborn 07
#2 Position #3
62 Points 62
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 18 / 8 / 8
64 Scored 59
39 Conceded 45
+25 GD +14
1.82 PPG 1.82
53% Win % 53%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
SV 07 Elversberg this season
26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

SV 07 Elversberg are 2nd (62 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SV 07 Elversberg
0-15
4/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Ursapharm-Arena. SV 07 Elversberg are looking to make home advantage count against SC Paderborn 07.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. SV 07 Elversberg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Calvin Brackelmann, a Germany , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Ursapharm-Arena. SC Paderborn 07 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SV 07 Elversberg and SC Paderborn 07 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 27' A goal from the Germany international Muhammed Damar! He fires home on 27 to make it 1-0!
  • 32' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SV 07 Elversberg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 39' Laurin Curda catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 39.
  • 44' Laurin Curda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 8 cards already picked up this season.
  • 46' The whistle greets Laurin Curda as he departs to be replaced by Tjark Scheller.
  • 48' Laurin Curda has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 53' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 58' It is a cagey affair so far. SV 07 Elversberg in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past SC Paderborn 07's compact 3-4-3.
  • 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Carlo Sickinger made 273 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 64' What a strike from Koen Kostons! The score is 1-2.
  • 64' SV 07 Elversberg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luca Schnellbacher is hanging Carlo Sickinger on the field on 64 minute.
  • 66' Koen Kostons makes way for Luis Engelns at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Paderborn 07.
  • 71' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 74' A change in the SV 07 Elversberg ranks — Frederik Schmahl exits the field as Luca Durholtz enters on 74.
  • 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Muhammed Damar on 75 minutes.
  • 76' It is a substitution in SC Paderborn 07 team. Mika Baur is replaced by Sebastian Klaas on 76 minute.
  • 79' Maximilian Rohr has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
  • 80' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Calvin Brackelmann makes no mistake. 1-3!
  • 81' Time for substitution for SV 07 Elversberg. Lukas Petkov is replaced by Filimon Gerezgiher.
  • 86' SV 07 Elversberg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Paderborn 07 backline.
  • 87' The SC Paderborn 07 manager makes a substitution. Ilyas Ansah departs to be replaced by Felix Platte.
  • 90' SV 07 Elversberg receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • SV 07 Elversberg will have plenty to reflect on. SC Paderborn 07 were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.91 SV 07 Elversberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: SV 07 Elversberg or SC Paderborn 07 75% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SV 07 Elversberg39% Draw25% SC Paderborn 0736%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

SV 07 Elversberg or Draw
64%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
61%
SV 07 Elversberg or SC Paderborn 07
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SV 07 Elversberg32% Draw40% SC Paderborn 0728%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.9%

Asian Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg

Handicap SV 07 Elversberg covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 12% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 18% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 17% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

SV 07 Elversberg keeps clean sheet
17%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.