SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Ursapharm-Arena.
- SV 07 Elversberg 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Nicolas Winter
- Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
- Assistant 2 Roman Potemkin
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | A | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | Hannover 96 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | Hamburger SV | H | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | SV 07 Elversberg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Nov | 1. FC Nurnberg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | 1. FC Koln | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| SV 07 Elversberg | SC Paderborn 07 | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #3 |
| 62 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 |
| 64 | Scored | 59 |
| 39 | Conceded | 45 |
| +25 | GD | +14 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 53% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
SV 07 Elversberg this season
SV 07 Elversberg this season
26%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SV 07 Elversberg are 2nd (62 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SV 07 Elversberg
0-15
4/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Ursapharm-Arena. SV 07 Elversberg are looking to make home advantage count against SC Paderborn 07.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. SV 07 Elversberg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Calvin Brackelmann, a Germany , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Ursapharm-Arena. SC Paderborn 07 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SV 07 Elversberg and SC Paderborn 07 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 27' A goal from the Germany international Muhammed Damar! He fires home on 27 to make it 1-0!
- 32' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SV 07 Elversberg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 39' Laurin Curda catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 39.
- 44' Laurin Curda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 8 cards already picked up this season.
- 46' The whistle greets Laurin Curda as he departs to be replaced by Tjark Scheller.
- 48' Laurin Curda has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 53' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 58' It is a cagey affair so far. SV 07 Elversberg in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past SC Paderborn 07's compact 3-4-3.
- 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Carlo Sickinger made 273 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 64' What a strike from Koen Kostons! The score is 1-2.
- 64' SV 07 Elversberg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luca Schnellbacher is hanging Carlo Sickinger on the field on 64 minute.
- 66' Koen Kostons makes way for Luis Engelns at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Paderborn 07.
- 71' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 74' A change in the SV 07 Elversberg ranks — Frederik Schmahl exits the field as Luca Durholtz enters on 74.
- 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Muhammed Damar on 75 minutes.
- 76' It is a substitution in SC Paderborn 07 team. Mika Baur is replaced by Sebastian Klaas on 76 minute.
- 79' Maximilian Rohr has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
- 80' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Calvin Brackelmann makes no mistake. 1-3!
- 81' Time for substitution for SV 07 Elversberg. Lukas Petkov is replaced by Filimon Gerezgiher.
- 86' SV 07 Elversberg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Paderborn 07 backline.
- 87' The SC Paderborn 07 manager makes a substitution. Ilyas Ansah departs to be replaced by Felix Platte.
- 90' SV 07 Elversberg receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- SV 07 Elversberg will have plenty to reflect on. SC Paderborn 07 were simply the better side today.
Lineups
SV 07 Elversberg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
- 31
- 33
- 25
-
29
Tom Zimmerschied ↓ Manuel Feil 74'
- 19
- 10
- 20
-
30
Muhammed Damar ↓ Paul Stock 81'
- 2
- 17
Bench
- 26
- 28
-
24
Luca Schnellbacher ↑ 64'
-
11
Luca Durholtz ↑ 74'
-
7
Manuel Feil ↑ 74'
-
21
Paul Stock ↑ 81'
- 3
-
27
Filimon Gerezgiher ↑ 81'
- 18
Coach
Horst Steffen
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 20
- 30
- 23
- 7
- 4
- 32
- 5
-
17
Laurin Curda ↓ Tjark Scheller 46'
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Felix Platte 87'
-
9
Mika Baur ↓ Sebastian Klaas 76'
-
10
Koen Kostons ↓ Luis Engelns 66'
Bench
- 8
- 1
-
36
Felix Platte ↑ 87'
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↑ 76'
- 19
-
42
Adrian Bravo-Sanchez ↑ 87'
-
25
Tjark Scheller ↑ 46'
-
46
Luis Engelns ↑ 66'
- 21
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Calvin Brackelmann | 2 |
| Luca Schnellbacher | 2 |
| Lukas Petkov | 2 |
| Koen Kostons | 1 |
| Florian Le Joncour | 1 |
| Maurice Neubauer | 1 |
| Filip Bilbija | 1 |
| Paul Stock | 1 |
Head to Head
SV 07 Elversberg Form
2024-11-30
SV 07 Elversberg
1–3
SC Paderborn 07
L
2024-11-23
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
0–2
SV 07 Elversberg
W
2024-11-10
SV 07 Elversberg
3–1
Hannover 96
W
2024-11-02
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1–0
SV 07 Elversberg
L
2024-10-29
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–0
SV 07 Elversberg
L
2024-10-26
SV 07 Elversberg
4–2
Hamburger SV
W
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2024-11-30
SV 07 Elversberg
1–3
SC Paderborn 07
W
2024-11-22
SC Paderborn 07
3–2
1. FC Nurnberg
W
2024-11-09
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-11-03
SC Paderborn 07
0–0
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2024-10-30
SC Paderborn 07
0–1
SV Werder Bremen
L
2024-10-25
1. FC Koln
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.91
SV 07 Elversberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
SV 07 Elversberg or SC Paderborn 07 75% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
SV 07 Elversberg or Draw
64%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
61%
SV 07 Elversberg or SC Paderborn 07
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.9%
Asian Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg
| Handicap | SV 07 Elversberg covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
SV 07 Elversberg keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

