Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SV 07 Elversberg vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 11:00 UTC Ursapharm-Arena 9,502 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Davie Selke
Fisnik Asllani 41' 1–1
Fisnik Asllani 53' 2–1
Luca Schnellbacher 63' 3–1
3–2 83' Davie Selke
Robin Fellhauer 96' 4–2

Overview

Match Preview

SV 07 Elversberg vs Hamburger SV — 2. Bundesliga at Ursapharm-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Kampka
  • Assistant 1 Marcel Unger
  • Assistant 2 Martin Wilke (Germany)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Hamburger SV H 4–2 W
19 Oct SC Preußen Münster A 1–1 D
05 Oct 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 1–0 W
29 Sep Hertha BSC A 4–1 W
22 Sep SSV Ulm 1846 H 1–3 L
15 Sep SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct SV 07 Elversberg A 2–4 L
20 Oct 1. FC Magdeburg H 3–1 W
06 Oct TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 3–0 W
28 Sep SC Paderborn 07 H 2–2 D
21 Sep 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 2–2 D
15 Sep SSV Jahn Regensburg H 5–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Ursapharm-Arena will turn into a battlefield for SV 07 Elversberg and Hamburger SV.
  • 5' Jonas Meffert has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 6' GOAL! Davie Selke fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 11' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 16' SV 07 Elversberg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 21' SV 07 Elversberg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 26' Lucas Perrin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 471 appearances.
  • 31' With 0 assists to his name this season, Marco Richter is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Hamburger SV.
  • 36' The travelling Hamburger SV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 41' Goal! Fisnik Asllani scores his 20 goal in 413 matches.
  • 46' Over 46 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SV 07 Elversberg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 53' Goal! Fisnik Asllani scores his 20 goal in 413 matches.
  • 56' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ludovit Reis.
  • 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 62' Hamburger SV ring the changes. Marco Richter has done his job and it is now time for Adam Karabec to step up.
  • 63' Magnificent from Luca Schnellbacher! That is 22 goals in 270 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 63' Controversy at the stadium! Steffen Baumgart argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 68' Hamburger SV started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
  • 73' Hamburger SV fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 74' Immanuel Pherai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jean-Luc Dompe on 74 minute.
  • 76' Jonas Meffert is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
  • 80' Another substitution for SV 07 Elversberg to replace Lukas Petkov by Manuel Feil on 80 minute.
  • 83' Davie Selke adds to his 0 season tally! Hamburger SV lead 3-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 84' Poor challenge from Jonas Meffert. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 87' Time for substitution for SV 07 Elversberg. Luca Schnellbacher is replaced by Paul Stock.
  • 90' Nicolas Kristof has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' It is a substitution in SV 07 Elversberg team. Fisnik Asllani is replaced by Arne Sicker on 90 minute.
  • The points are shared — SV 07 Elversberg 4-2 Hamburger SV. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.77 SV 07 Elversberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SV 07 Elversberg47% Draw25% Hamburger SV28%
Actual: SV 07 Elversberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

SV 07 Elversberg or Draw
72%
Draw or Hamburger SV
53%
SV 07 Elversberg or Hamburger SV
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SV 07 Elversberg33% Draw43% Hamburger SV24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg

Handicap SV 07 Elversberg covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 20% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

SV 07 Elversberg keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.