SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Nürnberg, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Nürnberg — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FC Nürnberg 34 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sven Jablonski
- Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
- Assistant 2 Fynn Kohn
7 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 1.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preußen Münster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | 1. FC Nürnberg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | 1. FC Köln | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Nov | Hamburger SV | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Oct | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | SSV Jahn Regensburg | H | 8–3 | W |
| 20 Oct | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| SC Paderborn 07 | 1. FC Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #8 |
| 62 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 59 | Scored | 47 |
| 45 | Conceded | 45 |
| +14 | GD | +2 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 53% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). 1. FC Nürnberg are 8th (46 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Home Deluxe Arena will turn into a battlefield for SC Paderborn 07 and 1. FC Nurnberg.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 6' The deadlock is broken! Adriano Grimaldi gets on the scoresheet on 6 minutes.
- 8' GOAL! Danilo Soares scores on 8. Assisted by Mahir Emreli
- 13' SC Paderborn 07 currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 18' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 21' It’s gonna be a card for Felix Gotze.
- 26' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Paderborn 07 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past 1. FC Nurnberg's compact 3-4-3.
- 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 36' Danilo Soares picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 41' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 316 games and scored 227 goals.
- 46' 1. FC Nurnberg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 51' Brilliant from the ! Stefanos Tzimas makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 51.
- 55' Assisted by Filip Bilbija with the perfectly-timed delivery and Raphael Obermair makes no mistake. 2-2!
- 59' Berkay Yilmaz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Danilo Soares at the 59 minute mark.
- 64' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 66' Another change for 1. FC Nurnberg made on 66 minute. Ondrej Karafiat leaves to be changed by Nick Seidel.
- 70' Luca Herrmann has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luis Engelns on 70 minute.
- 72' That is a card for SC Paderborn 07. Santiago Castaneda will be fuming at that decision.
- 77' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lukas Kwasniok will be considering his options from the bench.
- 78' Adriano Grimaldi was booked on 78.
- 79' The SC Paderborn 07 manager makes a substitution. Sven Michel departs to be replaced by Ilyas Ansah.
- 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Berkay Yilmaz.
- 90' David Kinsombi gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Filip Bilbija and will look to change the dynamic.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FC Nurnberg.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 20
- 30
- 39
-
11
Sven Michel ↓ Ilyas Ansah 79'
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ David Kinsombi 90'
- 4
- 32
- 5
- 25
-
46
Luis Engelns ↓ Luca Herrmann 70'
Bench
-
8
David Kinsombi ↑ 90'
- 1
-
19
Luca Herrmann ↑ 70'
- 42
- 17
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 79'
- 9
- 10
- 21
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
1. FC Nürnberg Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 31
-
3
Danilo Soares ↓ Berkay Yilmaz 59'
- 30
- 1
- 2
- 10
-
44
Ondrej Karafiat ↓ Nick Seidel 66'
- 17
- 20
- 4
- 9
Bench
- 23
- 26
- 7
- 6
- 18
- 35
- 32
-
21
Berkay Yilmaz ↑ 59'
-
33
Nick Seidel ↑ 66'
Coach
Miroslav Klose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Adriano Grimaldi | 3 |
| Mahir Emreli | 2 |
| Visar Musliu | 1 |
| Danilo Soares | 1 |
| Stefanos Tzimas | 1 |
| Raphael Obermair | 1 |
| Calvin Brackelmann | 1 |
| Sven Michel | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2024-11-22
SC Paderborn 07
3–2
1. FC Nürnberg
W
2024-11-09
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-11-03
SC Paderborn 07
0–0
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2024-10-30
SC Paderborn 07
0–1
SV Werder Bremen
L
2024-10-25
1. FC Köln
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2024-10-19
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
SC Paderborn 07
L
1. FC Nürnberg Form
2024-11-22
SC Paderborn 07
3–2
1. FC Nürnberg
L
2024-11-08
1. FC Nürnberg
0–0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
D
2024-11-03
Hamburger SV
1–1
1. FC Nürnberg
D
2024-10-30
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–1
1. FC Nürnberg
L
2024-10-25
1. FC Nürnberg
8–3
SSV Jahn Regensburg
W
2024-10-20
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
0–4
1. FC Nürnberg
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.79
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
1. FC Nürnberg xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
72%
Draw or 1. FC Nürnberg
52%
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Nürnberg
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
7%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | 1. FC Nürnberg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
1. FC Nürnberg keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

