SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Nurnberg, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Nürnberg — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FC Nürnberg 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sven Jablonski
- Assistant 1 Lasse Koslowski
- Assistant 2 Fynn Kohn
9 games this season
🟨 2.6/game
⚽ 11.1 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Energie Cottbus | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | VfL Osnabruck | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | 1. FC Nurnberg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | 1. FC Koln | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Nov | Hamburger SV | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Oct | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | SSV Jahn Regensburg | H | 8–3 | W |
| 20 Oct | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 4–0 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Nurnberg this season
1. FC Nurnberg this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FC Nurnberg
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/–
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FC Nurnberg
| Mohamed Ali Zoma | 7 G | |
| Piet Scobel | 6 G | 1 A |
| Adam Markhiev | 3 G | 3 A |
| Julian Justvan | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: 1. FC Nurnberg gets underway.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 6' Adriano Grimaldi adds to his 0 season tally! SC Paderborn 07 lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 8' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Danilo Soares makes it 1-1.
- 13' It’s high time Lukas Kwasniok made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 18' 1. FC Nurnberg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 21' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Felix Gotze on 21 minutes.
- 26' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Paderborn 07 and 1. FC Nurnberg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 36' It’s a booking for 1. FC Nurnberg player. Danilo Soares gets a card.
- 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 46' With 1 assists to his name this season, Finn Jeltsch is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FC Nurnberg.
- 51' Sensational shot from Stefanos Tzimas. 1. FC Nurnberg is back in the lead.
- 55' Raphael Obermair adds to his 0 season tally! SC Paderborn 07 lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
- 59' The 1. FC Nurnberg bench stirs into life. Danilo Soares is withdrawn and Berkay Yilmaz gets his opportunity.
- 64' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 66' It is a substitution in 1. FC Nurnberg team. Ondrej Karafiat is replaced by Nick Seidel on 66 minute.
- 70' Another substitution for SC Paderborn 07 to replace Luis Engelns by Luca Herrmann on 70 minute.
- 72' It’s a booking for SC Paderborn 07 player. Santiago Castaneda gets a card.
- 77' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 78' SC Paderborn 07 player sees a card in front of him.
- 79' Ilyas Ansah is replacing Sven Michel for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
- 84' SC Paderborn 07 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FC Nurnberg backline.
- 86' That looks like a foul for a card for Berkay Yilmaz.
- 90' The whistle greets Filip Bilbija as he departs to be replaced by David Kinsombi.
- The final score is 3-2.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 20
- 30
- 39
-
11
Sven Michel ↓ Ilyas Ansah 79'
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ David Kinsombi 90'
- 4
- 32
- 5
- 25
-
46
Luis Engelns ↓ Luca Herrmann 70'
Bench
-
8
David Kinsombi ↑ 90'
- 1
-
19
Luca Herrmann ↑ 70'
- 42
- 17
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 79'
- 9
- 10
- 21
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
1. FC Nürnberg Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 31
-
3
Danilo Soares ↓ Berkay Yilmaz 59'
- 30
- 1
- 2
- 10
-
44
Ondrej Karafiat ↓ Nick Seidel 66'
- 17
- 20
- 4
- 9
Bench
- 23
- 26
- 7
- 6
- 18
- 35
- 32
-
21
Berkay Yilmaz ↑ 59'
-
33
Nick Seidel ↑ 66'
Coach
Miroslav Klose
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Adriano Grimaldi | 3 |
| Mahir Emreli | 2 |
| Raphael Obermair | 1 |
| Calvin Brackelmann | 1 |
| Sven Michel | 1 |
| Lukas Schleimer | 1 |
| Ilyas Ansah | 1 |
| Jens Castrop | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2024-11-22
SC Paderborn 07
3–2
1. FC Nurnberg
W
2024-11-09
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-11-03
SC Paderborn 07
0–0
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2024-10-30
SC Paderborn 07
0–1
SV Werder Bremen
L
2024-10-25
1. FC Koln
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2024-10-19
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
SC Paderborn 07
L
1. FC Nürnberg Form
2024-11-22
SC Paderborn 07
3–2
1. FC Nurnberg
L
2024-11-08
1. FC Nurnberg
0–0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
D
2024-11-03
Hamburger SV
1–1
1. FC Nurnberg
D
2024-10-30
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–1
1. FC Nurnberg
L
2024-10-25
1. FC Nurnberg
8–3
SSV Jahn Regensburg
L
2024-10-20
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
0–4
1. FC Nurnberg
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.53
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
1. FC Nürnberg xG
I would bet for:
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Nürnberg 74% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
71%
Draw or 1. FC Nürnberg
55%
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Nürnberg
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–2 not predicted3 – 2Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | 1. FC Nürnberg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
1. FC Nürnberg keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.