Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 3 May 2026 · 11:30 UTC Ursapharm-Arena 9,027 HT 45' · FT 45'
Maximilian Rohr 4' 1–0
David Mokwa Ntusu 17' 2–0
Lukas Petkov 28' 3–0
Lukas Petkov 41' 4–0
4–1 65' Calvin Brackelmann
Raif Adam 90+3' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Ursapharm-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 24.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May SC Paderborn 07 H 5–1 W
25 Apr SV Darmstadt 98 A 3–3 D
17 Apr Karlsruher SC H 3–0 W
12 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 1–2 L
05 Apr Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
21 Mar Arminia Bielefeld H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May SV 07 Elversberg A 1–5 L
26 Apr FC Schalke 04 H 2–3 L
18 Apr Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
12 Apr 1. FC Magdeburg H 4–3 W
05 Apr SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 2–0 W
21 Mar SG Dynamo Dresden H 2–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. SV 07 Elversberg host SC Paderborn 07 — let the battle begin!
  • 4' Maximilian Rohr makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and SV 07 Elversberg are in front.
  • 9' The travelling SC Paderborn 07 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 14' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 17' Brilliant from the ! David Mokwa Ntusu makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 17.
  • 22' It looks surprising SC Paderborn 07 does not make any changes. Jan Gyamerah has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 27' Stefano Marino has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 28' Goal! Lukas Petkov scores his 10 goal in 438 matches.
  • 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 38' That is a card for SV 07 Elversberg. Jan Gyamerah will be fuming at that decision.
  • 41' GOAL! Lukas Petkov scores on 41. Assisted by Tom Zimmerschied
  • 43' It’s a booking for SV 07 Elversberg player. Immanuel Pherai gets a card.
  • 47' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tjark Scheller on 47.
  • 52' SV 07 Elversberg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 57' SV 07 Elversberg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 62' It’s high time Ralf Kettemann made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 64' Controversy at the stadium! Amara Conde argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 65' GOAL! Calvin Brackelmann scores on 65. Assisted by Nick Batzner
  • 70' SV 07 Elversberg is showing some good football. However, SV 07 Elversberg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kennedy Okpala on 74 minutes.
  • 78' That is a card for SC Paderborn 07. Steffen Tigges will be fuming at that decision.
  • 83' The home supporters are growing impatient. SV 07 Elversberg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 88' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Nick Batzner. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • SC Paderborn 07 will have plenty to reflect on. SV 07 Elversberg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 SV 07 Elversberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SV 07 Elversberg53% Draw24% SC Paderborn 0723%
Actual: SV 07 Elversberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

SV 07 Elversberg or Draw
77%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
47%
SV 07 Elversberg or SC Paderborn 07
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SV 07 Elversberg39% Draw42% SC Paderborn 0719%
Actual: SV 07 Elversberg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.6%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — SV 07 Elversberg

Handicap SV 07 Elversberg covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

SV 07 Elversberg keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.