Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Internazionale Milano vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Mon 10 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 67,484 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marin Pongracic og 28' 1–0
1–1 44' Rolando Mandragora pen
Marko Arnautovic 52' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

FC Internazionale Milano vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Assistant 1 Marco Scatragli
  • Assistant 2 Davide Moro (Italy)
6 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 3.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Feb ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
06 Feb ACF Fiorentina A 0–3 L
02 Feb AC Milan A 1–1 D
29 Jan AS Monaco FC H 3–0 W
26 Jan US Lecce A 4–0 W
22 Jan AC Sparta Praha A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Feb FC Internazionale Milano A 1–2 L
06 Feb FC Internazionale Milano H 3–0 W
02 Feb Genoa CFC H 2–1 W
26 Jan SS Lazio A 2–1 W
19 Jan Torino FC H 1–1 D
13 Jan AC Monza A 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC Internazionale Milano ACF Fiorentina
#1 Position #15
87 Points 42
38 Played 38
27 / 6 / 5 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
89 Scored 41
35 Conceded 50
+54 GD -9
2.29 PPG 1.11
71% Win % 24%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Internazionale Milano are 1st (87 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.4 FC Internazionale Milano xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: FC Internazionale Milano to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Internazionale Milano65% Draw20% ACF Fiorentina15%
Actual: FC Internazionale Milano win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

FC Internazionale Milano or Draw
85%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
35%
FC Internazionale Milano or ACF Fiorentina
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Internazionale Milano50% Draw38% ACF Fiorentina12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
8.5%
3 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
5.1%
4 – 0
4.9%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Internazionale Milano

Handicap FC Internazionale Milano covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 27% 73%
-2 27% 20% 53%
-1.5 47% 53%
-1 47% 22% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Internazionale Milano keeps clean sheet
41%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.