Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SSC Napoli vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Tue 3 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC Diego Armando Maradona HT 45' · FT 45'
Leo Ostigard 19' 1–0
1–1 27' Vinicius Junior
1–2 34' Jude Bellingham
Piotr Zielinski pen 54' 2–2
2–3 78' Alex Meret og

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Napoli vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Diego Armando Maradona.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Nicolas Danos
  • Assistant 2
11 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 7.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Real Madrid CF H 2–3 L
30 Sep US Lecce A 4–0 W
27 Sep Udinese Calcio H 4–1 W
24 Sep Bologna FC 1909 A 0–0 D
20 Sep Sporting Clube de Braga A 2–1 W
16 Sep Genoa CFC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct SSC Napoli A 3–2 W
30 Sep Girona FC A 3–0 W
27 Sep UD Las Palmas H 2–0 W
24 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–3 L
20 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
17 Sep Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–1 W

Season Stats

SSC Napoli Real Madrid CF
#30 Position #9
8 Points 15
8 Played 8
2 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
9 Scored 21
15 Conceded 12
-6 GD +9
1.00 PPG 1.88
25% Win % 63%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
SSC Napoli this season
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

SSC Napoli are 30th (8 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Diego Armando Maradona. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It’s high time Carlo Ancelotti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Rodrygo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' Real Madrid CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 19' What composure from Leo Ostigard! The Norway international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 24' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 27' Brilliant from the ! Vinicius Junior makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 27.
  • 29' That is a Yellow card for Real Madrid CF. Eduardo Camavinga will be fuming at that decision.
  • 34' Brilliant from the ! Jude Bellingham makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 34.
  • 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 44' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Natan on 45.
  • 50' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 54' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Piotr Zielinski makes no mistake. 2-2!
  • 59' Natan, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Eduardo Camavinga is replaced by Ferland Mendy on 64 minute.
  • 65' Real Madrid CF ring the changes. Toni Kroos has done his job and it is now time for Luka Modric to step up.
  • 70' Another substitution for SSC Napoli to replace Matteo Politano by Eljif Elmas on 70 minute.
  • 70' Real Madrid CF player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 75' Piotr Zielinski makes way for Giacomo Raspadori at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from SSC Napoli.
  • 78' Federico Valverde makes no mistake. The score reads 2-3 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
  • 83' Real Madrid CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 84' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Vinicius Junior exits the field as Dani Ceballos enters on 84.
  • 88' The whistle greets Andre Zambo Anguissa as he departs to be replaced by Giovanni Simeone.
  • 89' Kepa Arrizabalaga catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 89.
  • Another three points for Real Madrid CF.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.52 SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.54 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli26% Draw23% Real Madrid CF51%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 4.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

SSC Napoli or Draw
49%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
74%
SSC Napoli or Real Madrid CF
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli20% Draw36% Real Madrid CF44%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 1
7.5%
1 – 3
6.9%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
5%
0 – 3
4.7%
1 – 4
4.4%
0 – 1
4.1%
2 – 4
3.3%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli

Handicap SSC Napoli covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 6% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 12% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 42% — 58%
+1 42% 20% 39%
+1.5 61% — 39%
+2 61% 17% 22%
+2.5 78% — 22%

Clean Sheet

SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.