Thursday , 2 July 2026

SS Lazio vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 26 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome 37,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Yacine Adli
0–2 17' Lucas Beltran
Adam Marusic 90+2' 1–2
Y 63' Yacine Adli
YR 63' Yacine Adli
Y 70' Dodo
Pedro 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SS Lazio vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Antonio Rapuano
  • Assistant 1 Giorgio Peretti
  • Assistant 2 Matteo Passeri
11 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan ACF Fiorentina H 1–2 L
23 Jan Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 3–1 W
19 Jan Hellas Verona FC A 3–0 W
10 Jan Como 1907 H 1–1 D
05 Jan AS Roma A 0–2 L
28 Dec Atalanta BC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan SS Lazio A 2–1 W
19 Jan Torino FC H 1–1 D
13 Jan AC Monza A 1–2 L
04 Jan SSC Napoli H 0–3 L
29 Dec Juventus FC A 2–2 D
23 Dec Udinese Calcio H 1–2 L

Season Stats

SS Lazio ACF Fiorentina
#9 Position #15
54 Points 42
38 Played 38
14 / 12 / 12 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
41 Scored 41
40 Conceded 50
+1 GD -9
1.42 PPG 1.11
37% Win % 24%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SS Lazio are 9th (54 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. SS Lazio get us underway at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mattia Zaccagni made 266 appearances and scored 45 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' ACF Fiorentina fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 11' Yacine Adli does the damage! The net is bulging and ACF Fiorentina surge ahead!
  • 16' Both keepers have barely been tested. SS Lazio and ACF Fiorentina are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 17' What a strike from Lucas Beltran! The score is 0-2.
  • 22' SS Lazio are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined ACF Fiorentina backline.
  • 27' ACF Fiorentina come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 32' With 0 assists to his name this season, Rolando Mandragora is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SS Lazio.
  • 37' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 42' Michael Folorunsho has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 46' Pedro has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gustav Isaksen on 46 minute.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 63' Yacine Adli has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 63.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Pietro Comuzzo. He replaces Yacine Adli on 64 minute.
  • 67' A change in the SS Lazio ranks — Luca Pellegrini exits the field as Elseid Hysaj enters on 67.
  • 70' Poor challenge from Dodo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 71' Rolando Mandragora catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 71.
  • 76' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Raffaele Palladino will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 77' ACF Fiorentina ring the changes. Albert Gudmundsson has done his job and it is now time for Riccardo Sottil to step up.
  • 81' The whistle greets Boulaye Dia as he departs to be replaced by Tijjani Noslin.
  • 86' ACF Fiorentina ring the changes. Michael Folorunsho has done his job and it is now time for Amir Richardson to step up.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Pedro on 90 minutes earns him a card. SS Lazio will be frustrated.
  • It finishes all square. SS Lazio and ACF Fiorentina share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.38 SS Lazio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: SS Lazio or ACF Fiorentina 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SS Lazio38% Draw29% ACF Fiorentina33%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

SS Lazio or Draw
68%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
62%
SS Lazio or ACF Fiorentina
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SS Lazio28% Draw48% ACF Fiorentina24%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — SS Lazio

Handicap SS Lazio covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
30%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.