Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs Arminia Bielefeld, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
SC Paderborn 07
4 – 3
Full Time
Arminia Bielefeld
Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 11:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs Arminia Bielefeld — 2. Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Max Burda
13 games this season 🟨 0.6/game ⚽ 4.1 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Schalke 04 34 70
2 SV 07 Elversberg 34 62
3 SC Paderborn 07 34 62
4 Hannover 96 34 60
5 SV Darmstadt 98 34 52
6 1. FC Kaiserslautern 34 52
7 Hertha BSC 34 51
8 1. FC Nurnberg 34 46
9 VfL Bochum 1848 34 44
10 Karlsruher SC 34 44
11 SG Dynamo Dresden 34 41
12 Holstein Kiel 34 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld 34 39
14 1. FC Magdeburg 34 39
15 Eintracht Braunschweig 34 37
16 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 34 37
17 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 37
18 SC Preussen Munster 34 30

Head-to-Head

1
1
SC Paderborn 07 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals Arminia Bielefeld
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-18 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 Arminia Bielefeld

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Arminia Bielefeld H 4–3 W
03 Oct Eintracht Braunschweig A 2–1 W
27 Sep 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 2–0 W
20 Sep Hertha BSC A 2–0 W
12 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–0 W
29 Aug 1. FC Nurnberg A 0–0 D
Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct SC Paderborn 07 A 3–4 L
05 Oct FC Schalke 04 H 1–2 L
28 Sep Hannover 96 A 1–3 L
19 Sep SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 1–3 L
12 Sep 1. FC Magdeburg H 2–0 W
30 Aug Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–1 D

Season Stats

SC Paderborn 07 Arminia Bielefeld
#3 Position #13
62 Points 39
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
59 Scored 53
45 Conceded 51
+14 GD +2
1.82 PPG 1.15
53% Win % 29%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
18% Clean Sheets
Arminia Bielefeld this season

SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). Arminia Bielefeld are 13th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arminia Bielefeld
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/1
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

Arminia Bielefeld Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.73 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79 Arminia Bielefeld xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0759% Draw19% Arminia Bielefeld22%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
78%
Draw or Arminia Bielefeld
41%
SC Paderborn 07 or Arminia Bielefeld
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0744% Draw34% Arminia Bielefeld22%
Actual: Arminia Bielefeld win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.3%
2 – 0
4.2%
4 – 2
3.9%
2 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push Arminia Bielefeld covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 16% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 19% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 12% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Arminia Bielefeld keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.