Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Freiburg vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 9 Nov 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 24.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
06 Nov OGC Nice A 3–1 W
01 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
29 Oct TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 3–1 W
26 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
23 Oct FC Utrecht H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
01 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–4 L
28 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 10–9 W
25 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–2 L
19 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 0–3 L
04 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 0–1 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.5 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg53% Draw26% FC St. Pauli 191021%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
79%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
47%
SC Freiburg or FC St. Pauli 1910
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg34% Draw49% FC St. Pauli 191017%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.