CA Mineiro vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | São Paulo FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | SC Recife | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Dec | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Dec | EC Juventude | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | CA Mineiro | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #11 |
| 40 | Points | 36 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 11 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 36 | Scored | 32 |
| 32 | Conceded | 30 |
| +4 | GD | +2 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 41% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Sao Paulo FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Sao Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Ferreira has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' Ruan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 16 Yellow cards this season.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 34' Ferreira picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 39' Andre Silva has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' Fresh legs for CA Mineiro! Rubens comes on to replace Tomas Cuello.
- 49' Andre Silva was booked on 49.
- 54' Sao Paulo FC have won 411 goals from 377 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 55' Natanael makes way for Renzo Saravia at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Mineiro.
- 60' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 64' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Wendell is withdrawn and Enzo Diaz gets his opportunity.
- 69' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Mineiro is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Lucas Ferreira. He replaces Ferreira on 70 minute.
- 71' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Andre Silva by Jonathan Calleri on 71 minute.
- 76' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Junior Santos. He replaces Rony on 78 minute.
- 83' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 84' Jonathan Calleri has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 84.
- 85' Igor Gomes is replacing Junior Alonso for the CA Mineiro side.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Alan Franco. He receives a card.
- 90' Ruan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cedric on 90 minute.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — CA Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo FC.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
33
Rony ↓ Junior Santos 78'
- 10
-
6
Junior Alonso ↓ Igor Gomes 85'
- 13
- 4
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↓ Rubens 46'
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Bernard 46'
- 21
-
2
Natanael ↓ Renzo Saravia 55'
- 7
Bench
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 85'
-
37
Junior Santos ↑ 78'
- 38
-
11
Bernard ↑ 46'
- 14
-
26
Renzo Saravia ↑ 55'
- 8
-
44
Rubens ↑ 46'
- 1
- 47
- 20
- 19
Coach
Cuca
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 5
- 6
- 18
- 20
- 28
-
17
Andre Silva ↓ Jonathan Calleri 71'
- 32
-
11
Ferreira ↓ Lucas Ferreira 70'
- 23
Bench
- 93
- 2
-
9
Jonathan Calleri ↑ 71'
- 35
-
13
Enzo Diaz ↑ 64'
-
22
Ruan ↑ 90'
- 12
- 21
- 43
- 49
-
48
Lucas Ferreira ↑ 70'
-
47
Matheus ↑ 70'
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduardo Vargas | 4 |
| Paulinho | 4 |
| Luciano | 3 |
| Jair | 2 |
| Alan Franco | 2 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Hulk | 2 |
| Igor Gomes | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
75%
Draw or São Paulo FC
55%
CA Mineiro or São Paulo FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 23% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

