Saturday , 26 September 2026

São Paulo FC vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
São Paulo FC
0 – 1
Full Time
Ceará SC
Mon 29 Sep 2025 · 23:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 37' Dieguinho
Y 52' Lourenco
Robert Arboleda 82' Y
Y 87' Guilherme Luiz
Juan Dinenno 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 São Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

3
9
1
São Paulo FC 13 games · Avg 1.6 goals Ceará SC
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-29 São Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC 2025-04-26 Ceará SC 1–1 São Paulo FC 2022-09-18 Ceará SC 0–2 São Paulo FC 2022-05-28 São Paulo FC 2–2 Ceará SC 2021-10-14 São Paulo FC 1–1 Ceará SC

Recent Form

São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
31 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
24 Aug CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
16 Aug SC Recife A 2–2 D
Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep São Paulo FC A 1–0 W
20 Sep EC Bahia H 1–1 D
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D
30 Aug EC Juventude H 0–1 L
24 Aug Gremio FBPA A 0–0 D
16 Aug RB Bragantino H 1–0 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
8% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Morumbi!
  • 5' Ceará SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Fernando Sobral has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' Lourenco has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' Ceará SC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' Ceará SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 31' Jose Sabino is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rafael Toloi at the 31 minute mark.
  • 36' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 37' Ceara SC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 42' Alisson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 31 Yellow cards this season.
  • 46' Another change for Ceara SC made on 46 minute. Paulo Baya leaves to be changed by Pedro Henrique.
  • 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 52' The referee has no hesitation. Lourenco is booked for Ceara SC — card on 52.
  • 56' Pedro Henrique has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 56 minutes.
  • 61' Ceará SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 63' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 63 minute. Ferreira leaves to be changed by Lucca Marques.
  • 68' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 70' Juan Dinenno is replacing Cedric for the Sao Paulo FC side.
  • 72' It is a substitution in Ceara SC team. Dieguinho is replaced by Vinicius Zanocelo on 72 minute.
  • 77' Ceará SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 82' Controversy at the stadium! Robert Arboleda argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 85' The supporters are chanting for Guilherme Luiz. He replaces Antonio Galeano on 85 minute.
  • 87' Guilherme Luiz is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Juan Dinenno on 90 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • 90' The Ceara SC manager makes a substitution. Pedro Raul departs to be replaced by Vina.
  • It finishes all square. Sao Paulo FC and Ceará SC share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jonathan Calleri 3
Leo Chu 2
Pedro Henrique 2
Gabriel Dias 2
Fabinho 2
Rodrigo Nestor 1
Nahuel Bustos 1
Pablo Felipe 1

Head to Head

2025-09-29 São Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC 2025-04-26 Ceará SC 1–1 São Paulo FC 2022-09-18 Ceará SC 0–2 São Paulo FC 2022-05-28 São Paulo FC 2–2 Ceará SC 2021-10-14 São Paulo FC 1–1 Ceará SC

São Paulo FC Form

2025-09-29 São Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-09-21 Santos FC 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-09-14 São Paulo FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-08-31 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-08-24 São Paulo FC 2–0 CA Mineiro W 2025-08-16 SC Recife 2–2 São Paulo FC D

Ceará SC Form

2025-09-29 São Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC W 2025-09-20 Ceará SC 1–1 EC Bahia D 2025-09-14 CR Vasco da Gama 2–2 Ceará SC D 2025-08-30 Ceará SC 0–1 EC Juventude L 2025-08-24 Gremio FBPA 0–0 Ceará SC D 2025-08-16 Ceará SC 1–0 RB Bragantino W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Ceará SC xG
I would bet for: São Paulo FC or Draw 69% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC37% Draw32% Ceará SC31%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Ceará SC
63%
São Paulo FC or Ceará SC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC26% Draw54% Ceará SC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
2.8%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push Ceará SC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 21% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.