Saturday , 26 September 2026

CA Mineiro vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 00:00 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Hulk 78' Y
Hulk 80' Y
Paulinho 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Mineirao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec São Paulo FC H 2–1 W
29 Nov CR Flamengo A 3–0 W
26 Nov Gremio FBPA H 3–0 W
12 Nov Goiás EC H 2–1 W
09 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
04 Nov America FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
29 Nov EC Bahia A 1–0 W
26 Nov Cuiaba EC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
12 Nov Santos FC A 0–0 D
08 Nov RB Bragantino H 1–0 W

Season Stats

CA Mineiro São Paulo FC
#7 Position #11
40 Points 36
27 Played 27
11 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
36 Scored 32
32 Conceded 30
+4 GD +2
1.48 PPG 1.33
41% Win % 37%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. CA Mineiro kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' CA Mineiro have won 482 goals from 479 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Rafael Monteiro has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' CA Mineiro currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Mineiro side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 479 games and scored 482 goals.
  • 45' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Lucas Moura is withdrawn and Michel Araujo gets his opportunity.
  • 46' Cristian Pavon is replacing Igor Gomes for the CA Mineiro side.
  • 46' Michel Araujo is having his name booked by the referee on 46.
  • 51' Igor Gomes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 56' The 31-year-old Igor Rabello has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 61' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Paulinho has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Rafinha is replaced by Nathan.
  • 65' Guilherme Arana has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 65.
  • 70' Hulk, a Brazil forward, has 40 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 73' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Erison departs to be replaced by Talles Wander.
  • 77' Against the run of play, Hulk has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 78' Hulk catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 78.
  • 80' A moment of madness from Hulk on 80 minutes earns him a Yellow card. CA Mineiro will be frustrated.
  • 80' Alan Franco is replacing Edenilson for the CA Mineiro side.
  • 84' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Matias Zaracho exits the field as Rubens enters on 84.
  • 86' Matheus Mendes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 86.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Paulinho. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 90' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Paulinho is withdrawn and Patrick gets his opportunity.
  • CA Mineiro celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro52% Draw28% São Paulo FC20%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
80%
Draw or São Paulo FC
48%
CA Mineiro or São Paulo FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro33% Draw51% São Paulo FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
13.1%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
44% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.