CA Mineiro vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | São Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Nov | Goiás EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | America FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Cuiaba EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #11 |
| 40 | Points | 36 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 11 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 36 | Scored | 32 |
| 32 | Conceded | 30 |
| +4 | GD | +2 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 41% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. CA Mineiro kicks off things out of here…
- 5' CA Mineiro have won 482 goals from 479 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Rafael Monteiro has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' CA Mineiro currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Mineiro side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 479 games and scored 482 goals.
- 45' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Lucas Moura is withdrawn and Michel Araujo gets his opportunity.
- 46' Cristian Pavon is replacing Igor Gomes for the CA Mineiro side.
- 46' Michel Araujo is having his name booked by the referee on 46.
- 51' Igor Gomes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 56' The 31-year-old Igor Rabello has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 61' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Paulinho has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 62' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Rafinha is replaced by Nathan.
- 65' Guilherme Arana has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 65.
- 70' Hulk, a Brazil forward, has 40 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 73' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Erison departs to be replaced by Talles Wander.
- 77' Against the run of play, Hulk has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 78' Hulk catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 78.
- 80' A moment of madness from Hulk on 80 minutes earns him a Yellow card. CA Mineiro will be frustrated.
- 80' Alan Franco is replacing Edenilson for the CA Mineiro side.
- 84' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Matias Zaracho exits the field as Rubens enters on 84.
- 86' Matheus Mendes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 86.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Paulinho. He receives a Yellow card.
- 90' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Paulinho is withdrawn and Patrick gets his opportunity.
- CA Mineiro celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 22
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Cristian Pavon 46'
- 16
- 5
- 10
- 13
- 25
-
15
Matias Zaracho ↓ Rubens 84'
-
8
Edenilson ↓ Alan Franco 80'
- 7
Bench
- 38
- 20
-
9
Cristian Pavon ↑ 46'
-
49
Patrick ↑ 90'
-
23
Alan Franco ↑ 80'
- 31
-
44
Rubens ↑ 84'
- 1
- 27
- 45
- 46
Coach
Luiz Felipe Scolari
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
25
Alisson ↓ Juan Santos 62'
- 10
- 5
- 38
-
7
Lucas Moura ↓ Michel Araujo 45'
- 13
- 27
- 29
- 35
-
49
Erison ↓ Talles Wander 73'
- 23
Bench
- 22
- 93
- 8
- 28
- 6
- 37
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 45'
-
39
William da Silva ↑ 73'
- 4
- 33
-
45
Nathan ↑ 62'
-
31
Juan Santos ↑ 62'
-
–
Talles Wander ↑ 73'
Coach
Dorival Júnior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduardo Vargas | 4 |
| Paulinho | 4 |
| Luciano | 3 |
| Jair | 2 |
| Alan Franco | 2 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Hulk | 2 |
| Igor Gomes | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
80%
Draw or São Paulo FC
48%
CA Mineiro or São Paulo FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
13.1%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.8%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

