CA Mineiro vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | São Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Nov | Goiás EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | América FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Cuiabá EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #10 |
| 50 | Points | 44 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 12 / 8 / 14 |
| 44 | Scored | 39 |
| 40 | Conceded | 39 |
| +4 | GD | +0 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 41% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (50 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. CA Mineiro kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Moura, as he is very good at scoring at Mineirao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lucas Beraldo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
- 15' Talles Wander, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' Sao Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 25' Caio Paulista has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' CA Mineiro currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luiz Felipe Scolari will be considering his options from the bench.
- 45' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Lucas Moura exits the field as Michel Araujo enters on 45.
- 46' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Igor Gomes is withdrawn and Cristian Pavon gets his opportunity.
- 46' A moment of madness from Michel Araujo on 46 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
- 51' The 30-year-old Michel Araujo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 62' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Rafinha by Nathan on 62 minute.
- 65' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Guilherme Arana on 65 minutes.
- 70' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and Sao Paulo FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 73' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 73 minute. Erison leaves to be changed by Talles Wander.
- 77' Goal! Hulk scores his 78 goal in 489 matches.
- 78' It’s a booking for CA Mineiro player. Hulk gets a Yellow card.
- 80' It’s a booking for CA Mineiro player. Hulk gets a Yellow card.
- 80' Time for substitution for CA Mineiro. Edenilson is replaced by Alan Franco.
- 84' Rubens has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matias Zaracho on 84 minute.
- 86' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Matheus Mendes.
- 90' Paulinho was booked on 90.
- 90' A tactical swap from CA Mineiro — Patrick on, Paulinho off on 90 minutes.
- Full Time. CA Mineiro beats Sao Paulo FC
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 22
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Cristian Pavon 46'
- 16
- 5
- 10
- 13
- 25
-
15
Matias Zaracho ↓ Rubens 84'
-
8
Edenilson ↓ Alan Franco 80'
- 7
Bench
- 38
- 20
-
9
Cristian Pavon ↑ 46'
-
49
Patrick ↑ 90'
-
23
Alan Franco ↑ 80'
- 31
-
44
Rubens ↑ 84'
- 1
- 27
- 45
- 46
Coach
Luiz Felipe Scolari
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
25
Alisson ↓ Juan Santos 62'
- 10
- 5
- 38
-
7
Lucas Moura ↓ Michel Araujo 45'
- 13
- 27
- 29
- 35
-
49
Erison ↓ Talles Wander 73'
- 23
Bench
- 22
- 93
- 8
- 28
- 6
- 37
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 45'
-
39
William da Silva ↑ 73'
- 4
- 33
-
45
Nathan ↑ 62'
-
31
Juan Santos ↑ 62'
-
–
Talles Wander ↑ 73'
Coach
Dorival Júnior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Paulinho | 4 |
| Eduardo Vargas | 4 |
| Luciano | 3 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Hulk | 2 |
| Igor Gomes | 2 |
| Jair | 2 |
| Alan Franco | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
80%
Draw or São Paulo FC
47%
CA Mineiro or São Paulo FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.7%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 25% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
45%
✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

