Sunday , 16 August 2026

Ross County FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2024-25 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC Global Energy Stadium 4,181 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ronan Hale 26' 1–3
1–3 40' Lawrence Shankland
1–3 58' Lawrence Shankland
1–3 82' Alan Forrest

Overview

Match Preview

Ross County FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League at Global Energy Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Don Robertson
  • Assistant 1 Ross MacLeod
  • Assistant 2 Colin Drummond (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–3 L
26 Apr Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
12 Apr St. Mirren FC A 2–3 L
05 Apr Aberdeen FC H 0–1 L
30 Mar Dundee United FC H 0–1 L
15 Mar Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Ross County FC A 3–1 W
26 Apr Dundee FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Motherwell FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Dundee United FC H 0–1 L
29 Mar Celtic FC A 0–3 L
15 Mar Ross County FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Ross County FC welcome Heart of Midlothian FC for this crunch clash at Global Energy Stadium.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Ross County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Beni Baningime is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Ross County FC tonight.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' Blair Spittal has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 15 cards already picked up this season.
  • 26' What a moment for Ronan Hale! That strike on 26 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 31' Heart of Midlothian FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 40' What a moment for Lawrence Shankland! That strike on 40 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 45' James Penrice is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Ross County FC so far.
  • 50' Over 50 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 55' A quiet spell here at Global Energy Stadium. Ross County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 58' Lawrence Shankland makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Heart of Midlothian FC are in front.
  • 62' Another change for Ross County FC made on 62 minute. James Brown leaves to be changed by Michee Efete.
  • 67' The 21-year-old Jack Grieves has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 68' That looks like a foul for a card for Kenneth Vargas.
  • 70' Calem Nieuwenhof is ready to make an impact after coming on for Blair Spittal at the 70 minute mark.
  • 73' The referee shows Ross County FC player a card on 73.
  • 74' Fresh legs for Ross County FC! Jack Grieves comes on to replace George Harmon.
  • 79' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kenneth Vargas suffering a number of foals already.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Heart of Midlothian FC team. Kenneth Vargas is replaced by Yan Dhanda on 81 minute.
  • 82' What a strike from Alan Forrest! The score is 1-3.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for George Robesten. He replaces Alex Samuel on 83 minute.
  • 88' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Ross County FC and Heart of Midlothian FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 90' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Alan Forrest trudges off to be replaced by James Wilson on 90 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15 Ross County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Ross County FC or Heart of Midlothian FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ross County FC30% Draw29% Heart of Midlothian FC41%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Ross County FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
70%
Ross County FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Ross County FC22% Draw48% Heart of Midlothian FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
9.9%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Ross County FC

Handicap Ross County FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Ross County FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.