Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rochdale AFC vs Fleetwood Town FC, League One 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2019-20
Thu 26 Dec 2019 · 15:00 UTC Crown Oil Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Rochdale AFC vs Fleetwood Town FCLeague One at Crown Oil Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Graham
  • Referee Andy Haines
  • Referee Anthony Moore
  • Referee David Avent

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Fleetwood Town FC H 2–3 L
21 Dec Burton Albion FC A 1–3 L
07 Dec Rotherham United FC A 1–0 W
23 Nov Portsmouth FC H 0–3 L
16 Nov Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
05 Nov Ipswich Town FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Rochdale AFC A 3–2 W
21 Dec Rotherham United FC A 2–2 D
14 Dec Gillingham FC H 1–1 D
07 Dec Blackpool FC A 1–3 L
23 Nov Tranmere Rovers FC H 2–1 W
02 Nov Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Rochdale AFC vs Fleetwood Town FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' The travelling Fleetwood Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' Harry Souttar has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aaron Wilbraham made 140 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Lewie Coyle is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fleetwood Town FC tonight.
  • 35' Jimmy Keohane has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 5 cards already picked up this season.
  • 40' Conor McAleny, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 41' That is a Yellow card for Rochdale AFC. Aaron Wilbraham will be fuming at that decision.
  • 41' Brilliant from the ! Aaron Wilbraham makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 41.
  • 46' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 53' The deadlock is broken! Paddy Madden gets on the scoresheet on 53 minutes.
  • 58' Rochdale AFC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 60' Aaron Wilbraham adds to his 0 season tally! Rochdale AFC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 61' Oliver Rathbone is replacing Jimmy Ryan for the Rochdale AFC side.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Fleetwood Town FC. Jack Sowerby is replaced by Wes Burns.
  • 65' GOAL! Aaron Wilbraham fires home to make it 3-1!
  • 65' Harrison Biggins makes way for Kyle Dempsey at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fleetwood Town FC.
  • 66' The Rochdale AFC bench stirs into life. Matt Done is withdrawn and Kwadwo Baah gets his opportunity.
  • 71' It looks surprising Fleetwood Town FC does not make any changes. Josh Morris has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Josh Morris as he leaves the pitch. Conor McAleny steps in for Fleetwood Town FC.
  • 78' Calvin Andrew is replacing Stephen Dooley for the Rochdale AFC side.
  • 83' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Rochdale AFC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 88' Kwadwo Baah has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 88.
  • 89' A goal from the Wales international Wes Burns! He fires home on 89 to make it 3-2!
  • 90' It’s a booking for Rochdale AFC player. Eoghan O'Connell gets a Yellow card.
  • The final score is 2-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 Rochdale AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65 Fleetwood Town FC xG
I would bet for: Rochdale AFC or Fleetwood Town FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rochdale AFC32% Draw27% Fleetwood Town FC41%
Actual: Fleetwood Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Rochdale AFC or Draw
59%
Draw or Fleetwood Town FC
68%
Rochdale AFC or Fleetwood Town FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rochdale AFC26% Draw43% Fleetwood Town FC31%
Actual: Rochdale AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.7%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Rochdale AFC

Handicap Rochdale AFC covers Push Fleetwood Town FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 17% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 20% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Rochdale AFC keeps clean sheet
20%
Fleetwood Town FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.