Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 1 Nov 2025 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CFLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Valencia CF H 4–0 W
26 Oct FC Barcelona H 2–1 W
22 Oct Juventus FC H 1–0 W
19 Oct Getafe CF A 1–0 W
04 Oct Villarreal CF H 3–1 W
30 Sep FK Kairat A 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Real Madrid CF A 0–4 L
25 Oct Villarreal CF H 0–2 L
20 Oct Deportivo Alaves A 0–0 D
04 Oct Girona FC A 1–2 L
30 Sep Real Oviedo H 1–2 L
23 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Valencia CF
#2 Position #9
86 Points 49
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 13 / 10 / 15
77 Scored 46
35 Conceded 55
+42 GD -9
2.26 PPG 1.29
71% Win % 34%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Valencia CF are 9th (49 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Valencia CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.57 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Valencia CF xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 72% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF72% Draw17% Valencia CF11%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
90%
Draw or Valencia CF
28%
Real Madrid CF or Valencia CF
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF55% Draw36% Valencia CF9%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.4%
3 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
8.7%
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
3.5%
5 – 0
3.2%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Valencia CF covers
-2.5 32% 68%
-2 32% 21% 47%
-1.5 53% 47%
-1 53% 21% 26%
-0.5 74% 26%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
45%
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.