Thursday , 1 October 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 1 Nov 2025 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Valencia CF — La Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Mateo Busquets Ferrer (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Valencia CF H 4–0 W
26 Oct FC Barcelona H 2–1 W
22 Oct Juventus FC H 1–0 W
19 Oct Getafe CF A 1–0 W
04 Oct Villarreal CF H 3–1 W
30 Sep FK Kairat A 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Real Madrid CF A 0–4 L
25 Oct Villarreal CF H 0–2 L
20 Oct Deportivo Alaves A 0–0 D
04 Oct Girona FC A 1–2 L
30 Sep Real Oviedo H 1–2 L
23 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Valencia CF
#4 Position #19
15 Points 4
7 Played 7
5 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
18 Scored 4
8 Conceded 13
+10 GD -9
2.14 PPG 0.57
71% Win % 14%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
29% Clean Sheets
Valencia CF this season

Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts). Valencia CF are 19th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Valencia CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Real Madrid CF to score. At the same time, Valencia CF does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 4-0 the final result. Valencia CF will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Valencia CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.13 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.61 Valencia CF xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 79% + Over 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF79% Draw13% Valencia CF8%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 3.74
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
93%
Draw or Valencia CF
21%
Real Madrid CF or Valencia CF
87%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF65% Draw30% Valencia CF5%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
12%
2 – 0
12%
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
5 – 0
5.8%
4 – 1
5.7%
1 – 1
5.1%
5 – 1
3.6%
0 – 0
3.4%
6 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Valencia CF covers
-2.5 46% — 54%
-2 46% 21% 33%
-1.5 67% — 33%
-1 67% 17% 15%
-0.5 85% — 15%
+0.5 96% — 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
55% ✓
Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.