Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 28 Jan 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Real Madrid CF H 4–2 W
25 Jan CF Estrela da Amadora H 4–0 W
21 Jan Juventus FC A 0–2 L
17 Jan Rio Ave FC A 2–0 W
03 Jan GD Estoril Praia H 3–1 W
28 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 2–4 L
24 Jan Villarreal CF A 2–0 W
20 Jan AS Monaco FC H 6–1 W
17 Jan Levante UD H 2–0 W
04 Jan Real Betis Balompie H 5–1 W
20 Dec Sevilla FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Sport Lisboa e Benfica Real Madrid CF
#24 Position #9
9 Points 15
8 Played 8
3 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
10 Scored 21
12 Conceded 12
-2 GD +9
1.13 PPG 1.88
38% Win % 63%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Sport Lisboa e Benfica this season
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Sport Lisboa e Benfica are 24th (9 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sport Lisboa e Benfica Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.05 Sport Lisboa e Benfica xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sport Lisboa e Benfica48% Draw22% Real Madrid CF30%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Draw
70%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
52%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Real Madrid CF
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sport Lisboa e Benfica34% Draw39% Real Madrid CF27%
Actual: Sport Lisboa e Benfica win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 3
4.1%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
0 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Handicap Sport Lisboa e Benfica covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 18% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 16% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Sport Lisboa e Benfica keeps clean sheet
17%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.