Saturday , 14 November 2026

Reading FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 23 Jan 2024 · 20:00 UTC Select Car Leasing Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Paul Mukairu 54' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Reading FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Select Car Leasing Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Drysdale
  • Assistant 1 Justin Amey
  • Assistant 2 Stephen Brown
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 10.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Derby County FC H 1–0 W
20 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 0–1 L
01 Jan Exeter City FC H 3–2 W
29 Dec Cheltenham Town FC A 2–2 D
26 Dec Peterborough United FC A 2–2 D
23 Dec Wigan Athletic FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Reading FC A 0–1 L
20 Jan Lincoln City FC A 0–0 D
15 Jan Burton Albion FC H 3–2 W
06 Jan Fleetwood Town FC A 3–1 W
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–3 L
29 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
Reading FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Reading FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/–
46-60
7/3
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Reading FC
Jack Marriott 8 G
Jacob Brown 4 G 1 A
Kyrell Lisbie 3 G 1 A
George Earthy 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Reading FC and Derby County FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Charlie Savage has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 17 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 397 games and scored 462 goals.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Conor Hourihane, as he is very good at scoring at Select Car Leasing Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' With 1 assists to his name this season, Max Bird is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 30' It’s high time Ruben Selles made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 40' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 50' Reading FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 54' Reading FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Paul Mukairu on 54.
  • 59' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Jeriel Dorsett has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 63' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. James Collins is replaced by Tyreece John-Jules on 63 minute.
  • 64' Amadou Salif Mbengue is replacing Andy Yiadom for the Reading FC side.
  • 69' The 29-year-old Corey Blackett-Taylor has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 73' Controversy at the stadium! Amadou Salif Mbengue argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 78' Clinton Mola has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lewis Wing on 78 minute.
  • 79' Sonny Bradley has so much to prove this time. He replaces Conor Hourihane on 79 minute.
  • 84' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Reading FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 88' Reading FC ring the changes. Femi Azeez has done his job and it is now time for Kelvin Ehibhationhan to step up.
  • Full Time. Reading FC beats Derby County FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.41 Reading FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC49% Draw28% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Reading FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Reading FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Reading FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC32% Draw50% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Reading FC

Handicap Reading FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Reading FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.