Thursday , 2 July 2026

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Fakel Voronezh, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Fri 18 Oct 2024 · 17:15 UTC Akhmat Arena 4,709 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 16' Aleksey Kashtanov
Vladislav Kamilov 33' 2–1
2–2 77' Evgeniy Markov pen
2–3 90+4' Aleksey Kashtanov

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct FK Fakel Voronezh H 2–3 L
05 Oct FK Rubin Kazan A 0–2 L
28 Sep PFC CSKA Moskva A 0–3 L
23 Sep PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 1–1 D
15 Sep FK Dinamo Moskva A 2–4 L
31 Aug FK Akron Tolyatti H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct RFK Akhmat Grozny A 3–2 W
06 Oct FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 1–1 D
27 Sep FK Rubin Kazan H 0–0 D
21 Sep FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 1–3 L
14 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod H 0–0 D
01 Sep FK Rostov A 1–4 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
1/3
16-30
/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 FK Fakel Voronezh xG
I would bet for: RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Fakel Voronezh 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RFK Akhmat Grozny36% Draw27% FK Fakel Voronezh37%
Actual: FK Fakel Voronezh win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
63%
Draw or FK Fakel Voronezh
64%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Fakel Voronezh
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RFK Akhmat Grozny29% Draw44% FK Fakel Voronezh27%
Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.7%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap RFK Akhmat Grozny covers Push FK Fakel Voronezh covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
24%
FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.