FK Rubin Kazan vs RFK Akhmat Grozny, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Rubin Kazan vs RFK Akhmat Grozny — RFPL at Kazan Arena.
- FK Rubin Kazan 30 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Sep | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 2–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | FK Akron Tolyatti | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Aug | FK Khimki | H | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Rubin Kazan | RFK Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #9 |
| 43 | Points | 37 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 11 / 10 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 11 |
| 29 | Scored | 35 |
| 30 | Conceded | 39 |
| -1 | GD | -4 |
| 1.43 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 37% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Rubin Kazan are 8th (43 pts). RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Kazan Arena. FK Rubin Kazan are looking to make home advantage count against RFK Akhmat Grozny.
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Rubin Kazan and RFK Akhmat Grozny are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 20' Ugochukwu Iwu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 22' Svetoslav Kovachev picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 27' RFK Akhmat Grozny come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 32' Mohamed Amine Talal is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RFK Akhmat Grozny so far.
- 37' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' The deadlock is broken! Ilya Rozhkov gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 46' The RFK Akhmat Grozny bench stirs into life. Svetoslav Kovachev is withdrawn and Mohamed Amine Talal gets his opportunity.
- 51' The referee has no hesitation. Ismael is booked for RFK Akhmat Grozny — card on 51.
- 56' Lechi Sadulaev is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for RFK Akhmat Grozny tonight.
- 58' The crowd applauds Daniil Utkin as he leaves the pitch. Mauro Luna Diale steps in for RFK Akhmat Grozny.
- 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nader Ghandri made 134 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 68' FK Rubin Kazan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RFK Akhmat Grozny backline.
- 73' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 73 minutes.
- 76' Another substitution for FK Rubin Kazan to replace Valentin Vada by Veldin Hodza on 76 minute.
- 77' Another substitution for RFK Akhmat Grozny to replace Maksim Samorodov by Lucas Lovat on 77 minute.
- 79' The referee shows FK Rubin Kazan player a card on 79.
- 83' RFK Akhmat Grozny manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Anton Shvets is hanging Camilo on the field on 83 minute.
- 86' A tactical swap from FK Rubin Kazan — Ruslan Bezrukov on, Ilya Rozhkov off on 86 minutes.
- 89' It’s a booking for RFK Akhmat Grozny player. Mauro Luna Diale gets a card.
- 90' Aleksandr Zotov picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' Aleksandr Zotov makes way for Umarali Rahmonaliyev at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Rubin Kazan.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. FK Rubin Kazan take all three points.
Lineups
FK Rubin Kazan Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
30
Valentin Vada ↓ Veldin Hodza 76'
- 21
-
24
Nikola Cumic ↓ Oleg Ivanov 86'
- 15
- 10
- 27
- 2
- 6
- 70
-
51
Ilya Rozhkov ↓ Ruslan Bezrukov 86'
- 38
Bench
- 25
-
19
Oleg Ivanov ↑ 86'
- 20
- 8
-
22
Veldin Hodza ↑ 76'
-
23
Ruslan Bezrukov ↑ 86'
- 9
- 71
- 90
- 5
-
33
Umarali Rahmonaliyev ↑ 90'
- 86
Coach
Rashid Rakhimov
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 55
- 88
- 75
-
47
Daniil Utkin ↓ Mauro Luna Diale 58'
- 95
- 98
-
15
Camilo ↓ Anton Shvets 83'
- 10
- 11
-
20
Maksim Samorodov ↓ Lucas Lovat 77'
Bench
-
36
Lucas Lovat ↑ 77'
-
14
Mohamed Amine Talal ↑ 46'
-
23
Anton Shvets ↑ 83'
- 1
-
19
Mauro Luna Diale ↑ 58'
- 18
- 5
- 4
- 71
- 13
Coach
Sergey Tashuev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 2 |
| Nader Ghandri | 2 |
| Daniil Utkin | 2 |
| Mirlind Daku | 2 |
| Denis Glushakov | 1 |
| Lazar Randjelovic | 1 |
| Ilya Rozhkov | 1 |
| Georgii Melkadze | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Rubin Kazan Form
2024-10-05
FK Rubin Kazan
2–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2024-09-27
FK Fakel Voronezh
0–0
FK Rubin Kazan
D
2024-09-21
FK Rubin Kazan
1–1
PFC CSKA Moskva
D
2024-09-13
FK Rubin Kazan
0–2
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
L
2024-08-31
FK Spartak Moskva
1–0
FK Rubin Kazan
L
2024-08-23
FK Rubin Kazan
2–0
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
W
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2024-10-05
FK Rubin Kazan
2–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2024-09-28
PFC CSKA Moskva
3–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2024-09-23
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
D
2024-09-15
FK Dinamo Moskva
4–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2024-08-31
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0–0
FK Akron Tolyatti
D
2024-08-24
RFK Akhmat Grozny
3–3
FK Khimki
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59
FK Rubin Kazan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59% + FK Rubin Kazan to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Rubin Kazan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
FK Rubin Kazan or Draw
84%
Draw or RFK Akhmat Grozny
41%
FK Rubin Kazan or RFK Akhmat Grozny
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Rubin Kazan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — FK Rubin Kazan
| Handicap | FK Rubin Kazan covers | Push | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

