RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2023-24

RFK Akhmat Grozny

1 – 5

Full Time

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Sun 19 May 2024 · 16:00 UTC Akhmat Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Milos Satara 25' Y

Artiom Timofeev 77' Y

Y 84' Aleksandr Kovalenko

Ivan Oleynikov 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — RFPL at Akhmat Arena.

RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 games · 68 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny 20 games · Avg 2.6 goals FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-19 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–5 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2023-10-28 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2022-11-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2022-08-06 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–0 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2022-04-09 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Recent Form

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 May	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	1–5	L
10 May	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	2–0	W
04 May	FK Krasnodar	A	1–0	W
28 Apr	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	5–1	W
25 Apr	PFK Sochi	H	1–0	W
20 Apr	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	2–1	W

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 May	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	5–1	W
11 May	PFC CSKA Moskva	H	0–1	L
06 May	FK Fakel Voronezh	A	1–1	D
28 Apr	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	0–1	L
24 Apr	FK Rubin Kazan	H	0–2	L
21 Apr	FK Orenburg	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny		FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
#9	Position	#1
37	Points	68
30	Played	30
9 / 10 / 11	W / D / L	20 / 8 / 2
35	Scored	53
39	Conceded	19
-4	GD	+34
1.23	PPG	2.27
30%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (68 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg get this one started.
4' The deadlock is broken! Mateo Cassierra gets on the scoresheet on 4 minutes.
9' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mateo Cassierra makes it 0-2.
11' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mohamed Konate makes no mistake. 1-2!
16' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
19' The FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg manager makes a substitution. Douglas Santos departs to be replaced by Vyacheslav Karavaev.
24' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
25' RFK Akhmat Grozny receives a card for a hard tackle on 25.
30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aleksandr Kovalenko suffering a number of foals already.
35' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
40' It looks surprising FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg does not make any changes. Wendel has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
44' GOAL! Mateo Cassierra scores on 44. Assisted by Claudinho
46' Mateo Cassierra adds to his 2 season tally! FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg lead 1-4 — and this changes everything.
51' GOAL! Mateo Cassierra scores on 51. Assisted by Wendel
53' Gustavo Mantuan gets the nod from FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg. He replaces Pedrinho Santos and will look to change the dynamic.
54' Time for substitution for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg. Nino is replaced by Rodrigao.
56' The supporters are chanting for Artiom Timofeev. He replaces Vladislav Kamilov on 56 minute.
61' FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
65' Another change for RFK Akhmat Grozny made on 65 minute. Mohamed Konate leaves to be changed by Bernard Berisha.
70' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
74' The crowd applauds Strahinja Erakovic as he leaves the pitch. Dmitriy Vasilyev steps in for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg.
77' Poor challenge from Artiom Timofeev. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
77' RFK Akhmat Grozny ring the changes. Darko Todorovic has done his job and it is now time for Turpal-Ali Ibishev to step up.
82' Wilmar Barrios is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg tonight.
84' Aleksandr Kovalenko picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
87' A moment of madness from Ivan Oleynikov on 87 minutes earns him a card. RFK Akhmat Grozny will be frustrated.
It finishes all square. RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg share the spoils 1-5.

Lineups

RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups

Starting XI

–
Lucas Lovat
23
Anton Shvets ↓ Svetoslav Kovachev 56'
55
Darko Todorovic ↓ Turpal-Ali Ibishev 77'
–
Nader Ghandri
1
Mikhail Oparin
13
Mohamed Konate ↓ Bernard Berisha 65'
8
Miroslav Bogosavac ↓ Ivan Oleynikov 77'
18
Vladislav Kamilov ↓ Artiom Timofeev 56'
16
Camilo
5
Milos Satara
10
Lechi Sadulaev

Bench

Coach Magomed Adiev

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

Starting XI

30
Mateo Cassierra
3
Douglas Santos ↓ Vyacheslav Karavaev 19'
8
Wendel ↓ Aleksandr Kovalenko 74'
5
Wilmar Barrios
16
Denis Adamov
28
Nuraly Alip
–
Nino ↓ Rodrigao 54'
11
Claudinho
25
Strahinja Erakovic ↓ Dmitriy Vasilyev 74'
33
Ivan Sergeev
–
Pedrinho Santos ↓ Gustavo Mantuan 53'

Bench

Coach Sergey Semak

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mateo Cassierra	7
Andrei Mostovoi	4
Mohamed Konate	4
Sebastian Driussi	2
Aleksandr Erokhin	2
Bernard Berisha	2
Yuri Alberto	2
Aleksandr Sobolev	1

Head to Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny Form

2024-05-19 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–5 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2024-05-10 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny W 2024-05-04 FK Krasnodar 0–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny W 2024-04-28 RFK Akhmat Grozny 5–1 FK Nizhny Novgorod W 2024-04-25 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 PFK Sochi W 2024-04-20 PFC CSKA Moskva 1–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny W

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form

2024-05-19 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–5 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2024-05-11 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 0–1 PFC CSKA Moskva L 2024-05-06 FK Fakel Voronezh 1–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg D 2024-04-28 FK Dinamo Moskva 1–0 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2024-04-24 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 0–2 FK Rubin Kazan L 2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.07 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RFK Akhmat Grozny24% Draw24% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg52%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 3.07

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw

49%

Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

76%

RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

RFK Akhmat Grozny15% Draw42% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg43%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted

1 – 5

Actual

1 – 1

10.4%

0 – 2

9.8%

1 – 2

9.6%

0 – 1

0 – 3

6.6%

1 – 3

6.6%

0 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

4.8%

2 – 1

4.6%

1 – 0

3.9%

1 – 4

3.5%

0 – 4

3.4%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap	RFK Akhmat Grozny covers	Push	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	11%	83%
-0.5	17%	—	83%
+0.5	39%	—	61%
+1	39%	23%	38%
+1.5	62%	—	38%
+2	62%	19%	19%
+2.5	81%	—	19%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.