RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga .
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sascha Stegemann
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern München 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 17 Jan FC Bayern München H 1–5 L 14 Jan SC Freiburg H 2–0 W 20 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–3 L 12 Dec 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–3 L 06 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 6–0 W 02 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg H 3–1 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 17 Jan RB Leipzig A 5–1 W 14 Jan 1. FC Koln A 3–1 W 11 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 8–1 W 21 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W 14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–2 D 09 Dec Sporting Clube de Portugal H 3–1 W Season Stats
RB Leipzig FC Bayern München #3 Position #1 65 Points 89 34 Played 34 20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1 66 Scored 122 47 Conceded 36 +19 GD +86 1.91 PPG 2.62 59% Win % 82% Key Stats
61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this seasonRB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig0-151/–16-303/331-452/246-602/161-752/176+3/5■ Scored ■ ConcededFC Bayern München0-153/116-301/431-454/246-606/161-753/176+8/2■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for RB Leipzig to score. At the same time, FC Bayern München does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- With this win, FC Bayern München is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
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Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Robert Lewandowski 5 Thomas Muller 4 Leroy Sane 4 Maxim Choupo-Moting 3 Jamal Musiala 3 Christopher Nkunku 3 Harry Kane 3 Benjamin Sesko 3 Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
FC Bayern München Form
2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München W 2026-01-14 1. FC Koln 1–3 FC Bayern München W 2026-01-11 FC Bayern München 8–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-12-21 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–4 FC Bayern München W 2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-09 FC Bayern München 3–1 Sporting Clube de Portugal W -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.45 RB Leipzig xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo3.3 FC Bayern München xGI would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 73%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 4.75Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 98% 2% ± 1.5 95% 5% ± 2.5 84% 16% ± 3.5 68% 32% ± 4.5 50% 50% Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw 36%Draw or FC Bayern München 82%RB Leipzig or FC Bayern München 82%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 3 7.4%1 – 2 6.9%1 – 4 6%2 – 3 5.3%0 – 3 5.3%0 – 2 5%2 – 2 4.9%1 – 1 4.9%2 – 4 4.4%0 – 4 4.3%1 – 5 Actual2 – 1 3.1%Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push FC Bayern München covers -2.5 2% — 98% -2 2% 4% 94% -1.5 6% — 94% -1 6% 8% 86% -0.5 14% — 86% +0.5 29% — 71% +1 29% 18% 54% +1.5 46% — 54% +2 46% 19% 35% +2.5 65% — 35% Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet 4% ✓FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet 24% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.