Thursday , 1 October 2026

PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs Qarabag Agdam FK, Champions League Q 2024 ROUND 3

Tue 13 Aug 2024 · 18:00 UTC Huvepharma Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs Qarabag Agdam FK — Champions League Q at Huvepharma Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Simone Sozza
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.7 goals/game

Recent Form

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs Qarabag Agdam FK — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Juninho has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 7' A goal from the Brazil international Juninho! He fires home on 7 to make it 0-1!
  • 12' With 0 assists to his name this season, Elvin Cəfərquliyev is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad.
  • 13' What a strike from Kwadwo Duah! The score is 1-1.
  • 18' Qarabag Agdam FK seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 23' Kwadwo Duah puts PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad on the lead.
  • 28' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Bahlul Mustafazada.
  • 30' A change in the Qarabag Agdam FK ranks — Marko Vesovic exits the field as Matheus Silva enters on 30.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' Patrick Andrade is replacing Marko Jankovic for the Qarabag Agdam FK side.
  • 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' What composure from Yassine Benzia! The Algeria international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 46' Another substitution for PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad to replace Jakub Piotrowski by Ivaylo Chochev on 46 minute.
  • 50' Patrick Andrade doubles the advantage! 2-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 54' It’s a booking for Qarabag Agdam FK player. Matheus Silva gets a card.
  • 58' It’s gonna be a card for Ivaylo Chochev.
  • 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 68' The energy levels are beginning to show. Georgi Dermendjiev might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 73' PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 74' Rwan Seco makes way for Spas Delev at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad.
  • 79' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Edvin Kurtulus suffering a number of foals already.
  • 84' Toral Bayramov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Elvin Cəfərquliyev at the 84 minute mark.
  • 85' Qarabag Agdam FK player sees a card in front of him.
  • 87' Qarabag Agdam FK receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
  • 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Deroy Duarte.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Rick. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Qarabag Agdam FK celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77 PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
I would bet for: PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad or Qarabag Agdam FK 77% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad36% Draw23% Qarabag Agdam FK41%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad or Draw
58%
Draw or Qarabag Agdam FK
64%
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad or Qarabag Agdam FK
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad26% Draw38% Qarabag Agdam FK36%
Actual: Qarabag Agdam FK win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–7 not predicted
2 – 7
Actual
1 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
3.4%
1 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad

Handicap PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad covers Push Qarabag Agdam FK covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 9% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 15% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 19% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 14% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.