Saturday , 14 November 2026

Preston North End FC vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2024-25 LAST 16

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 12:15 UTC Deepdale 17,761 HT 45' · FT 45'
Robbie Brady 31' 1–0
Milutin Osmajic 44' 2–0
Will Keane 73' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Preston North End FC vs Burnley FC — FA Cup at Deepdale.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Burnley FC H 3–0 W
22 Feb Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
18 Feb Millwall FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Burnley FC H 0–0 D
11 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–0 W
08 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–3 L
21 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
15 Feb Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
12 Feb Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
08 Feb Southampton FC A 1–0 W
04 Feb Oxford United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Deepdale as Preston North End FC face off against Burnley FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 28' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Stefan Teitur Thordarson on 28 minutes.
  • 30' Lucas Pires is having his name booked by the referee on 30.
  • 31' Robbie Brady makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Preston North End FC are in front.
  • 35' Kaine Kesler is having his name booked by the referee on 35.
  • 40' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 44' GOAL! Milutin Osmajic fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 49' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 54' England international Freddie Woodman has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 58' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Benson Manuel departs to be replaced by Ashley Barnes.
  • 63' Burnley FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 67' It’s gonna be a card for Ryan Ledson.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Jeremy Sarmiento as he leaves the pitch. Jaydon Banel steps in for Burnley FC.
  • 72' Fresh legs for Preston North End FC! Andrew Hughes comes on to replace Robbie Brady.
  • 73' What a strike from Will Keane! The score is 3-0.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Preston North End FC — Emil Riis Jakobsen on, Will Keane off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Ched Evans. He replaces Milutin Osmajic on 84 minute.
  • 89' Both keepers have barely been tested. Preston North End FC and Burnley FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 Preston North End FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Preston North End FC48% Draw29% Burnley FC23%
Actual: Preston North End FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Preston North End FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Burnley FC
52%
Preston North End FC or Burnley FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Preston North End FC32% Draw52% Burnley FC16%
Actual: Preston North End FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.3%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Preston North End FC

Handicap Preston North End FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Preston North End FC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.