Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Preston North End FC vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2024-25 LAST 16

FA Cup · 2024-25
Preston North End FC
3 – 0
Full Time
Burnley FC
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 12:15 UTC Deepdale 17,761 HT 45' · FT 45'
Robbie Brady 31' 1–0
Milutin Osmajic 44' 2–0
Will Keane 73' 3–0
Stefan Teitur Thordarson 28' Y
Y 30' Lucas Pires
Kaine Kesler 35' Y
Ryan Ledson 67' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Preston North End FC vs Burnley FC — FA Cup at Deepdale.

Head-to-Head

1
3
1
Preston North End FC 5 games · Avg 1.6 goals Burnley FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-01 Preston North End FC 3–0 Burnley FC 2025-02-15 Preston North End FC 0–0 Burnley FC 2024-10-05 Burnley FC 0–0 Preston North End FC 2023-02-11 Burnley FC 3–0 Preston North End FC 2022-09-13 Preston North End FC 1–1 Burnley FC

Recent Form

Preston North End FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Burnley FC H 3–0 W
22 Feb Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
18 Feb Millwall FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Burnley FC H 0–0 D
11 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–0 W
08 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC H 4–2 W
Burnley FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–3 L
21 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
15 Feb Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
12 Feb Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
08 Feb Southampton FC A 1–0 W
04 Feb Oxford United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Preston North End FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Burnley FC get us underway at Deepdale.
  • 5' Preston North End FC is showing some good football. However, Preston North End FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Josh Brownhill has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 28' The referee calls foul for Stefan Teitur Thordarson. He receives a card.
  • 30' It’s gonna be a card for Lucas Pires.
  • 31' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Robbie Brady makes it 1-0.
  • 35' Kaine Kesler has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 35.
  • 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
  • 44' Milutin Osmajic doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 49' The 33-year-old Will Keane has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 54' Luca Koleosho has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 58' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Benson Manuel is replaced by Ashley Barnes.
  • 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Maxime Esteve made 424 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 67' Ryan Ledson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 68' Jaydon Banel gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Jeremy Sarmiento and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' The Preston North End FC manager makes a substitution. Robbie Brady departs to be replaced by Andrew Hughes.
  • 73' What a strike from Will Keane! The score is 3-0.
  • 77' Emil Riis Jakobsen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Will Keane at the 77 minute mark.
  • 82' With 1 assists to his name this season, Lucas Pires is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
  • 84' Ched Evans is replacing Milutin Osmajic for the Preston North End FC side.
  • 89' Burnley FC have won 412 goals from 350 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • The points are shared — Preston North End FC 3-0 Burnley FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Preston North End FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Burnley FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Nathan Tella 3
Jordan Storey 1
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 1
Robbie Brady 1
Will Keane 1
Milutin Osmajic 1

Head to Head

2025-03-01 Preston North End FC 3–0 Burnley FC 2025-02-15 Preston North End FC 0–0 Burnley FC 2024-10-05 Burnley FC 0–0 Preston North End FC 2023-02-11 Burnley FC 3–0 Preston North End FC 2022-09-13 Preston North End FC 1–1 Burnley FC

Preston North End FC Form

2025-03-01 Preston North End FC 3–0 Burnley FC W 2025-02-22 Coventry City FC 2–1 Preston North End FC L 2025-02-18 Preston North End FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2025-02-15 Preston North End FC 0–0 Burnley FC D 2025-02-11 Norwich City FC 0–1 Preston North End FC W 2025-02-08 Preston North End FC 4–2 Wycombe Wanderers FC W

Burnley FC Form

2025-03-01 Preston North End FC 3–0 Burnley FC L 2025-02-21 Burnley FC 4–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2025-02-15 Preston North End FC 0–0 Burnley FC D 2025-02-12 Burnley FC 2–0 Hull City AFC W 2025-02-08 Southampton FC 0–1 Burnley FC W 2025-02-04 Burnley FC 1–0 Oxford United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 Preston North End FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Preston North End FC48% Draw29% Burnley FC23%
Actual: Preston North End FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Preston North End FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Burnley FC
52%
Preston North End FC or Burnley FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Preston North End FC32% Draw52% Burnley FC16%
Actual: Preston North End FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.3%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Preston North End FC

Handicap Preston North End FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Preston North End FC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.