Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 25 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 25 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 25 | 54 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 25 | 45 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 25 | 43 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 25 | 40 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 24 | 39 |
| 6 | Orlando City SC | 25 | 34 |
| 7 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 33 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 25 | 32 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 32 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 30 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 24 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 25 | 29 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 25 | 23 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 25 | 23 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 25 | 21 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 24 | 46 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 25 | 43 |
| 18 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 43 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 41 |
| 20 | St. Louis City | 25 | 41 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 40 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 25 | 35 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 32 |
| 24 | San Diego FC | 25 | 30 |
| 25 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 30 |
| 26 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 29 |
| 27 | Minnesota United FC | 25 | 29 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 25 | 29 |
| 29 | Seattle Sounders FC | 23 | 28 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep | Minnesota United FC | H | 5–4 | W |
| 30 Aug | Austin FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | Los Angeles FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Aug | San Diego FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | Chicago Fire FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Aug | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 4–5 | L |
| 29 Aug | Orlando City SC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 23 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 5–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Aug | San Diego FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #27 |
| 32 | Points | 29 |
| 25 | Played | 25 |
| 9 / 5 / 11 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 10 |
| 47 | Scored | 37 |
| 47 | Conceded | 43 |
| +0 | GD | -6 |
| 1.28 | PPG | 1.16 |
| 36% | Win % | 28% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
4%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Portland Timbers are 23rd (32 pts). Minnesota United FC are 27th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
4/8
16-30
7/6
31-45
5/8
46-60
5/4
61-75
7/–
76+
9/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/6
16-30
2/8
31-45
6/1
46-60
3/5
61-75
7/4
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
| Kristoffer Velde | 8 G | 5 A |
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 13 G | 2 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 7 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Providence Park. Portland Timbers are looking to make home advantage count against Minnesota United FC.
- 5' Minnesota United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Jefferson Diaz needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 11' What a strike from Vincent Janssen! The score is 1-0.
- 16' Over 16 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' Against the run of play, Ariel Lassiter has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 24' A meaty challenge results in booking for Michael Boxall on 24.
- 26' Vincent Janssen adds to his 3 season tally! Portland Timbers lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
- 31' Joaquin Pereyra has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 32' Goal! Marcus Caldeira scores his 4 goal in 290 matches.
- 37' A goal from the USA international Anthony Markanich! He fires home on 37 to make it 3-2!
- 37' Portland Timbers ring the changes. Jose Caicedo has done his job and it is now time for Julio Ortiz to step up.
- 38' What composure from Anthony Markanich! The USA international strokes it home. 3-3.
- 43' Minnesota United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 45' Portland Timbers player sees a card in front of him.
- 50' The Canada Marcus Caldeira breaks the deadlock on 50 minutes. 3-4!
- 55' Vincent Janssen adds to his 3 season tally! Portland Timbers lead 4-4 — and this changes everything.
- 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Portland Timbers needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 65' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Portland Timbers that had 296 games and scored 480 goals.
- 68' Diego Chara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vincent Janssen on 68 minute.
- 69' It is a substitution in Portland Timbers team. Ariel Lassiter is replaced by Antony on 69 minute.
- 71' The Norway Kristoffer Velde breaks the deadlock on 71 minutes. 5-4!
- 72' The crowd applauds Wil Trapp as he leaves the pitch. Nectarios Triantis steps in for Minnesota United FC.
- 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jefferson Diaz on 74 minutes.
- 78' The Minnesota United FC manager makes a substitution. Kelvin Yeboah departs to be replaced by Maurice Malone.
- 82' Ian Smith is replacing Anthony Markanich for the Portland Timbers side.
- 87' It looks surprising Portland Timbers does not make any changes. Mauricio Gonzalez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 88' Mauricio Gonzalez gets the nod from Minnesota United FC. He replaces Owen Gene and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Minnesota United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 5-4.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
14
Vincent Janssen ↓ Diego Chara 68'
- 17
- 41
- 15
- 4
-
7
Ariel Lassiter ↓ Antony 69'
- 99
- 10
- 20
- 27
-
30
Jose Caicedo ↓ Julio Ortiz 37'
Bench
-
21
Diego Chara ↑ 68'
- 22
- 26
-
11
Antony ↑ 69'
- 6
-
80
Julio Ortiz ↑ 37'
- 23
- 88
Coach
Phil Neville
Minnesota United FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3
- 26
-
20
Wil Trapp ↓ Nectarios Triantis 72'
- 15
- 12
-
9
Kelvin Yeboah ↓ Maurice Malone 78'
-
30
Owen Gene ↓ Mauricio Gonzalez 88'
- 13
- 23
- 28
- 22
Bench
-
11
Maurice Malone ↑ 78'
-
8
Tomas Chancalay ↑ 72'
- 67
- 16
- 5
-
25
Nectarios Triantis ↑ 72'
- 1
- 33
-
18
Mauricio Gonzalez ↑ 88'
Coach
Cameron Knowles
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sebastian Blanco | 4 |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 4 |
| Robin Lod | 3 |
| Vincent Janssen | 3 |
| Luis Amarilla | 3 |
| Anthony Markanich | 2 |
| Romario Ibarra | 2 |
| Marcus Caldeira | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
Minnesota United FC Form
2026-09-06
Portland Timbers
5–4
Minnesota United FC
L
2026-08-29
Minnesota United FC
3–3
Orlando City SC
D
2026-08-23
San Jose Earthquakes
1–5
Minnesota United FC
W
2026-08-19
Minnesota United FC
1–2
Atlanta United FC
L
2026-08-16
Real Salt Lake
1–1
Minnesota United FC
D
2026-08-02
Minnesota United FC
1–1
San Diego FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.47
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portland Timbers win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.65
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
69%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
52%
Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portland Timbers win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–4 not predicted5 – 4Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 3
4%
4 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.2%
2 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 13% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 17% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 15% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.