Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Perth Glory FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Sun 31 Mar 2024 · 04:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Perth Glory FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Ben Abraham

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Perth Glory FC
#4 Position #10
40 Points 31
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 7 / 11
44 Scored 32
33 Conceded 39
+11 GD -7
1.54 PPG 1.19
42% Win % 31%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Perth Glory FC are 10th (31 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.79 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Perth Glory FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC56% Draw24% Perth Glory FC20%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Perth Glory FC
44%
Melbourne Victory FC or Perth Glory FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC38% Draw45% Perth Glory FC17%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Perth Glory FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Perth Glory FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.