Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Perth Glory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sun 8 Dec 2024 · 06:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Perth Glory FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kate Jacewicz
  • Referee Shane Skinner

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec Perth Glory FC H 2–0 W
01 Dec Western United FC A 3–1 W
24 Nov Wellington Phoenix FC A 0–1 L
09 Nov Brisbane Roar FC H 2–0 W
03 Nov Macarthur FC H 2–1 W
26 Oct Melbourne City FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec Melbourne Victory FC A 0–2 L
29 Nov Adelaide United FC A 2–2 D
22 Nov Western United FC H 1–3 L
10 Nov Melbourne City FC H 0–5 L
02 Nov Central Coast Mariners FC A 0–0 D
26 Oct Wellington Phoenix FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Perth Glory FC
#4 Position #10
40 Points 31
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 7 / 11
44 Scored 32
33 Conceded 39
+11 GD -7
1.54 PPG 1.19
42% Win % 31%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Perth Glory FC are 10th (31 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.91 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 Perth Glory FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC61% Draw23% Perth Glory FC16%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Perth Glory FC
39%
Melbourne Victory FC or Perth Glory FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC42% Draw44% Perth Glory FC14%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Perth Glory FC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 24% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Perth Glory FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.