Thursday , 2 July 2026

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AC Milan, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Wed 25 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC Parc des Princes HT 45' · FT 45'
Kylian Mbappe 32' 1–0
Randal Kolo Muani 53' 2–0
Kang-in Lee 89' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AC MilanChampions League at Parc des Princes.

Match Details

  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
  • Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
18 games this season 🟨 3.1/game 10.0 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals AC Milan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct AC Milan H 3–0 W
21 Oct RC Strasbourg Alsace H 3–0 W
08 Oct Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 3–1 W
04 Oct Newcastle United FC A 1–4 L
30 Sep Clermont Foot 63 A 0–0 D
24 Sep Olympique de Marseille H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–3 L
22 Oct Juventus FC H 0–1 L
07 Oct Genoa CFC A 1–0 W
04 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 0–0 D
30 Sep SS Lazio H 2–0 W
27 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
2/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Parc des Princes. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 4' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 4.
  • 7' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 7.
  • 12' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 16' The referee shows Paris Saint-Germain FC player a Yellow card on 16.
  • 21' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Kylian Mbappe has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 26' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 32' Paris Saint-Germain FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kylian Mbappe on 32.
  • 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 42' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Hernandez suffering a number of foals already.
  • 44' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ousmane Dembele.
  • 46' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Malick Thiaw is replaced by Davide Calabria on 46 minute.
  • 48' What a strike from Ousmane Dembele! The score is 2-0.
  • 53' Goal! Randal Kolo Muani scores his 74 goal in 426 matches.
  • 58' Paris Saint-Germain FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Fikayo Tomori.
  • 62' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Pierre Kalulu gets a Yellow card.
  • 67' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 71' Paris Saint-Germain FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fabian Ruiz is hanging Manuel Ugarte on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 76 minutes.
  • 77' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Rade Krunic is replaced by Yacine Adli.
  • 82' Another substitution for Paris Saint-Germain FC to replace Randal Kolo Muani by Goncalo Ramos on 82 minute.
  • 87' Supporters expect more eagerness from Simon Kjaer, as he is very good at scoring at Parc des Princes with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 89' Goal! Kang-in Lee scores his 12 goal in 520 matches.
  • 90' Another change for AC Milan made on 90 minute. Fikayo Tomori leaves to be changed by Simon Kjaer.
  • The final score is 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.96 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Paris Saint-Germain FC to win 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC64% Draw23% AC Milan13%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
86%
Draw or AC Milan
36%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or AC Milan
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris Saint-Germain FC47% Draw44% AC Milan9%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
2 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
10%
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.9%
4 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.9%
1 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC

Handicap Paris Saint-Germain FC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 21% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 25% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
53%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.