Saturday , 14 November 2026

Paris FC vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
4 – 2
Full Time
Mon 31 Mar 2025 · 18:45 UTC Stade Sebastien Charlety HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Paris FC vs SM Caen — Ligue 2 at Stade Sebastien Charlety.

Match Details

  • Referee Eddy Rosier
6 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 9.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Mar SM Caen H 4–2 W
15 Mar Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–3 L
08 Mar FC Lorient H 3–2 W
28 Feb FC Annecy A 3–2 W
21 Feb ES Troyes AC H 1–0 W
15 Feb USL Dunkerque A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Mar Paris FC A 2–4 L
14 Mar Amiens SC A 1–2 L
07 Mar Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 0–1 L
28 Feb Clermont Foot 63 A 1–0 W
22 Feb Pau FC H 2–2 D
17 Feb FC Annecy A 0–1 L

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Stade Sebastien Charlety. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Paris FC and SM Caen.
  • 5' It looks surprising Paris FC does not make any changes. Alex Mendy has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Morocco international Yassine Benrahou has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 13' Paris FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Timothee Kolodziejczak on 13.
  • 18' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 23' Bilal Brahimi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SM Caen tonight.
  • 27' A moment of madness from Valentin Henry on 27 minutes earns him a card. SM Caen will be frustrated.
  • 32' What a moment for Jean-Philippe Krasso! That strike on 32 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 37' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 42' Alex Moucketou-Moussounda, a , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 45' Mathieu Cafaro doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 45' That is a card for SM Caen. Alex Moucketou-Moussounda will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' The whistle greets Valentin Henry as he departs to be replaced by Lamine Sy.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Stéphane Gilli might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Noe Lebreton on 54 minutes.
  • 58' Ilan Kebbal is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mathieu Cafaro at the 58 minute mark.
  • 60' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jean-Philippe Krasso makes no mistake. 4-0!
  • 65' The home supporters are growing impatient. Paris FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 69' Vincent Marchetti makes way for Lohann Doucet at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Paris FC.
  • 72' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Yassine Benrahou by Mathias Autret on 72 minute.
  • 74' Jean-Philippe Krasso picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 82' Godson Kyeremeh makes no mistake. The score reads 4-1 and SM Caen are in front.
  • 87' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 88' The crowd applauds Jean-Philippe Krasso as he leaves the pitch. Mohamadou Kante steps in for Paris FC.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77 Paris FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC53% Draw24% SM Caen23%
Actual: Paris FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Paris FC or Draw
77%
Draw or SM Caen
47%
Paris FC or SM Caen
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Paris FC35% Draw44% SM Caen21%
Actual: Paris FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 0
7.6%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Paris FC

Handicap Paris FC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Paris FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.