Sunday , 16 August 2026

Paris FC vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
4 2
Full Time
Mon 31 Mar 2025 · 18:45 UTC Stade Sebastien Charlety HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Paris FC vs SM CaenLigue 2 at Stade Sebastien Charlety.

Match Details

  • Referee Eddy Rosier

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Mar SM Caen H 4–2 W
15 Mar Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–3 L
08 Mar FC Lorient H 3–2 W
28 Feb FC Annecy A 3–2 W
21 Feb ES Troyes AC H 1–0 W
15 Feb USL Dunkerque A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Mar Paris FC A 2–4 L
14 Mar Amiens SC A 1–2 L
07 Mar Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 0–1 L
28 Feb Clermont Foot 63 A 1–0 W
22 Feb Pau FC H 2–2 D
17 Feb FC Annecy A 0–1 L

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stade Sebastien Charlety that hosts another battle between Paris FC and SM Caen.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 13' What composure from Timothee Kolodziejczak! The France international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 18' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mamadou Mbow suffering a number of foals already.
  • 23' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jean-Philippe Krasso made 427 appearances and scored 46 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 27' SM Caen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 32' Jean-Philippe Krasso has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 32 minutes.
  • 37' Mathias Autret needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 42' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 45' What a moment for Mathieu Cafaro! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alex Moucketou-Moussounda on 45 minutes.
  • 46' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Valentin Henry departs to be replaced by Lamine Sy.
  • 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Noe Lebreton on 54.
  • 58' Paris FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ilan Kebbal is hanging Mathieu Cafaro on the field on 58 minute.
  • 60' GOAL! Jean-Philippe Krasso fires home to make it 4-0!
  • 65' Thibault De Smet has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 299 appearances.
  • 69' The whistle greets Vincent Marchetti as he departs to be replaced by Lohann Doucet.
  • 72' The SM Caen bench stirs into life. Yassine Benrahou is withdrawn and Mathias Autret gets his opportunity.
  • 74' The referee calls foul for Jean-Philippe Krasso. He receives a card.
  • 79' SM Caen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 82' Godson Kyeremeh is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 87' The home supporters are growing impatient. Paris FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 88' The Paris FC bench stirs into life. Jean-Philippe Krasso is withdrawn and Mohamadou Kante gets his opportunity.
  • 4-2 the final result. SM Caen will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77 Paris FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC53% Draw24% SM Caen23%
Actual: Paris FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Paris FC or Draw
77%
Draw or SM Caen
47%
Paris FC or SM Caen
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Paris FC35% Draw44% SM Caen21%
Actual: Paris FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 0
7.6%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Paris FC

Handicap Paris FC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 21% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Paris FC keeps clean sheet
30%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.