SM Caen vs Paris FC, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Pierre Legat
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier HSC | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Stade de Reims | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Pau FC | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Metz | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Red Star FC | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Annecy | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | USL Dunkerque | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | En Avant Guingamp | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Nantes | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | Clermont Foot 63 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 12 | 11 |
| 17 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 12 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Paris FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Pau FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Feb | Angers SCO | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Feb | En Avant Guingamp | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Feb | Amiens SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Feb | Grenoble Foot 38 | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | SM Caen | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | AS Saint-Etienne | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Feb | US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Feb | US Concarneau | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Feb | Pau FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Feb | Amiens SC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Paris FC get us underway at Michel-d'Ornano.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SM Caen and Paris FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' SM Caen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Samir Chergui, as he is very good at scoring at Michel-d'Ornano with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 35' Paris FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 40' Paris FC have won 377 goals from 445 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' Alex Mendy has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 46' Tuomas Ollila is replacing Alimami Gory for the Paris FC side.
- 51' Paris FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 56' Josias Lukembila needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 65' Mickael Le Bihan makes way for Bilal Brahimi at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from SM Caen.
- 66' Another change for Paris FC made on 66 minute. Ilan Kebbal leaves to be changed by Vincent Marchetti.
- 67' Pierre-Yves Hamel has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 67.
- 72' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 77' Vincent Marchetti has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 82' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Noe Lebreton made 399 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 85' The Finland defender Tuomas Ollila breaks the deadlock on 85 minutes. 0-1!
- 86' Another change for SM Caen made on 86 minute. Godson Kyeremeh leaves to be changed by Mohamed Hafid.
- 89' It’s a booking for Paris FC player. Vincent Marchetti gets a card.
- 90' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Mathias Autret is replaced by Tidiam Gomis on 90 minute.
- 0-1 the final result. SM Caen will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 1
- 29
- 19
-
23
Mathias Autret ↓ Tidiam Gomis 90'
- 2
-
17
Godson Kyeremeh ↓ Mohamed Hafid 86'
- 6
- 61
- 20
- 97
Bench
- 92
-
21
Bilal Brahimi ↑ 65'
- 16
- 5
-
18
Hianga Mananga Mbock ↑ 86'
-
22
Mohamed Hafid ↑ 86'
-
7
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 90'
Coach
Patrice Sauvaget
Paris FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
-
12
Nouha Dicko ↓ Pierre-Yves Hamel 66'
-
7
Alimami Gory ↓ Tuomas Ollila 46'
- 31
- 16
-
10
Ilan Kebbal ↓ Vincent Marchetti 66'
- 27
- 13
- 5
-
17
Adama Camara ↓ Lohann Doucet 90'
- 23
Bench
-
–
Vincent Marchetti ↑ 66'
-
29
Pierre-Yves Hamel ↑ 66'
- 1
-
2
Tuomas Ollila ↑ 46'
- 25
-
18
Lohann Doucet ↑ 90'
Coach
Stéphane Gilli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Romain Thomas | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Krasso | 2 |
| Alex Mendy | 2 |
| Romain Armand | 2 |
| Godson Kyeremeh | 2 |
| Julien Lopez Baila | 2 |
| Mathieu Cafaro | 1 |
| Jessy Pi | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Paris FC xG
I would bet for:
SM Caen or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Paris FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
71%
Draw or Paris FC
60%
SM Caen or Paris FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
13.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | Paris FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 23% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.