SM Caen vs Paris FC, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Pierre Legat
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Annecy | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | USL Dunkerque | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | FC Metz | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Montpellier HSC | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Red Star FC | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | En Avant Guingamp | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Stade de Reims | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot 63 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Nantes | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Paris FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Pau FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Feb | Angers SCO | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Feb | En Avant Guingamp | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Feb | Amiens SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Feb | Grenoble Foot 38 | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | SM Caen | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | AS Saint-Étienne | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Feb | US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Feb | US Concarneau | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Feb | Pau FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Feb | Amiens SC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Michel-d'Ornano will turn into a battlefield for SM Caen and Paris FC.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Michel-d'Ornano. SM Caen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' SM Caen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SM Caen and Paris FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' Paris FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 25' Obed Nkambadio has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' It looks surprising SM Caen does not make any changes. Brahim Traore has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 45' Paris FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 46' It is a substitution in Paris FC team. Alimami Gory is replaced by Tuomas Ollila on 46 minute.
- 51' SM Caen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Paris FC backline.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cyril Mandouki, as he is very good at scoring at Michel-d'Ornano with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 65' Mickael Le Bihan makes way for Bilal Brahimi at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from SM Caen.
- 66' Another change for Paris FC made on 66 minute. Ilan Kebbal leaves to be changed by Vincent Marchetti.
- 67' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Pierre-Yves Hamel.
- 72' SM Caen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
- 77' The 26-year-old Tuomas Ollila has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 82' Nouha Dicko needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 85' Tuomas Ollila does the damage! The net is bulging and Paris FC surge ahead!
- 86' Mohamed Hafid has so much to prove this time. He replaces Godson Kyeremeh on 86 minute.
- 89' The referee calls foul for Vincent Marchetti. He receives a card.
- 90' Tidiam Gomis is replacing Mathias Autret for the SM Caen side.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Paris FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 1
- 29
- 19
-
23
Mathias Autret ↓ Tidiam Gomis 90'
- 2
-
17
Godson Kyeremeh ↓ Mohamed Hafid 86'
- 6
- 61
- 20
- 97
Bench
- 92
-
21
Bilal Brahimi ↑ 65'
- 16
- 5
-
18
Hianga Mananga Mbock ↑ 86'
-
22
Mohamed Hafid ↑ 86'
-
7
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 90'
Coach
Patrice Sauvaget
Paris FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
-
12
Nouha Dicko ↓ Pierre-Yves Hamel 66'
-
7
Alimami Gory ↓ Tuomas Ollila 46'
- 31
- 16
-
10
Ilan Kebbal ↓ Vincent Marchetti 66'
- 27
- 13
- 5
-
17
Adama Camara ↓ Lohann Doucet 90'
- 23
Bench
-
–
Vincent Marchetti ↑ 66'
-
29
Pierre-Yves Hamel ↑ 66'
- 1
-
2
Tuomas Ollila ↑ 46'
- 25
-
18
Lohann Doucet ↑ 90'
Coach
Stephane Gilli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Romain Armand | 2 |
| Godson Kyeremeh | 2 |
| Julien Lopez Baila | 2 |
| Romain Thomas | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Krasso | 2 |
| Alex Mendy | 2 |
| Mathys Tourraine | 1 |
| Yacine Bammou | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Paris FC xG
I would bet for:
SM Caen or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Paris FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
71%
Draw or Paris FC
60%
SM Caen or Paris FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
13.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | Paris FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 23% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.