SM Caen vs Paris FC, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Pierre Legat
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Red Star FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stade de Reims | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Montpellier HSC | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Metz | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Annecy | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | Pau FC | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | USL Dunkerque | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | En Avant Guingamp | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | FC Nantes | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot 63 | 7 | 6 |
| 17 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 7 | 5 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Paris FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Pau FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Feb | Angers SCO | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Feb | En Avant Guingamp | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Feb | Amiens SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Feb | Grenoble Foot 38 | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | SM Caen | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | AS Saint-Étienne | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Feb | US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Feb | US Concarneau | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Feb | Pau FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Feb | Amiens SC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SM Caen to score. At the same time, Paris FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' Paris FC is showing some good football. However, Paris FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' It’s high time Stéphane Gilli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' The 26-year-old Mamadou Mbow has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Michel-d'Ornano. SM Caen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ali El Abdi made 10 appearances and scored 33 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 45' Kouadio-Yves Dabila is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SM Caen tonight.
- 46' The Paris FC bench stirs into life. Alimami Gory is withdrawn and Tuomas Ollila gets his opportunity.
- 51' Paris FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 65' Another change for SM Caen made on 65 minute. Mickael Le Bihan leaves to be changed by Bilal Brahimi.
- 66' It is a substitution in Paris FC team. Ilan Kebbal is replaced by Vincent Marchetti on 66 minute.
- 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pierre-Yves Hamel on 67.
- 72' SM Caen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 77' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 82' Mickael Le Bihan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Red cards this season.
- 85' A stunning finish from Tuomas Ollila — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Mohamed Hafid. He replaces Godson Kyeremeh on 86 minute.
- 89' Vincent Marchetti picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' A tactical swap from SM Caen — Tidiam Gomis on, Mathias Autret off on 90 minutes.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Paris FC players.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 1
- 29
- 19
-
23
Mathias Autret ↓ Tidiam Gomis 90'
- 2
-
17
Godson Kyeremeh ↓ Mohamed Hafid 86'
- 6
- 61
- 20
- 97
Bench
- 92
-
21
Bilal Brahimi ↑ 65'
- 16
- 5
-
18
Hianga Mananga Mbock ↑ 86'
-
22
Mohamed Hafid ↑ 86'
-
7
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 90'
Coach
Patrice Sauvaget
Paris FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
-
12
Nouha Dicko ↓ Pierre-Yves Hamel 66'
-
7
Alimami Gory ↓ Tuomas Ollila 46'
- 31
- 16
-
10
Ilan Kebbal ↓ Vincent Marchetti 66'
- 27
- 13
- 5
-
17
Adama Camara ↓ Lohann Doucet 90'
- 23
Bench
-
–
Vincent Marchetti ↑ 66'
-
29
Pierre-Yves Hamel ↑ 66'
- 1
-
2
Tuomas Ollila ↑ 46'
- 25
-
18
Lohann Doucet ↑ 90'
Coach
Stéphane Gilli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Julien Lopez Baila | 2 |
| Romain Thomas | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Krasso | 2 |
| Alex Mendy | 2 |
| Romain Armand | 2 |
| Godson Kyeremeh | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ntim | 1 |
| Ousmane Kante | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Paris FC xG
I would bet for:
SM Caen or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Paris FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
71%
Draw or Paris FC
60%
SM Caen or Paris FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
13.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | Paris FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 23% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.