SM Caen vs Paris FC, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Pierre Legat
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Troyes AC | 34 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans FC | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Bastia | 34 | 28 |
| 4 | Amiens SC | 34 | 24 |
| 5 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Metz | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Nantes | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Saint-Étienne | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Red Star FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Stade de Reims | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | FC Annecy | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | USL Dunkerque | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | En Avant Guingamp | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Clermont Foot 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | US Boulogne Cote d'Opale | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Paris FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Pau FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Feb | Angers SCO | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Feb | En Avant Guingamp | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Feb | Amiens SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Feb | Grenoble Foot 38 | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | SM Caen | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | AS Saint-Étienne | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Feb | US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Feb | US Concarneau | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Feb | Pau FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Feb | Amiens SC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Michel-d'Ornano. Ninety minutes of football awaits between SM Caen and Paris FC.
- 5' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' SM Caen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' Adama Camara is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Paris FC so far.
- 20' It looks surprising Paris FC does not make any changes. Mathias Autret has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Paris FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 30' Paris FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Michel-d'Ornano. Paris FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' Paris FC have won 359 goals from 435 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' The travelling Paris FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 46' A tactical swap from Paris FC — Tuomas Ollila on, Alimami Gory off on 46 minutes.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 56' SM Caen are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Paris FC's shape.
- 61' SM Caen currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 65' Bilal Brahimi gets the nod from SM Caen. He replaces Mickael Le Bihan and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' The Paris FC manager makes a substitution. Ilan Kebbal departs to be replaced by Vincent Marchetti.
- 67' Pierre-Yves Hamel has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 67.
- 72' SM Caen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Paris FC backline.
- 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 82' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Anthony Mandrea made 422 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 85' Tuomas Ollila makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Paris FC are in front.
- 86' Mohamed Hafid has so much to prove this time. He replaces Godson Kyeremeh on 86 minute.
- 89' Controversy at the stadium! Vincent Marchetti argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' Mathias Autret makes way for Tidiam Gomis at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from SM Caen.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Paris FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 1
- 29
- 19
-
23
Mathias Autret ↓ Tidiam Gomis 90'
- 2
-
17
Godson Kyeremeh ↓ Mohamed Hafid 86'
- 6
- 61
- 20
- 97
Bench
- 92
-
21
Bilal Brahimi ↑ 65'
- 16
- 5
-
18
Hianga Mananga Mbock ↑ 86'
-
22
Mohamed Hafid ↑ 86'
-
7
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 90'
Coach
Patrice Sauvaget
Paris FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
-
12
Nouha Dicko ↓ Pierre-Yves Hamel 66'
-
7
Alimami Gory ↓ Tuomas Ollila 46'
- 31
- 16
-
10
Ilan Kebbal ↓ Vincent Marchetti 66'
- 27
- 13
- 5
-
17
Adama Camara ↓ Lohann Doucet 90'
- 23
Bench
-
–
Vincent Marchetti ↑ 66'
-
29
Pierre-Yves Hamel ↑ 66'
- 1
-
2
Tuomas Ollila ↑ 46'
- 25
-
18
Lohann Doucet ↑ 90'
Coach
Stephane Gilli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Romain Thomas | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Krasso | 2 |
| Alex Mendy | 2 |
| Romain Armand | 2 |
| Godson Kyeremeh | 2 |
| Julien Lopez Baila | 2 |
| Mathieu Cafaro | 1 |
| Jessy Pi | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Paris FC xG
I would bet for:
SM Caen or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Paris FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
71%
Draw or Paris FC
60%
SM Caen or Paris FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
13.3%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 0
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | Paris FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 23% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.