SM Caen vs Paris FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Pierre Gaillouste
6 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 13.5 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier HSC | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Stade de Reims | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Pau FC | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Metz | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Red Star FC | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Annecy | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | USL Dunkerque | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | En Avant Guingamp | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Nantes | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | Clermont Foot 63 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 12 | 11 |
| 17 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 12 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Paris FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 May | Valenciennes FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 May | USL Dunkerque | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 May | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | AS Saint-Étienne | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | FC Annecy | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | SM Caen | A | 2–0 | W |
| 17 May | SC Bastia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | En Avant Guingamp | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | AJ Auxerre | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | Angers SCO | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Apr | Rodez Aveyron Football | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and SM Caen launch into their encounter with Paris FC.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Paris FC have won 373 goals from 443 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mathias Autret suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SM Caen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 28' Noe Lebreton catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 28.
- 33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mathys Tourraine is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Paris FC.
- 38' SM Caen are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Paris FC's shape.
- 43' It’s high time Stéphane Gilli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 48' It is a cagey affair so far. SM Caen in their trying to find a way past Paris FC's compact .
- 53' Algeria international Anthony Mandrea has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 58' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daylam Meddah made 436 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 63' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 64' It’s a booking for SM Caen player. Daylam Meddah gets a card.
- 67' The Paris FC manager makes a substitution. Nouha Dicko departs to be replaced by Ayoub Jabbari.
- 71' Yann M'Vila is replacing Mathias Autret for the SM Caen side.
- 74' The referee calls foul for Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi. He receives a card.
- 75' SM Caen ring the changes. Mickael Le Bihan has done his job and it is now time for Tidiam Gomis to step up.
- 76' Against the run of play, Alimami Gory has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 77' A tactical swap from Paris FC — Jules Gaudin on, Tuomas Ollila off on 77 minutes.
- 82' A change in the SM Caen ranks — Noe Lebreton exits the field as Mohamed Hafid enters on 82.
- 83' A moment of madness from Alimami Gory on 83 minutes earns him a card. Paris FC will be frustrated.
- 86' Goal! Ilan Kebbal scores his 23 goal in 188 matches.
- 88' The whistle greets Vincent Marchetti as he departs to be replaced by Josias Lukembila.
- Another three points for Paris FC.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Bilal Brahimi ↓ Lorenzo Rajot 71'
-
8
Mickael Le Bihan ↓ Tidiam Gomis 75'
- 1
- 29
-
23
Mathias Autret ↓ Yann M'Vila 71'
- 2
- 17
- 24
- 27
-
20
Noe Lebreton ↓ Mohamed Hafid 82'
- 77
Bench
-
6
Yann M'Vila ↑ 71'
- 16
-
14
Lorenzo Rajot ↑ 71'
-
22
Mohamed Hafid ↑ 82'
-
7
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 75'
- 99
- 98
Coach
Nicolas Seube
Paris FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
12
Nouha Dicko ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 67'
- 15
- 4
-
2
Tuomas Ollila ↓ Jules Gaudin 77'
- 16
- 7
- 10
- 8
- 39
- 17
- 6
Bench
-
20
Julien Lopez Baila ↑ 77'
-
96
Alimami Gory ↑ 67'
-
27
Jules Gaudin ↑ 77'
- 98
-
23
Josias Lukembila ↑ 88'
- 36
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 67'
Coach
Stéphane Gilli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Romain Thomas | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Krasso | 2 |
| Alex Mendy | 2 |
| Romain Armand | 2 |
| Godson Kyeremeh | 2 |
| Julien Lopez Baila | 2 |
| Warren Caddy | 1 |
| Tuomas Ollila | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Paris FC xG
I would bet for:
SM Caen or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Paris FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
70%
Draw or Paris FC
61%
SM Caen or Paris FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | Paris FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.