SM Caen vs Paris FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Pierre Gaillouste
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Troyes AC | 34 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans FC | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Bastia | 34 | 28 |
| 4 | Amiens SC | 34 | 24 |
| 5 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Metz | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Nantes | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Saint-Étienne | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Red Star FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Stade de Reims | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | FC Annecy | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | USL Dunkerque | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | En Avant Guingamp | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Clermont Foot 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | US Boulogne Cote d'Opale | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Paris FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 May | Valenciennes FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 May | USL Dunkerque | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 May | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | AS Saint-Étienne | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | FC Annecy | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | SM Caen | A | 2–0 | W |
| 17 May | SC Bastia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | En Avant Guingamp | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 May | AJ Auxerre | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | Angers SCO | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Apr | Rodez Aveyron Football | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Michel-d'Ornano. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Godson Kyeremeh suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Obed Nkambadio needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mathias Autret made 444 appearances and scored 30 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' It looks surprising Paris FC does not make any changes. Alimami Gory has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 28' SM Caen player sees a card in front of him.
- 33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
- 43' Paris FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
- 48' Paris FC is showing some good football. However, Paris FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 53' It’s high time Stephane Gilli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 63' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 64' SM Caen player sees a card in front of him.
- 67' Ayoub Jabbari has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nouha Dicko on 67 minute.
- 71' Another change for SM Caen made on 71 minute. Mathias Autret leaves to be changed by Yann M'Vila.
- 74' The referee shows SM Caen player a card on 74.
- 75' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Mickael Le Bihan is replaced by Tidiam Gomis on 75 minute.
- 76' Goal! Alimami Gory scores his 31 goal in 428 matches.
- 77' Jules Gaudin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tuomas Ollila on 77 minute.
- 82' SM Caen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mohamed Hafid is hanging Noe Lebreton on the field on 82 minute.
- 83' Paris FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 83.
- 86' GOAL! Ilan Kebbal scores on 86.
- 88' Paris FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josias Lukembila is hanging Vincent Marchetti on the field on 88 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Paris FC players.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Bilal Brahimi ↓ Lorenzo Rajot 71'
-
8
Mickael Le Bihan ↓ Tidiam Gomis 75'
- 1
- 29
-
23
Mathias Autret ↓ Yann M'Vila 71'
- 2
- 17
- 24
- 27
-
20
Noe Lebreton ↓ Mohamed Hafid 82'
- 77
Bench
-
6
Yann M'Vila ↑ 71'
- 16
-
14
Lorenzo Rajot ↑ 71'
-
22
Mohamed Hafid ↑ 82'
-
7
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 75'
- 99
- 98
Coach
Nicolas Seube
Paris FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
12
Nouha Dicko ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 67'
- 15
- 4
-
2
Tuomas Ollila ↓ Jules Gaudin 77'
- 16
- 7
- 10
- 8
- 39
- 17
- 6
Bench
-
20
Julien Lopez Baila ↑ 77'
-
96
Alimami Gory ↑ 67'
-
27
Jules Gaudin ↑ 77'
- 98
-
23
Josias Lukembila ↑ 88'
- 36
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 67'
Coach
Stephane Gilli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Romain Thomas | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Krasso | 2 |
| Alex Mendy | 2 |
| Romain Armand | 2 |
| Godson Kyeremeh | 2 |
| Julien Lopez Baila | 2 |
| Anthony Goncalves | 1 |
| Moustapha Name | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Paris FC xG
I would bet for:
SM Caen or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Paris FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
70%
Draw or Paris FC
61%
SM Caen or Paris FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | Paris FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.