Saturday , 14 November 2026

SM Caen vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
2 – 2
Full Time
Sat 22 Feb 2025 · 13:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Pau FC — Ligue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

  • SM Caen 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
  • Pau FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Pau FC H 2–2 D
17 Feb FC Annecy A 0–1 L
10 Feb USL Dunkerque H 0–2 L
01 Feb ES Troyes AC A 0–3 L
24 Jan En Avant Guingamp H 0–1 L
17 Jan AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb SM Caen A 2–2 D
14 Feb Rodez Aveyron Football H 0–5 L
07 Feb Paris FC A 1–3 L
31 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 1–1 D
24 Jan SC Bastia A 1–1 D
17 Jan Red Star FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Pau FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Pau FC
Babacar Leye 4 G 2 A
Cheikh Fall 3 G
Hacene Benali 3 G
Lorenzo Rajot 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: SM Caen gets underway.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. SM Caen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 6' The referee has no hesitation. Brahim Traore is booked for SM Caen — card on 6.
  • 7' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Antoine Mille makes it 0-1.
  • 10' Yann M'Vila is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SM Caen that had 399 games and scored 298 goals.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SM Caen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' Mickael Le Bihan, a France , has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' A moment of madness from Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi on 30 minutes earns him a card. SM Caen will be frustrated.
  • 33' It’s gonna be a card for Xavier Kouassi.
  • 34' Pau FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 34.
  • 35' The referee calls foul for Alex Mendy. He receives a card.
  • 40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Oumar Ngom is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Pau FC.
  • 45' Pau FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 50' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 54' That is a card for Pau FC. Antoine Mille will be fuming at that decision.
  • 58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Xavier Kouassi.
  • 59' GOAL! Alex Mendy scores on 59.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Ilyes Najim. He replaces Adriel Ba Loua on 60 minute.
  • 63' That looks like a foul for a card for Romain Thomas.
  • 65' A change in the Pau FC ranks — Kandet Diawara exits the field as Mamady Bangre enters on 65.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Lorenzo Rajot. He replaces Mickael Le Bihan on 66 minute.
  • 71' What a moment for Pathe Mboup! That strike on 71 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 72' Pau FC make a change. Oumar Ngom trudges off to be replaced by Joseph Lopy on 72 minutes.
  • 77' Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SM Caen tonight.
  • 81' Pau FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Johann Obiang is hanging Tairyk Arconte on the field on 81 minute.
  • 86' Jules Gaudin is having his name booked by the referee on 86.
  • 90' Yann M'Vila is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' Fresh legs for SM Caen! Lamine Sy comes on to replace Ilyes Najim.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or Pau FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen38% Draw28% Pau FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
66%
Draw or Pau FC
62%
SM Caen or Pau FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen27% Draw47% Pau FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.