SM Caen vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ES Troyes AC | 34 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans FC | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Bastia | 34 | 28 |
| 4 | Amiens SC | 34 | 24 |
| 5 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Metz | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Nantes | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AS Saint-Étienne | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Red Star FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Stade de Reims | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | FC Annecy | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | USL Dunkerque | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | En Avant Guingamp | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Clermont Foot 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | US Boulogne Cote d'Opale | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Pau FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Feb | FC Annecy | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Feb | USL Dunkerque | H | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | ES Troyes AC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Jan | En Avant Guingamp | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jan | AC Ajaccio | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | SM Caen | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Feb | Rodez Aveyron Football | H | 0–5 | L |
| 07 Feb | Paris FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 31 Jan | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jan | SC Bastia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jan | Red Star FC | A | 3–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Michel-d'Ornano will turn into a battlefield for SM Caen and Pau FC.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. SM Caen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 6' SM Caen receives a card for a hard tackle on 6.
- 7' Goal! Antoine Mille scores his 6 goal in 215 matches.
- 10' What an equalizer from Yann M'Vila!
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Valentin Henry made 444 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 30' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi on 30.
- 33' The referee shows Pau FC player a card on 33.
- 34' It’s a booking for Pau FC player. Bingourou Kamara gets a card.
- 35' It’s a booking for SM Caen player. Alex Mendy gets a card.
- 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 45' It’s high time Bruno Baltazar made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ousmane Kante, as he is very good at scoring at Michel-d'Ornano with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 54' That looks like a foul for a card for Antoine Mille.
- 58' Pau FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 59' Alex Mendy puts SM Caen on the lead.
- 60' Ilyes Najim is replacing Adriel Ba Loua for the SM Caen side.
- 63' It’s gonna be a card for Romain Thomas.
- 65' It is a substitution in Pau FC team. Kandet Diawara is replaced by Mamady Bangre on 65 minute.
- 66' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Mickael Le Bihan by Lorenzo Rajot on 66 minute.
- 71' What a strike from Pathe Mboup! The score is 2-2.
- 72' Joseph Lopy is replacing Oumar Ngom for the Pau FC side.
- 77' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 81' Johann Obiang is replacing Tairyk Arconte for the Pau FC side.
- 86' SM Caen receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Yann M'Vila.
- 90' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Ilyes Najim is replaced by Lamine Sy on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 6
- 8
- 1
- 29
- 19
- 4
- 61
- 27
- 77
-
88
Adriel Ba Loua ↓ Ilyes Najim 60'
Bench
- 16
-
18
Kalifa Coulibaly ↑ 90'
-
14
Lorenzo Rajot ↑ 66'
-
50
Ilyes Najim ↑ 60'
- 25
- 20
- 5
Coach
Bruno Baltazar
Pau FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 25
- 21
-
18
Kandet Diawara ↓ Mamady Bangre 65'
- 12
- 4
-
6
Oumar Ngom ↓ Joseph Lopy 72'
-
2
Therence Koudou ↓ Ousmane Kante 65'
- 17
- 33
- 9
Bench
-
19
Ousmane Kante ↑ 65'
- 23
-
8
Joseph Lopy ↑ 72'
- 55
-
7
Tairyk Arconte ↑ 65'
-
27
Mamady Bangre ↑ 65'
- 34
Coach
Nicolas Usai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Mendy | 4 |
| Erwin Koffi | 2 |
| Romain Armand | 2 |
| Yann M'Vila | 1 |
| Antoine Mille | 1 |
| Ali El Abdi | 1 |
| Pathe Mboup | 1 |
| Henri Saivet | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Pau FC xG
I would bet for:
SM Caen or Pau FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
66%
Draw or Pau FC
62%
SM Caen or Pau FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | Pau FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

