SM Caen vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Annecy | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | USL Dunkerque | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | FC Metz | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Montpellier HSC | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Red Star FC | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | En Avant Guingamp | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Stade de Reims | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot 63 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Sochaux-Montbéliard | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | FC Nantes | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Pau FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Feb | FC Annecy | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Feb | USL Dunkerque | H | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | ES Troyes AC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Jan | En Avant Guingamp | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jan | AC Ajaccio | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | SM Caen | A | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Feb | Rodez Aveyron Football | H | 0–5 | L |
| 07 Feb | Paris FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 31 Jan | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jan | SC Bastia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jan | Red Star FC | A | 3–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season
Pau FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Pau FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and SM Caen launch into their encounter with Pau FC.
- 5' The 32-year-old Valentin Henry has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 6' SM Caen player sees a card in front of him.
- 7' Antoine Mille adds to his 0 season tally! Pau FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 10' A goal from the France international Yann M'Vila! He fires home on 10 to make it 1-1!
- 15' Pau FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' Pau FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 30.
- 33' Pau FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bingourou Kamara on 34.
- 35' Alex Mendy was booked on 35.
- 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 45' Pau FC is showing some good football. However, Pau FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 50' It’s high time Bruno Baltazar made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 54' It’s gonna be a card for Antoine Mille.
- 58' Xavier Kouassi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 59' Goal! Alex Mendy scores his 86 goal in 391 matches.
- 60' SM Caen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ilyes Najim is hanging Adriel Ba Loua on the field on 60 minute.
- 63' SM Caen receives a card for a hard tackle on 63.
- 65' The whistle greets Kandet Diawara as he departs to be replaced by Mamady Bangre.
- 66' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Mickael Le Bihan is replaced by Lorenzo Rajot on 66 minute.
- 71' What composure from Pathe Mboup! The Senegal international strokes it home. 2-2.
- 72' Joseph Lopy is replacing Oumar Ngom for the Pau FC side.
- 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Adriel Ba Loua suffering a number of foals already.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Johann Obiang. He replaces Tairyk Arconte on 81 minute.
- 86' Controversy at the stadium! Jules Gaudin argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' Yann M'Vila is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 90' SM Caen make a change. Ilyes Najim trudges off to be replaced by Lamine Sy on 90 minutes.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 6
- 8
- 1
- 29
- 19
- 4
- 61
- 27
- 77
-
88
Adriel Ba Loua ↓ Ilyes Najim 60'
Bench
- 16
-
18
Kalifa Coulibaly ↑ 90'
-
14
Lorenzo Rajot ↑ 66'
-
50
Ilyes Najim ↑ 60'
- 25
- 20
- 5
Coach
Bruno Baltazar
Pau FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 25
- 21
-
18
Kandet Diawara ↓ Mamady Bangre 65'
- 12
- 4
-
6
Oumar Ngom ↓ Joseph Lopy 72'
-
2
Therence Koudou ↓ Ousmane Kante 65'
- 17
- 33
- 9
Bench
-
19
Ousmane Kante ↑ 65'
- 23
-
8
Joseph Lopy ↑ 72'
- 55
-
7
Tairyk Arconte ↑ 65'
-
27
Mamady Bangre ↑ 65'
- 34
Coach
Nicolas Usai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Mendy | 4 |
| Romain Armand | 2 |
| Erwin Koffi | 2 |
| Pathe Mboup | 1 |
| Henri Saivet | 1 |
| Mayron George | 1 |
| Quentin Daubin | 1 |
| Godson Kyeremeh | 1 |
Head to Head
SM Caen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37
SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Pau FC xG
I would bet for:
SM Caen or Pau FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
SM Caen or Draw
66%
Draw or Pau FC
62%
SM Caen or Pau FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — SM Caen
| Handicap | SM Caen covers | Push | Pau FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

