Thursday , 2 July 2026

SM Caen vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
2 2
Full Time
Sat 22 Feb 2025 · 13:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Pau FCLigue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

  • SM Caen 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
  • Pau FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Pau FC H 2–2 D
17 Feb FC Annecy A 0–1 L
10 Feb USL Dunkerque H 0–2 L
01 Feb ES Troyes AC A 0–3 L
24 Jan En Avant Guingamp H 0–1 L
17 Jan AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb SM Caen A 2–2 D
14 Feb Rodez Aveyron Football H 0–5 L
07 Feb Paris FC A 1–3 L
31 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 1–1 D
24 Jan SC Bastia A 1–1 D
17 Jan Red Star FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Michel-d'Ornano will turn into a battlefield for SM Caen and Pau FC.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. SM Caen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 6' SM Caen receives a card for a hard tackle on 6.
  • 7' Goal! Antoine Mille scores his 6 goal in 215 matches.
  • 10' What an equalizer from Yann M'Vila!
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Valentin Henry made 444 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi on 30.
  • 33' The referee shows Pau FC player a card on 33.
  • 34' It’s a booking for Pau FC player. Bingourou Kamara gets a card.
  • 35' It’s a booking for SM Caen player. Alex Mendy gets a card.
  • 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' It’s high time Bruno Baltazar made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ousmane Kante, as he is very good at scoring at Michel-d'Ornano with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 54' That looks like a foul for a card for Antoine Mille.
  • 58' Pau FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 59' Alex Mendy puts SM Caen on the lead.
  • 60' Ilyes Najim is replacing Adriel Ba Loua for the SM Caen side.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a card for Romain Thomas.
  • 65' It is a substitution in Pau FC team. Kandet Diawara is replaced by Mamady Bangre on 65 minute.
  • 66' Another substitution for SM Caen to replace Mickael Le Bihan by Lorenzo Rajot on 66 minute.
  • 71' What a strike from Pathe Mboup! The score is 2-2.
  • 72' Joseph Lopy is replacing Oumar Ngom for the Pau FC side.
  • 77' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 81' Johann Obiang is replacing Tairyk Arconte for the Pau FC side.
  • 86' SM Caen receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Yann M'Vila.
  • 90' It is a substitution in SM Caen team. Ilyes Najim is replaced by Lamine Sy on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or Pau FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen38% Draw28% Pau FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
66%
Draw or Pau FC
62%
SM Caen or Pau FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen27% Draw47% Pau FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
27%
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.