Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SM Caen vs Pau FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
2 – 2
Full Time
Sat 22 Feb 2025 · 13:00 UTC Michel-d'Ornano HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SM Caen vs Pau FC — Ligue 2 at Michel-d'Ornano.

  • SM Caen 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
  • Pau FC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Pau FC H 2–2 D
17 Feb FC Annecy A 0–1 L
10 Feb USL Dunkerque H 0–2 L
01 Feb ES Troyes AC A 0–3 L
24 Jan En Avant Guingamp H 0–1 L
17 Jan AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb SM Caen A 2–2 D
14 Feb Rodez Aveyron Football H 0–5 L
07 Feb Paris FC A 1–3 L
31 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 1–1 D
24 Jan SC Bastia A 1–1 D
17 Jan Red Star FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Pau FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Pau FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Pau FC
Babacar Leye 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! SM Caen vs Pau FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 6' Brahim Traore is having his name booked by the referee on 6.
  • 7' Antoine Mille has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 7 minutes.
  • 10' Against the run of play, Yann M'Vila has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. SM Caen and Pau FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' Romain Thomas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' That is a card for SM Caen. Dieudonne Gaucho Debohi will be fuming at that decision.
  • 33' That looks like a foul for a card for Xavier Kouassi.
  • 34' The referee shows Pau FC player a card on 34.
  • 35' That looks like a foul for a card for Alex Mendy.
  • 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jordy Gaspar suffering a number of foals already.
  • 45' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 50' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Pau FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 54' The referee has no hesitation. Antoine Mille is booked for Pau FC — card on 54.
  • 58' That looks like a foul for a card for Xavier Kouassi.
  • 59' Alex Mendy doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Ilyes Najim. He replaces Adriel Ba Loua on 60 minute.
  • 63' Romain Thomas was booked on 63.
  • 65' Mamady Bangre is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kandet Diawara at the 65 minute mark.
  • 66' A change in the SM Caen ranks — Mickael Le Bihan exits the field as Lorenzo Rajot enters on 66.
  • 71' Pathe Mboup doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 72' Oumar Ngom makes way for Joseph Lopy at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Pau FC.
  • 77' Pau FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 81' Another change for Pau FC made on 81 minute. Tairyk Arconte leaves to be changed by Johann Obiang.
  • 86' SM Caen receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Yann M'Vila.
  • 90' SM Caen make a change. Ilyes Najim trudges off to be replaced by Lamine Sy on 90 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37 SM Caen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Pau FC xG
I would bet for: SM Caen or Pau FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SM Caen38% Draw28% Pau FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

SM Caen or Draw
66%
Draw or Pau FC
62%
SM Caen or Pau FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SM Caen27% Draw47% Pau FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — SM Caen

Handicap SM Caen covers Push Pau FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SM Caen keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Pau FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.