Thursday , 2 July 2026

Paris FC vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
0 2
Full Time
Sat 5 Aug 2023 · 17:00 UTC Stade Sebastien Charlety HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Paris FC vs SM CaenLigue 2 at Stade Sebastien Charlety.

Match Details

  • Referee Nicolas Rainville

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Aug SM Caen H 0–2 L
02 Jun FC Annecy H 1–0 W
26 May Dijon Football Cote d'Or A 1–1 D
20 May FC Sochaux-Montbeliard H 2–1 W
13 May Rodez Aveyron Football A 0–0 D
06 May Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Aug Paris FC A 2–0 W
02 Jun Pau FC A 0–1 L
26 May AS Saint-Étienne H 2–2 D
20 May Amiens SC A 3–1 W
13 May Nimes Olympique H 4–2 W
06 May FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 0–1 L

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stade Sebastien Charlety will turn into a battlefield for Paris FC and SM Caen.
  • 2' Jules Gaudin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 2.
  • 7' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 12' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 12 minutes.
  • 17' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Paris FC and SM Caen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 22' SM Caen come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 27' Anthony Mandrea is a natural goalkeeper and has been asked to do a very specific job for SM Caen tonight.
  • 29' Controversy at the stadium! Quentin Daubin argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 33' Paris FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 38' Noe Lebreton is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SM Caen so far.
  • 39' It is a substitution in Paris FC team. Julien Lopez Baila is replaced by Nobel Mendy on 39 minute.
  • 44' SM Caen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 45' Andy Pembele has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lamine Gueye on 45 minute.
  • 48' Goal! Alex Mendy scores his 86 goal in 391 matches.
  • 52' Hugo Vandermersch was booked on 52.
  • 55' SM Caen ring the changes. Hugo Vandermersch has done his job and it is now time for Mathias Autret to step up.
  • 60' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 62' Against the run of play, Ali El Abdi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 67' Both keepers have barely been tested. Paris FC and SM Caen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 72' The SM Caen manager makes a substitution. Quentin Daubin departs to be replaced by Alexandre Coeff.
  • 77' With 0 assists to his name this season, Pierre-Yves Hamel is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SM Caen.
  • 82' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Paris FC team. Alimami Gory is replaced by Warren Caddy on 83 minute.
  • 88' France international Alexandre Coeff has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 90' SM Caen make a change. Brahim Traore trudges off to be replaced by Noe Lebreton on 90 minutes.
  • SM Caen celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 Paris FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Paris FC or SM Caen 69% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC34% Draw31% SM Caen35%
Actual: SM Caen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Paris FC or Draw
65%
Draw or SM Caen
66%
Paris FC or SM Caen
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Paris FC23% Draw53% SM Caen24%
Actual: SM Caen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
11.5%
1 – 0
10.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
6.8%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
2.8%
0 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Paris FC

Handicap Paris FC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 21% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Paris FC keeps clean sheet
33%
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.