Sunday , 16 August 2026

USL Dunkerque vs Paris FC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
1 0
Full Time
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 13:00 UTC Stade Marcel-Tribut HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

USL Dunkerque vs Paris FCLigue 2 at Stade Marcel-Tribut.

Match Details

  • Referee Pierre Gaillouste

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Paris FC H 1–0 W
10 Feb SM Caen A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Martigues H 0–1 L
27 Jan FC Annecy A 2–0 W
18 Jan FC Lorient H 0–1 L
10 Jan Pau FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb USL Dunkerque A 0–1 L
07 Feb Pau FC H 3–1 W
01 Feb En Avant Guingamp A 1–0 W
25 Jan Red Star FC H 4–1 W
18 Jan FC Metz A 1–3 L
11 Jan Amiens SC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
USL Dunkerque this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

USL Dunkerque
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Paris FC gets underway.
  • 5' Vincent Sasso is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Paris FC tonight.
  • 10' Timothee Kolodziejczak needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Paris FC that had 435 games and scored 359 goals.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Samir Chergui made 434 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' USL Dunkerque are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Paris FC backline.
  • 30' Muhannad Al Saad is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for USL Dunkerque so far.
  • 33' The referee has no hesitation. Adama Camara is booked for Paris FC — card on 33.
  • 38' Obed Nkambadio has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 43' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 46' The USL Dunkerque manager makes a substitution. Muhannad Al Saad departs to be replaced by Kay Tejan.
  • 51' Mathieu Cafaro, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 61' Maxime Lopez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Maxime Lopez on 64.
  • 69' Abner Felipe was booked on 69.
  • 69' A change in the Paris FC ranks — Mathieu Cafaro exits the field as Julien Lopez Baila enters on 69.
  • 70' Fresh legs for Paris FC! Lohann Doucet comes on to replace Vincent Marchetti.
  • 75' Brazil international Abner Felipe has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 80' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lohann Doucet is clearly more than just a goal scorer for USL Dunkerque.
  • 82' Pierre-Yves Hamel gets the nod from Paris FC. He replaces Adama Camara and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' What composure from Kay Tejan! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 88' Yirigue Sekongo is replacing Naatan Skytta for the USL Dunkerque side.
  • 89' Another substitution for USL Dunkerque to replace Gessime Yassine by Maxence Rivera on 89 minute.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.18 USL Dunkerque xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Paris FC xG
I would bet for: USL Dunkerque or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
USL Dunkerque42% Draw30% Paris FC28%
Actual: USL Dunkerque win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

USL Dunkerque or Draw
71%
Draw or Paris FC
58%
USL Dunkerque or Paris FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
USL Dunkerque26% Draw52% Paris FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — USL Dunkerque

Handicap USL Dunkerque covers Push Paris FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

USL Dunkerque keeps clean sheet
36%
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.