Saturday , 14 November 2026

Paris FC vs ES Troyes AC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
1 – 0
Full Time
Fri 21 Feb 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade Sebastien Charlety HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Paris FC vs ES Troyes AC — Ligue 2 at Stade Sebastien Charlety.

Match Details

  • Referee Mickael Leleu
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 7.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb ES Troyes AC H 1–0 W
15 Feb USL Dunkerque A 0–1 L
07 Feb Pau FC H 3–1 W
01 Feb En Avant Guingamp A 1–0 W
25 Jan Red Star FC H 4–1 W
18 Jan FC Metz A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Paris FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb FC Lorient H 0–1 L
07 Feb FC Martigues A 2–1 W
01 Feb SM Caen H 3–0 W
24 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
20 Jan FC Annecy H 0–1 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Paris FC to score. At the same time, ES Troyes AC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Paris FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined ES Troyes AC backline.
  • 20' ES Troyes AC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 25' The travelling ES Troyes AC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' ES Troyes AC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Paris FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' ES Troyes AC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 50' Paris FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 55' A quiet spell here at Stade Sebastien Charlety. Paris FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 60' ES Troyes AC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 65' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Thibault De Smet.
  • 69' The referee shows Paris FC player a card on 69.
  • 70' Mathieu Cafaro is replacing Julien Lopez Baila for the Paris FC side.
  • 71' A tactical swap from ES Troyes AC — Mouhamed Diop on, Mounaim El Idrissy off on 71 minutes.
  • 74' Michel Diaz is having his name booked by the referee on 74.
  • 76' The whistle greets Mathys Tourraine as he departs to be replaced by Samir Chergui.
  • 81' Paris FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Maxime Lopez on 81.
  • 84' ES Troyes AC make a change. Xavier Chavalerin trudges off to be replaced by Kyliane Dong on 84 minutes.
  • 86' The Paris FC manager makes a substitution. Adama Camara departs to be replaced by Lohann Doucet.
  • 90' That is a card for Paris FC. Ilan Kebbal will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Cyriaque Irie makes way for Pape Ibnou Ba at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from ES Troyes AC.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Paris FC and ES Troyes AC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55 Paris FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57% + Paris FC to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC55% Draw26% ES Troyes AC19%
Actual: Paris FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Paris FC or Draw
81%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
45%
Paris FC or ES Troyes AC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC36% Draw49% ES Troyes AC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Paris FC

Handicap Paris FC covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Paris FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.