Sunday , 16 August 2026

Paris FC vs ES Troyes AC, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
1 0
Full Time
Fri 21 Feb 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade Sebastien Charlety HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Paris FC vs ES Troyes ACLigue 2 at Stade Sebastien Charlety.

Match Details

  • Referee Mickael Leleu

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb ES Troyes AC H 1–0 W
15 Feb USL Dunkerque A 0–1 L
07 Feb Pau FC H 3–1 W
01 Feb En Avant Guingamp A 1–0 W
25 Jan Red Star FC H 4–1 W
18 Jan FC Metz A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Paris FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb FC Lorient H 0–1 L
07 Feb FC Martigues A 2–1 W
01 Feb SM Caen H 3–0 W
24 Jan Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
20 Jan FC Annecy H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stade Sebastien Charlety that hosts another battle between Paris FC and ES Troyes AC.
  • 5' Ilan Kebbal has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 178 appearances.
  • 10' ES Troyes AC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. Paris FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 25' Obed Nkambadio has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. ES Troyes AC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' The travelling ES Troyes AC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 45' It looks surprising ES Troyes AC does not make any changes. Xavier Chavalerin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 50' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alexandre Phliponeau, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Sebastien Charlety with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 60' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Adama Camara suffering a number of foals already.
  • 65' Controversy at the stadium! Thibault De Smet argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 69' Mathys Tourraine picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 70' The whistle greets Julien Lopez Baila as he departs to be replaced by Mathieu Cafaro.
  • 71' Mouhamed Diop has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mounaim El Idrissy on 71 minute.
  • 74' That looks like a foul for a card for Michel Diaz.
  • 76' The Paris FC bench stirs into life. Mathys Tourraine is withdrawn and Samir Chergui gets his opportunity.
  • 81' Maxime Lopez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 81 minutes.
  • 84' Xavier Chavalerin makes way for Kyliane Dong at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from ES Troyes AC.
  • 86' Paris FC ring the changes. Adama Camara has done his job and it is now time for Lohann Doucet to step up.
  • 90' Paris FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' A tactical swap from ES Troyes AC — Pape Ibnou Ba on, Cyriaque Irie off on 90 minutes.
  • With this win, Paris FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55 Paris FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 ES Troyes AC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57% + Paris FC to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC55% Draw26% ES Troyes AC19%
Actual: Paris FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Paris FC or Draw
81%
Draw or ES Troyes AC
45%
Paris FC or ES Troyes AC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC36% Draw49% ES Troyes AC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Paris FC

Handicap Paris FC covers Push ES Troyes AC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Paris FC keeps clean sheet
42%
ES Troyes AC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.